Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona — pre-match prediction — Serie B — August 29, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 2 August 29, 2026 21:00 Stadio Euganeo, Padova

Padova

#6 · 7 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Hellas Verona

#15 · 4 pts

A. Edmundsson 25' (og)

(pen.) 67' A. Sarr

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hellas Verona a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Padova 31%). The final result was Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.93

Actual xG

1.68

Saves

39%

Possession

61%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

P. Fusi

18'

C. Pastina

24'

⚽A. Edmundsson (og)

25'

27'

T. Slotsager

46'

S. Korac / T. Slotsager ↕

↕ P. Fusi / G. Giunti

59'

↕ G. Caprari / K. Lasagna

59'

65'

D. Livramento / A. Harroui ↕

67'

(pen.) A. Sarr⚽

↕ L. Moro / M. Bortolussi

70'

↕ M. Cocchi / A. Capelli

70'

G. Giunti

75'

78'

G. Kastanos / M. Compagnon ↕

78'

S. Cerbone / A. Sarr ↕

78'

N. Calabrese / G. Zappa ↕

↕ M. Pompetti / F. Di Mariano

83'

A. Capelli

90'

Pre-match prediction

31.68%

Padova

31.34%

X ←

36.98%

Hellas

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.34% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Padova

0.34

0.93

+0.59

Hellas

3.80

1.68

-2.13

Hellas Verona dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1

Lineups

Padova 3-5-2

A. Sorrentino G 7.00

C. Pastina D 6.60

M. Lovato D 6.70

Alessandro Dellavalle D 6.30

M. Cocchi 70' M 6.50

P. Fusi 59' M 7.50

E. Zuelli M 6.90

M. Pompetti 83' M 6.30

L. Carissoni M 6.70

G. Caprari 59' F 6.90

L. Moro 70' F 6.50

Bench

A. Capelli 20' M 6.30

C. Faedo D

F. Di Mariano 7' M

F. Sgarbi D

G. Giunti 31' M 6.30

K. Lasagna 31' F 6.30

K. Varas M

L. Mouquet G

M. Bortolussi 20' F 6.20

Hellas Verona 3-5-2

N. Leali G 7.20

D. Bradarić D 7.20

A. Edmundsson 1 ⚽ D 6.70

T. Slotsager 45' D 6.30

A. Sarr 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.00

A. Harroui 65' M 6.00

A. Bernede M 7.00

A. Le Borgne M

G. Zappa 78' M 6.70

S. Mulattieri F 6.50

M. Compagnon 78' F 6.90

Bench

D. De Battisti D

D. Livramento 25' F 6.30

Fallou Cham D

G. Kastanos 12' M 6.30

G. Toniolo G

Ioan Vermeșan F

K. Sezonienko F

N. Calabrese 12' D 6.30

N. Lella M

S. Korač 45' D 6.90

S. Perilli G

Best on the pitch

P. Fusi

M · Padova

7.50

· 17 pass

D. Bradarić

D · Hellas

7.20

2 shots · 47 pass

N. Leali

G · Hellas

7.20

· 40 pass

A. Sorrentino

G · Padova

7.00

· 30 pass

A. Bernede

M · Hellas

7.00

· 58 pass

A. Sarr

M · Hellas

7.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 23 pass

Padova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Sorrentino	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	30	18%	—	—	—
C. Pastina	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	38	30%	3	1	—
M. Lovato	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	28	24%	1	—	—
Alessandro Dellavalle	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	29	18%	2	—	—
M. Cocchi	M	70	6.50	—	—	—	27	19%	2	—	—
P. Fusi	M	59	7.50	—	—	—	17	15%	4	1	—
E. Zuelli	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
M. Pompetti	M	83	6.30	—	—	1	17	14%	2	—	—
L. Carissoni	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	18	13%	1	—	—
G. Caprari	F	59	6.90	—	—	—	19	15%	—	—	—
L. Moro	F	70	6.50	—	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
A. Capelli	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	1	—
F. Di Mariano	M	7	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
G. Giunti	M	31	6.30	—	—	—	13	10%	1	1	—
K. Lasagna	F	31	6.30	—	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
M. Bortolussi	F	20	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Hellas Verona — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Leali	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	40	33%	—	—	—
D. Bradarić	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	47	42%	1	—	—
A. Edmundsson	D	90	6.70	1	—	—	63	46%	3	—	—
T. Slotsager	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	25	23%	—	1	—
A. Sarr	M	78	7.00	1	—	2	23	17%	1	—	—
A. Harroui	M	65	6.00	—	—	2	31	25%	1	—	—
A. Bernede	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	58	53%	3	—	—
A. Le Borgne	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
G. Zappa	M	78	6.70	—	—	—	42	37%	—	—	—
S. Mulattieri	F	90	6.50	—	—	—	13	11%	2	—	—
M. Compagnon	F	78	6.90	—	—	1	29	22%	—	—	—
D. Livramento	F	25	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
G. Kastanos	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
N. Calabrese	D	12	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
S. Korač	D	45	6.90	—	—	1	38	36%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Padova vs Hellas Verona?

The final score was Padova 1–1 Hellas Verona.

What did the model predict before Padova vs Hellas Verona?

The model assigned 31% probability to a Padova win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Hellas Verona win.