Pakhtakor - Al-Qadisiyah FC
AFC Champions League
October 12, 2026 15:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.52%
Win
Pakhtakor
32.86%
Draw
33.62%
Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1.33
1.38
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.87%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
33%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pakhtakor a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Al-Qadisiyah FC. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pakhtakor and 1.4 for Al-Qadisiyah FC (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.87% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Pakhtakor
Al-Qadisiyah FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Pakhtakor
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
0
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Attack
46
Defence
69
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Al-Nassr
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Al Ain
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Al Sadd
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Al-Gharafa
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Al Shamal
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Esteghlal FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Tractor Sazi
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Neftchi
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Pakhtakor
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #16 | #4 |
| → Pakhtakor | #1 | #5 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Al-Qadisiyah FC | #16 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The model gives Pakhtakor a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Al-Qadisiyah FC win.
How many goals are expected in Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Expected goals: Pakhtakor 1.3, Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.4 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.87%.