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← Liga 3

Pacos Ferreira - São João Ver

Liga 3 September 13, 2026 18:00
Pacos Ferreira
#10 · 1 pts
vs
São João Ver
#9 · 2 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.81%
Win
Pacos Ferreira
29.58%
Draw
30.61%
Win
São João Ver
2.09
Expected xG
1.41

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.9%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pacos Ferreira a 39% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for São João Ver. Expected goals are 2.1 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.4 for São João Ver (total 3.5), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.9% probability.

Season Stats

Pacos Ferreira
0W 1D 3L
São João Ver
5W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
2.2
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
60%
75%
O 2.5
40%
75%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 3. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Pacos Ferreira
0W 0D 2L · at home
São João Ver
2W 4D 4L · away
0.5
gls/g
0.7
2.5
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
20%
0%
Win or Draw
60%
50%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
30%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
50%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pacos Ferreira São João Ver →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.9% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% —

Recent form

Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
D Vianense 2–2
L Varzim 1–4
L Paredes 0–1
L AD Marco 09 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
São João Ver São João Ver
D AD Marco 09 0–0
L Trofense 1–0
L Fafe 1–3
D Leça 1–1
W Sanjoanense 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
Attack
26
Defence
43
Form
28
São João Ver São João Ver
Attack
15
Defence
59
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Liga 3 - A

# Team G Pts
1 Paredes Paredes 4 9
2 Varzim Varzim 5 9
3 Fafe Fafe 4 8
4 Vianense Vianense 5 8
5 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 4 7
6 Guimaraes B Guimaraes B 4 5
7 Trofense Trofense 4 4
8 Leça Leça 4 4
9 São João Ver São João Ver 4 2
10 Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira 4 1

What's at stake · Liga 3 - A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Pacos Ferreira São João Ver
Current #10 #9
→ Pacos Ferreira #9 #10
→ Draw #10 #9
→ São João Ver #10 #7

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
The model gives Pacos Ferreira a 39% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 30% for an São João Ver win.
How many goals are expected in Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Expected goals: Pacos Ferreira 2.1, São João Ver 1.4 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.