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#4 · 45 pts
4 – 1
Final score
#8 · 28 pts
Model correct — prediction Paide
K. Kait (ast. M. P. Sohna) 27'
A. Badamosi 49'
H. Anier 75'
H. Anier 77'
30' K. Oostenbrink
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paide a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Nõmme United 12%). The final result was Paide 4–1 Nõmme United. In 2 previous meetings, Paide have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nõmme United.

Match statistics
Match Events
N. Baranov / M. Lilander
25'
K. Kait · ast. M. P. Sohna
27'
30'
K. Oostenbrink
A. Badamosi
49'
K. Kait
53'
K. Kait / H. Ojamaa
55'
A. Surogin / H. Ojamaa
55'
67'
I. Krasnov / K. Laanelaid
67'
S. Geiger / A. Alteberg
70'
I. Krasnov
A. Badamosi / H. Anier
70'
D. Luts / J. Palacios
70'
H. Anier
75'
H. Anier
77'
78'
A. Truuvaart / B. Chisala
78'
A. Kaspar / K. Matas
83'
G. Kabal / A. Frolov
88'
Z. Beglarishvili
89'
I. Krasnov
89'
I. Krasnov
Pre-match prediction
74.34%
Paide ←
13.11%
X
12.55%
Nõmme
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paide) 74.34% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paide
3.53
Nõmme
1.28
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 27 68
2 Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 27 49
3 Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 28 47
4 Paide Paide 26 45
5 Tammeka Tammeka 26 41
6 Vaprus Vaprus 27 34
7 Laagri Laagri 27 31
8 Nõmme United Nõmme United 27 28
9 Kuressaare Kuressaare 27 28
10 Trans Narva Trans Narva 28 18
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paide vs Nõmme United?
The final score was Paide 4–1 Nõmme United.
What did the model predict before Paide vs Nõmme United?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Paide win, 13% to a draw, and 12% to an Nõmme United win.