14'
(ast. Gabriele parlanti)
Tommaso Rubino
51'
(ast. Niccolò Belloni)
Jonas Rouhi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Padova a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Carrarese 31%). The final result was Padova 0–2 Carrarese. In 2 previous meetings, Padova have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Carrarese.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
4
0.90
Actual xG
1.40
2
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
1
17
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
14'
ast. Gabriele parlanti ·
Tommaso Rubino⚽
40'
Filippo Oliana
45'
G. Marconi
/
Fabio abiuso
Mattia Bortolussi
/ Gabriele Artistico
45'
51'
ast. Niccolò Belloni ·
Jonas Rouhi⚽
Gianluca Caprari
51'
Matteo Cocchi
/ Francesco Di Mariano
56'
Gianluca Caprari
/ Marco Pompetti
56'
60'
Luka Topalovic
/
Tommaso Rubino
62'
Matthias Braunöder
Pietro Fusi
/ Nicolas Galazzi
67'
72'
Jacopo Martini
/
Nicolas Schiavi
72'
T. Guercio
/
Jonas Rouhi
Luca Moro
/ Alexander Seghetti
79'
80'
Niccolò Belloni
82'
Gabriele parlanti
90'+3
Nicolo Cudrig
/
Gabriele parlanti
Pre-match prediction
37.53%
Padova
31.45%
X
31.01%
Carrarese ←
we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese)
31.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
0.90
-0.24
0.91
1.40
+0.49
Carrarese dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
A. Sorrentino
G
A. Sorrentino
G
27
Alessandro Dellavalle
D
Alessandro Dellavalle
D
5
M. Lovato
D
M. Lovato
D
32
F. Sgarbi
D
F. Sgarbi
D
34
M. Cocchi
56'
M
M. Cocchi
56'
M
10
G. Caprari
56'
M
G. Caprari
56'
M
21
E. Zuelli
M
E. Zuelli
M
8
P. Fusi
67'
M
P. Fusi
67'
M
17
A. Capelli
M
A. Capelli
M
9
L. Moro
79'
F
L. Moro
79'
F
20
M. Bortolussi
45'
F
M. Bortolussi
45'
F
Bench
11
A. Seghetti
11'
F
A. Seghetti
11'
F
58
C. Pastina
D
C. Pastina
D
74
D. Marcolini
M
D. Marcolini
M
18
E. Silletti
D
E. Silletti
D
23
F. Di Mariano
34'
M
F. Di Mariano
34'
M
90
G. Artistico
45'
F
G. Artistico
45'
F
6
G. Giunti
M
G. Giunti
M
15
K. Lasagna
F
K. Lasagna
F
7
K. Varas
M
K. Varas
M
1
L. Mouquet
G
L. Mouquet
G
14
M. Pompetti
34'
M
M. Pompetti
34'
M
25
N. Galazzi
23'
M
N. Galazzi
23'
M
1
S. Pizzignacco
G
S. Pizzignacco
G
33
F. Reale
D
F. Reale
D
6
F. Oliana
D
F. Oliana
D
13
F. Ruggeri
D
F. Ruggeri
D
73
J. Rouhi
1 ⚽
72'
M
J. Rouhi
1 ⚽
72'
M
77
G. Parlanti
1 👟
89'
M
G. Parlanti
1 👟
89'
M
23
M. Braunöder
M
M. Braunöder
M
18
Nicolás Schiavi
72'
M
Nicolás Schiavi
72'
M
7
N. Belloni
1 👟
M
N. Belloni
1 👟
M
10
T. Rubino
1 ⚽
60'
F
T. Rubino
1 ⚽
60'
F
9
F. Abiuso
45'
F
F. Abiuso
45'
F
Bench
12
G. Garofani
G
G. Garofani
G
91
G. Marconi
45'
F
G. Marconi
45'
F
28
J. Martini
18'
M
J. Martini
18'
M
41
L. Romani
D
L. Romani
D
17
L. Topalović
30'
M
L. Topalović
30'
M
11
M. Cissé
F
M. Cissé
F
32
M. Finotto
F
M. Finotto
F
70
N. Cudrig
1'
F
N. Cudrig
1'
F
30
N. Ravaglia
G
N. Ravaglia
G
66
P. Pinelli
M
P. Pinelli
M
78
Tommaso Guercio
18'
D
Tommaso Guercio
18'
D
Best on the pitch
T. Rubino
F · Carrarese
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
J. Rouhi
M · Carrarese
8.09
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
N. Belloni
M · Carrarese
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
F. Reale
D · Carrarese
7.37
· 54 pass
G. Parlanti
M · Carrarese
7.34
1 👟
· 33 pass
F. Ruggeri
D · Carrarese
7.30
· 41 pass
Padova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sorrentino | G | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Alessandro Dellavalle | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 88 | 78% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Lovato | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Sgarbi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Cocchi | M | 56 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Caprari | M | 56 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 37% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Zuelli | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Fusi | M | 67 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Capelli | M | 90 | 5.98 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Moro | F | 79 | 6.25 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bortolussi | F | 45 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Seghetti | F | 11 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Di Mariano | M | 34 | 5.68 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Artistico | F | 45 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 34 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Galazzi | M | 23 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
Carrarese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Pizzignacco | G | 90 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Reale | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Oliana | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Ruggeri | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rouhi | M | 72 | 8.09 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Parlanti | M | 89 | 7.34 | — | 1 | 0 | 33 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Braunöder | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Schiavi | M | 72 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Belloni | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Rubino | F | 60 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Abiuso | F | 45 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Marconi | F | 45 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martini | M | 18 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Topalović | M | 30 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Cudrig | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Tommaso Guercio | D | 18 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Padova vs Carrarese?
The final score was Padova 0–2 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Padova vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Padova win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Carrarese win.