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Pagham - Hanworth Villa

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Pagham
vs
Hanworth Villa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.04%
Win
Pagham
31.39%
Draw
35.56%
Win
Hanworth Villa
1.89
Expected xG
2.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.9%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 31%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 67%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hanworth Villa a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Pagham. Expected goals are 1.9 for Pagham and 2.4 for Hanworth Villa (total 4.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.9% probability.

Season Stats

Pagham
1W 1D 1L
Hanworth Villa
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
3.0
1.3
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Pagham
1W 0D 1L · at home
Hanworth Villa
0W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
3.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pagham Hanworth Villa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 3.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
1 2.5% 6.2% 7.4% 6.0% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.8% 7.0% 5.7% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%
4 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

Pagham Pagham
W Ascot United 2–0
D Ascot United 1–1
L Horsham YMCA 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Hanworth Villa Hanworth Villa
W Whitstable Town 4–1
L Tower Hamlets 3–2

Playing profile

Pagham Pagham
Attack
38
Defence
85
Form
67
Hanworth Villa Hanworth Villa
Attack
72
Defence
74
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
The model gives Pagham a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 35% for an Hanworth Villa win.
How many goals are expected in Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
Expected goals: Pagham 1.9, Hanworth Villa 2.4 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.