The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paganese a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Gelbison 26%). The final result was Paganese 2–3 Gelbison.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
45.7%
Paganese
27.54%
X
26.76%
Gelbison ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gelbison)
26.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.88
—
—
0.78
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paganese vs Gelbison?
The final score was Paganese 2–3 Gelbison.
What did the model predict before Paganese vs Gelbison?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Paganese win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Gelbison win.