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Pafos - Red Bull Salzburg

Europa League August 13, 2026 19:00
Pafos
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.27%
Win
Pafos
35.04%
Draw
40.69%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
0.59
Expected xG
1.13

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.48%)
1X2 Result
1 24%
X 35%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 76%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 34%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 40% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Pafos. Expected goals are 0.6 for Pafos and 1.1 for Red Bull Salzburg (total 1.7), with a 64% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.48% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Pafos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Red Bull Salzburg.

Season Stats

Pafos
1W 0D 2L
Red Bull Salzburg
3W 0D 6L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.7
3.0
Shots OT
5.1
5.3
Corners
4.1
54%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
44%
0%
BTTS
44%
33%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Pafos
1W 0D 0L · at home
Red Bull Salzburg
0W 0D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.8
0.0
Conceded
2.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pafos Red Bull Salzburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.8% 20.2% 11.5% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Pafos Pafos
L Red Bull Salzburg 1–0
W HNK Hajduk Split 2–0
L HNK Hajduk Split 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
W Pafos 1–0
L Aston Villa 3–2
W FC Basel 1893 3–1
L SC Freiburg 1–0
L Bologna 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Pafos Pafos
Attack
27
Defence
74
Form
60
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
59
Defence
77
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Pafos
0
Draw
1
Red Bull Salzburg
6 Aug 2026 Europa League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model gives Pafos a 24% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 40% for an Red Bull Salzburg win.
How many goals are expected in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Expected goals: Pafos 0.6, Red Bull Salzburg 1.1 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 64%.
What is the most likely score in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.48%.