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Pafos - HNK Hajduk Split

Europa League July 30, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.49%
Win
Pafos
34.4%
Draw
35.11%
Win
HNK Hajduk Split
0.86
Expected xG
1.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (16.57%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 34%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 70%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives HNK Hajduk Split a 35% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Pafos. Expected goals are 0.9 for Pafos and 1.2 for HNK Hajduk Split (total 2.1), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 16.57% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Pafos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Season Stats

Pafos
0W 0D 1L
HNK Hajduk Split
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.7
2.0
Conceded
0.7
3.0
Shots OT
2.0
7.0
Corners
8.0
55%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
Based on the last 3 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Pafos HNK Hajduk Split →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 15.3% 9.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1%

Recent form

L HNK Hajduk Split 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Pafos 2–0
L Žilina 2–1
W Žilina 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Pafos Pafos
Attack
31
Defence
73
Form
60
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
Attack
49
Defence
82
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Pafos
0
Draw
1
HNK Hajduk Split
23 Jul 2026 Europa League 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model gives Pafos a 30% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 35% for an HNK Hajduk Split win.
How many goals are expected in Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Expected goals: Pafos 0.9, HNK Hajduk Split 1.2 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.57%.