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Pakhtakor - Al-Nassr

AFC Champions League November 02, 2026 14:45
Pakhtakor
#12 · 2 pts
vs
Al-Nassr
#9 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.46%
Win
Pakhtakor
32.06%
Draw
36.48%
Win
Al-Nassr
0.82
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.66%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 32%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 69%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Nassr a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Pakhtakor. Expected goals are 0.8 for Pakhtakor and 1.2 for Al-Nassr (total 2.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.66% probability.

Season Stats

Pakhtakor
1W 2D 1L
Al-Nassr
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
0.8
Conceded
2.5
2.5
Shots OT
3.0
7.5
Corners
7.5
52%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Pakhtakor
1W 1D 0L · at home
Al-Nassr
0W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.0
0.5
Conceded
4.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pakhtakor Al-Nassr →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3% 15.9% 9.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Pakhtakor Pakhtakor
L Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0
D Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1
D Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1
W Al Hussein 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
W Neftchi 3–1
L Al Ain 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Pakhtakor Pakhtakor
Attack
34
Defence
72
Form
0
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Pakhtakor Al-Nassr
Current #12 #9
→ Pakhtakor #8 #10
→ Draw #10 #9
→ Al-Nassr #12 #6

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
The model gives Pakhtakor a 31% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 36% for an Al-Nassr win.
How many goals are expected in Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
Expected goals: Pakhtakor 0.8, Al-Nassr 1.2 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.66%.