Pafos - Riga
Conference League
October 22, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.11%
Win
Pafos
40.9%
Draw
23.99%
Win
Riga
0.79
0.57
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(24.77%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
41%
2
24%
Double Chance
1X
76%
X2
65%
12
59%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
59%
Over 2.5
31%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pafos a 35% win probability, against 40% for a draw and 23% for Riga. Expected goals are 0.8 for Pafos and 0.6 for Riga (total 1.4), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 24.77% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
7W
3D
2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
1.2
5.0
Shots OT
5.0
3.0
Corners
7.8
52%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
58%
100%
BTTS
58%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
3D
2L
· away
4.0
gls/g
1.3
2.0
Conceded
1.8
100%
Win %
17%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
83%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
17%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Pafos
Riga →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.5% | 14.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Pafos
Attack
35
Defence
73
Form
45
Riga
Attack
39
Defence
69
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjallby AIF
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Brighton
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
FK Jablonec
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Gent
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
St. Truiden
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Ajax
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Twente
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
KuPS
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
CSKA Sofia
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Pafos
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Aarhus
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
FC Copenhagen
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
FC Midtjylland
|
0 | 0 |
| 19 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Panathinaikos
|
0 | 0 |
| 21 |
Brann
|
0 | 0 |
| 22 |
SC Braga
|
0 | 0 |
| 23 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
0 | 0 |
| 24 |
FC Lugano
|
0 | 0 |
| 25 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
0 | 0 |
| 26 |
FC Thun
|
0 | 0 |
| 27 |
Trabzonspor
|
0 | 0 |
| 28 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
0 | 0 |
| 29 |
Kairat Almaty
|
0 | 0 |
| 30 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
0 | 0 |
| 31 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
0 | 0 |
| 32 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
0 | 0 |
| 33 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
0 | 0 |
| 34 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
0 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 36 |
Riga
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pafos vs Riga?
The model gives Pafos a 35% win probability, 40% for a draw, and 23% for an Riga win.
How many goals are expected in Pafos vs Riga?
Expected goals: Pafos 0.8, Riga 0.6 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Pafos vs Riga?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 24.77%.