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Paide - Laagri

Meistriliiga September 13, 2026 13:30 Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Paide
#4 · 45 pts
vs
Laagri
#7 · 31 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 14.6°C 💨 12 km/h 🌧️ 55% · Paide
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.24%
Win
Paide
16.14%
Draw
15.62%
Win
Laagri
2.83
Expected xG
1.14
Most likely outcome
Paide
68.24%
Probability
56.3%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.7%)
1X2 Result
1 68%
X 16%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 32%
12 84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paide a 68% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Laagri. Expected goals are 2.8 for Paide and 1.1 for Laagri (total 4.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.7% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Paide have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Laagri.

Season Stats

Paide
7W 4D 4L
Laagri
5W 0D 10L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Meistriliiga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Paide
5W 1D 4L · at home
Laagri
2W 0D 8L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.9
1.1
Conceded
2.1
50%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
20%
60%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Paide Laagri →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 5.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —

Recent form

Paide Paide
W Tammeka 0–2
L FC Levadia Tallinn 0–2
W Flora Tallinn 1–2
W Nõmme United 4–1
D Trans Narva 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Laagri Laagri
L Vaprus 3–2
L Tammeka 0–2
W Nõmme United 1–2
W Kalju Nomme 1–0
L FC Levadia Tallinn 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Paide Paide
Attack
46
Defence
70
Form
60
Laagri Laagri
Attack
36
Defence
56
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Paide
1
Draw
1
Laagri
19 Jul 2026 Meistriliiga 2–5
17 Jun 2026 Meistriliiga 1–0
22 Apr 2026 Meistriliiga 2–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 27 68
2 Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 28 52
3 Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 28 47
4 Paide Paide 26 45
5 Tammeka Tammeka 26 41
6 Vaprus Vaprus 27 34
7 Laagri Laagri 27 31
8 Nõmme United Nõmme United 28 28
9 Kuressaare Kuressaare 27 28
10 Trans Narva Trans Narva 28 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Paide vs Laagri?
The model gives Paide a 68% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 15% for an Laagri win.
How many goals are expected in Paide vs Laagri?
Expected goals: Paide 2.8, Laagri 1.1 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Paide vs Laagri?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.7%.