Padova 1–0 Ascoli — pre-match prediction — Serie B — September 12, 2026

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Serie B · Regular Season - 4 September 12, 2026 15:00 Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua

Padova

#10 · 15 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Ascoli

#3 · 20 pts

Nicolas Galazzi (ast. Matteo Cocchi) 63'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ascoli a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Padova 30%). The final result was Padova 1–0 Ascoli.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

35%

Possession

65%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

N. Calabro

33'

↕ Marco Pompetti / Nicolas Galazzi

45'

↕ Francesco Di Mariano / Matteo Cocchi

45'

Emanuele Zuelli

53'

↕ Christian Pastina / Alessandro Capelli

56'

59'

Giacomo De Pieri

Alessandro Dellavalle

59'

↕ Kevin Lasagna / Gianluca Caprari

60'

62'

Nicholas Rizzo

⚽Nicolas Galazzi · ast. Matteo Cocchi

63'

71'

Andrea·Silipo / Giacomo De Pieri ↕

72'

Matteo Brunori / Don Bolsius ↕

72'

Gabriele Gori / amine chakir ↕

72'

Andrea Oliveri / Tommaso Milanese ↕

↕ Kevin Varas / Pietro Fusi

72'

Pietro Fusi

77'

82'

Gennao Acampora / Samuele Damiani ↕

Alessandro Capelli

90'

Pre-match prediction

30.43%

Padova ←

29.6%

39.98%

Ascoli

we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 30.43% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Padova

0.69

—

Ascoli

2.35

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	11	27
2	Modena	11	23
3	Ascoli	11	20
4	Mantova	11	19
5	Avellino	11	16
6	Benevento	11	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	16
8	Pisa	11	16
9	Cremonese	11	15
10	Padova	11	15
11	Cesena	11	15
12	Sudtirol	11	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	12
14	Arezzo	11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	10
17	Carrarese	11	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	9
19	Empoli	11	9
20	Catanzaro	11	6

Lineups

Padova 3-5-2

A. Sorrentino G 7.57

C. Pastina 56' D 7.27

M. Lovato D 7.01

Alessandro Dellavalle D 6.99

F. Di Mariano 45' M 7.20

K. Varas 72' M 6.64

E. Zuelli M 6.51

M. Pompetti 45' M 7.37

L. Carissoni M 6.71

L. Moro F 6.31

K. Lasagna 60' F 6.47

Bench

A. Capelli 34' M 6.78

A. Seghetti F 0.00

C. Faedo D 0.00

E. Silletti D 0.00

F. Sgarbi D 0.00

G. Caprari 30' F 7.07

G. Giunti M 0.00

L. Mouquet G 0.00

M. Bortolussi F 0.00

M. Cocchi 1 👟 45' D 7.50

N. Galazzi 1 ⚽ 45' M 8.14

P. Fusi 18' M 6.59

Ascoli 4-2-3-1

S. Vitale G 6.75

A. Guiébré D 6.53

N. Rizzo D 6.51

M. Curado D 6.90

T. Milanese 72' D 6.87

S. Damiani 82' M 7.18

G. Corradini M 6.36

S. D'Uffizi M 7.11

D. Bolsius 72' M 6.70

G. De Pieri 71' M 6.09

A. Chakir 72' F 6.23

Bench

A. Oliveri 18' M 6.33

A. Silipo 19' F 6.59

F. Diamanti D 0.00

F. Gattoni D 0.00

G. Acampora 8' M 6.29

G. Crespi G 0.00

G. Gori 18' F 6.70

L. Lo Scalzo M 0.00

M. Nicoletti D 0.00

M. Ricci M 0.00

S. Perciun M 0.00

Best on the pitch

N. Galazzi

M · Padova

8.14

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

A. Sorrentino

G · Padova

7.57

· 30 pass

M. Cocchi

D · Padova

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 14 pass

M. Pompetti

M · Padova

7.37

· 7 pass

C. Pastina

D · Padova

7.27

1 shots · 17 pass

F. Di Mariano

M · Padova

7.20

· 9 pass

Padova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Sorrentino	G	90	7.57	—	—	0	30	16%	0	—	—
C. Pastina	D	56	7.27	—	—	1	17	11%	3	—	—
M. Lovato	D	90	7.01	—	—	0	18	16%	0	—	—
Alessandro Dellavalle	D	90	6.99	—	—	0	16	14%	3	1	—
F. Di Mariano	M	45	7.20	—	—	0	9	8%	1	—	—
K. Varas	M	72	6.64	—	—	0	14	11%	5	—	—
E. Zuelli	M	90	6.51	—	—	0	19	15%	3	1	—
M. Pompetti	M	45	7.37	—	—	0	7	6%	0	—	—
L. Carissoni	M	90	6.71	—	—	0	22	16%	2	—	—
L. Moro	F	90	6.31	—	—	3	23	14%	1	—	—
K. Lasagna	F	60	6.47	—	—	3	7	5%	1	—	—
A. Capelli	M	34	6.78	—	—	0	10	9%	2	1	—
G. Caprari	F	30	7.07	—	—	1	15	13%	0	—	—
M. Cocchi	D	45	7.50	—	1	1	14	11%	0	—	—
N. Galazzi	M	45	8.14	1	—	2	10	9%	1	—	—
P. Fusi	M	18	6.59	—	—	0	7	6%	1	1	—

Ascoli — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Vitale	G	90	6.75	—	—	0	38	33%	0	—	—
A. Guiébré	D	90	6.53	—	—	2	27	23%	2	—	—
N. Rizzo	D	90	6.51	—	—	1	50	44%	1	1	—
M. Curado	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	66	63%	2	—	—
T. Milanese	D	72	6.87	—	—	1	51	44%	1	—	—
S. Damiani	M	82	7.18	—	—	1	57	54%	3	—	—
G. Corradini	M	90	6.36	—	—	1	41	34%	3	—	—
S. D'Uffizi	M	90	7.11	—	—	3	29	27%	1	—	—
D. Bolsius	M	72	6.70	—	—	3	22	18%	0	—	—
G. De Pieri	M	71	6.09	—	—	0	21	14%	1	1	—
A. Chakir	F	72	6.23	—	—	0	15	14%	0	—	—
A. Oliveri	M	18	6.33	—	—	0	10	9%	0	—	—
A. Silipo	F	19	6.59	—	—	2	3	1%	0	—	—
G. Acampora	M	8	6.29	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
G. Gori	F	18	6.70	—	—	2	3	1%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Padova vs Ascoli?

The final score was Padova 1–0 Ascoli.

What did the model predict before Padova vs Ascoli?

The model assigned 30% probability to a Padova win, 29% to a draw, and 39% to an Ascoli win.