Serie B · Regular Season - 32 March 21, 2026 15:00 Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua

Padova

#7 · 13 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Palermo

#1 · 22 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Padova 22%). The final result was Padova 0–1 Palermo. In 2 previous meetings, Padova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

1

1.58

Actual xG

1.28

66%

Possession

34%

9

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

22.71%

Padova

24.53%

X

52.76%

Palermo ←

we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 52.76% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Padova

1.05

1.58

+0.53

Palermo

1.94

1.28

-0.66

xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5