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Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 12, 2026 15:00 Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Padova
#9 · 0 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Empoli
#18 · 0 pts
M. Bortolussi 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Empoli a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Padova 33%). The final result was Padova 1–0 Empoli. In 1 previous meetings, Padova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
1.33
Actual xG
1.96
1
Saves
6
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
36'
Gabriele Guarino
↕ F. Sgarbi / C. Faedo
46'
Carlo Faedo
63'
↕ F. Di Mariano / G. Caprari
64'
↕ A. Capelli / P. Ghiglione
72'
↕ P. Fusi / L. Di Maggio
72'
72'
S. Elia / T. Ebuehi ↕
72'
D. Fila / B. Popov ↕
81'
N. Obaretin / L. Magnino ↕
81'
N. Haas / G. Yepes ↕
⚽M. Bortolussi
84'
Mattia Bortolussi
85'
87'
M. Nasti / B. Moruzzi ↕
Pre-match prediction
33.69%
Padova ←
29.18%
X
37.13%
Empoli
we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 33.69% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Padova
1.01
1.33
+0.32
Empoli
1.50
1.96
+0.46
Empoli dominated by xG (1.96 vs 1.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Avellino Avellino 0 0
2 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 0 0
3 Cesena Cesena 0 0
4 Ascoli Ascoli 0 0
5 Pisa Pisa 0 0
6 Mantova Mantova 0 0
7 Modena Modena 0 0
8 Cremonese Cremonese 0 0
9 Padova Padova 0 0
10 Arezzo Arezzo 0 0
11 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0 0
12 Sudtirol Sudtirol 0 0
13 Carrarese Carrarese 0 0
14 Benevento Benevento 0 0
15 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0 0
16 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0 0
17 Palermo Palermo 0 0
18 Empoli Empoli 0 0
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0 0
20 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0 0
Lineups
Padova Padova 3-5-2
22
G 7.30
58
C. Pastina D 7.90
5 M. Perrotta M. Perrotta D 7.30
32
F. Sgarbi 45' D 7.20
30
G. Favale M 6.50
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo M 7.20
6
Lorenzo Crisetig M 7.30
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi 72' M 7.30
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli 72' M 7.00
77
F. Di Mariano 64' F 6.60
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
11
A. Seghetti F
72
Carlo Faedo 45' D 6.90
4
F. Belli D
24
G. Caprari 26' F 6.90
86
G. Giunti M
23
L. Di Maggio 18' M 6.70
55
L. Villa D
18
P. Ghiglione 18' D 6.60
Empoli Empoli 4-2-3-1
21
G 8.20
27
B. Moruzzi 87' D 7.20
20 M. Lovato M. Lovato D 7.20
34 G. Guarino G. Guarino D 7.70
24
T. Ebuehi 72' D 7.20
14 Gerard Yepes Gerard Yepes 81' M 7.30
18
A. Ghion M 7.00
8
L. Magnino 81' M 6.50
11 S. Shpendi S. Shpendi M 5.30
26
A. Candela M 6.30
77
Bogdan Popov 72' F 5.90
Bench
17
D. Fila 18' F 6.70
70
E. Saporiti M
15
J. Ceesay D
2
Marco Curto D
19
M. Nasti 10' F 6.50
32
N. Haas 9' M 6.70
7 S. Elia S. Elia 18' M 7.20
4
S. Romagnoli D
Best on the pitch
G · Empoli
8.20
· 47 pass
C. Pastina
D · Padova
7.90
· 35 pass
G. Guarino
G. Guarino
D · Empoli
7.70
· 61 pass
G · Padova
7.30
· 28 pass
M. Perrotta
M. Perrotta
D · Padova
7.30
· 35 pass
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes
M · Empoli
7.30
· 42 pass
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 28 11% — — —
C. Pastina D 90 7.90 — — — 35 28% 3 — —
M. Perrotta D 90 7.30 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
F. Sgarbi D 45 7.20 — — 2 15 10% 1 — —
G. Favale M 90 6.50 — — 2 14 9% — — —
Kevin Varas Marcillo M 90 7.20 — — 1 31 21% 1 — —
Lorenzo Crisetig M 90 7.30 — — — 40 32% 1 — —
P. Fusi M 72 7.30 — — 1 23 17% 3 — —
A. Capelli M 72 7.00 — — — 27 20% — — —
F. Di Mariano F 64 6.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
M. Bortolussi F 90 7.30 1 — 4 10 7% 1 1 —
Carlo Faedo D 45 6.90 — — — 14 8% 3 1 —
G. Caprari F 26 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
L. Di Maggio M 18 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
P. Ghiglione D 18 6.60 — — — 7 4% — — —
Empoli Empoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 47 31% — — —
B. Moruzzi D 87 7.20 — — — 39 25% — — —
M. Lovato D 90 7.20 — — — 45 39% 3 — —
G. Guarino D 90 7.70 — — — 61 50% — 1 —
T. Ebuehi D 72 7.20 — — — 31 27% 1 — —
Gerard Yepes M 81 7.30 — — — 42 33% 2 — —
A. Ghion M 90 7.00 — — — 38 32% 5 — —
L. Magnino M 81 6.50 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
S. Shpendi M 90 5.30 — — 2 8 5% — — —
A. Candela M 90 6.30 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Bogdan Popov F 72 5.90 — — 2 18 11% — — —
D. Fila F 18 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Nasti F 10 6.50 — — — 3 — — — —
N. Haas M 9 6.70 — — — 6 3% — — —
S. Elia M 18 7.20 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Padova vs Empoli?
The final score was Padova 1–0 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Padova vs Empoli?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Padova win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Empoli win.