Paide 4–1 Nõmme United — pre-match prediction — Meistriliiga — August 23, 2026

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Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 24 August 23, 2026 16:00 Paide linnastaadion, Paide

Paide

#2 · 60 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Nõmme United

#7 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Paide

K. Kait (ast. M. P. Sohna) 27'

A. Badamosi 49'

H. Anier 75'

H. Anier 77'

30' K. Oostenbrink

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paide a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Nõmme United 12%). The final result was Paide 4–1 Nõmme United. In 3 previous meetings, Paide have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nõmme United.

Match statistics

Match Events

↕ N. Baranov / M. Lilander

25'

⚽K. Kait · ast. M. P. Sohna

27'

30'

K. Oostenbrink⚽

⚽A. Badamosi

49'

K. Kait

53'

↕ K. Kait / H. Ojamaa

55'

↕ A. Surogin / H. Ojamaa

55'

67'

I. Krasnov / K. Laanelaid ↕

67'

S. Geiger / A. Alteberg ↕

70'

I. Krasnov

↕ A. Badamosi / H. Anier

70'

↕ D. Luts / J. Palacios

70'

⚽H. Anier

75'

⚽H. Anier

77'

78'

A. Truuvaart / B. Chisala ↕

78'

A. Kaspar / K. Matas ↕

83'

G. Kabal / A. Frolov ↕

88'

Z. Beglarishvili

89'

I. Krasnov

89'

I. Krasnov

Pre-match prediction

74.34%

Paide ←

13.11%

12.55%

Nõmme

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paide) 74.34% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Paide

3.53

—

Nõmme

1.28

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	34	87
2	Paide	33	60
3	Flora Tallinn	34	58
4	Kalju Nomme	33	54
5	Tammeka	34	50
6	Laagri	34	47
7	Nõmme United	34	37
8	Vaprus	33	36
9	Kuressaare	33	35
10	Trans Narva	34	20

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Paide vs Nõmme United?

The final score was Paide 4–1 Nõmme United.

What did the model predict before Paide vs Nõmme United?

The model assigned 74% probability to a Paide win, 13% to a draw, and 12% to an Nõmme United win.