Gabriele Artistico
(ast. Giovanni·Giunti)
19'
Alessandro Capelli
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Padova 32%). The final result was Padova 2–0 Sudtirol. In 2 previous meetings, Padova have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sudtirol.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
22
5
Shots on target
5
1.58
Actual xG
1.82
5
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
6
30
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Gabriele Artistico
· ast. Giovanni·Giunti
19'
45'
Rares Burnete
/
Aljosa Vasic
62'
Fabio Rispoli
/
Dhirar Brik
Matteo Lovato
68'
68'
Salvatore Molina
Matteo Cocchi
69'
Matteo Cocchi
/ Lorenzo Carissoni
70'
Luca Moro
/ Alexander Seghetti
70'
72'
Kenny Meddy Mixtur
/
Alvin Okoro
Pietro Fusi
74'
Emanuele Zuelli
/ Alessandro Capelli
78'
Marco Pompetti
/ Kevin Varas
78'
81'
Fabio Rispoli
81'
Kevin Zeroli
/
Federico Davi
⚽Alessandro Capelli
87'
87'
Alessandro Dellavalle
90'+2
Pietro Fusi
/ Nicolas Galazzi
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.4%
Padova ←
30.15%
X
37.45%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Padova)
32.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
1.58
+0.65
1.28
1.82
+0.54
xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
A. Sorrentino
G
A. Sorrentino
G
58
C. Pastina
D
C. Pastina
D
5
M. Lovato
D
M. Lovato
D
27
Alessandro Dellavalle
D
Alessandro Dellavalle
D
34
M. Cocchi
70'
M
M. Cocchi
70'
M
8
P. Fusi
89'
M
P. Fusi
89'
M
6
G. Giunti
1 👟
M
G. Giunti
1 👟
M
21
E. Zuelli
78'
M
E. Zuelli
78'
M
14
M. Pompetti
78'
M
M. Pompetti
78'
M
9
L. Moro
70'
F
L. Moro
70'
F
90
G. Artistico
1 ⚽
F
G. Artistico
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
A. Capelli
1 ⚽
12'
M
A. Capelli
1 ⚽
12'
M
11
A. Seghetti
20'
F
A. Seghetti
20'
F
72
C. Faedo
D
C. Faedo
D
74
D. Marcolini
M
D. Marcolini
M
18
E. Silletti
D
E. Silletti
D
23
F. Di Mariano
M
F. Di Mariano
M
32
F. Sgarbi
D
F. Sgarbi
D
7
K. Varas
12'
M
K. Varas
12'
M
24
L. Carissoni
20'
D
L. Carissoni
20'
D
1
L. Mouquet
G
L. Mouquet
G
20
M. Bortolussi
F
M. Bortolussi
F
25
N. Galazzi
1'
M
N. Galazzi
1'
M
22
A. Plizzari
G
A. Plizzari
G
3
D. Veroli
D
D. Veroli
D
55
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
4
R. Stivanello
D
R. Stivanello
D
23
F. Davi
81'
M
F. Davi
81'
M
5
S. Tronchin
M
S. Tronchin
M
46
D. Brik
62'
M
D. Brik
62'
M
79
S. Molina
M
S. Molina
M
14
A. Vasic
45'
M
A. Vasic
45'
M
11
Vasco Lopes
M
Vasco Lopes
M
90
A. Okoro
72'
F
A. Okoro
72'
F
Bench
80
Elias Schroot
M
Elias Schroot
M
10
Fabio Rispoli
28'
M
Fabio Rispoli
28'
M
21
F. Tait
M
F. Tait
M
27
G. Stabile
D
G. Stabile
D
18
Kevin Zeroli
9'
M
Kevin Zeroli
9'
M
25
K. Mixtur
18'
F
K. Mixtur
18'
F
17
L. Anghelè
F
L. Anghelè
F
39
Marco Iuliano
D
Marco Iuliano
D
19
M. Pellini
D
M. Pellini
D
9
R. Burnete
45'
F
R. Burnete
45'
F
12
Rok Vadjunec
G
Rok Vadjunec
G
24
S. Davì
D
S. Davì
D
Best on the pitch
A. Sorrentino
G · Padova
8.45
· 30 pass
G. Artistico
F · Padova
8.14
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 9 pass
A. Capelli
M · Padova
7.68
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
C. Pastina
D · Padova
7.53
· 43 pass
G. Giunti
M · Padova
7.48
1 👟
· 50 pass
M. Cocchi
M · Padova
7.22
· 31 pass
Padova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sorrentino | G | 90 | 8.45 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Pastina | D | 90 | 7.53 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lovato | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Dellavalle | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M. Cocchi | M | 70 | 7.22 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 7 | 1 | — |
| P. Fusi | M | 89 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 6 | 1 | — |
| G. Giunti | M | 90 | 7.48 | — | 1 | 0 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Zuelli | M | 78 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 78 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Moro | F | 70 | 6.96 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Artistico | F | 90 | 8.14 | 1 | — | 5 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Capelli | M | 12 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Seghetti | F | 20 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Varas | M | 12 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Carissoni | D | 20 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Galazzi | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Plizzari | G | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Veroli | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 4 | 67 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Stivanello | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 69% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Davi | M | 81 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 77 | 66% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Brik | M | 62 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 58% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Vasic | M | 45 | 6.38 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Vasco Lopes | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 72 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 28 | 6.54 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Zeroli | M | 9 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mixtur | F | 18 | 6.29 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Burnete | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Padova vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Padova 2–0 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Padova vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Padova win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Sudtirol win.