Serie B · Regular Season - 32 March 21, 2026 15:00 Stadio Euganeo, Padova

Padova

#6 · 7 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Palermo

#1 · 9 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Padova 22%). The final result was Padova 0–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Padova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

1

1.58

Actual xG

1.28

66%

Possession

34%

9

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

22.71%

Padova

24.53%

X

52.76%

Palermo ←

we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 52.76% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Padova

1.05

1.58

+0.53

Palermo

1.94

1.28

-0.66

xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Cesena	4	6
9	Pisa	4	6
10	Avellino	3	6
11	Empoli	4	6
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Cremonese	4	4
16	Hellas Verona	4	4
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1