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OTP Bank Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 19:30 Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Paks
#4 · 17 pts
3 – 0
Final score
MTK Budapest
#9 · 12 pts
Ákos Kinyik (ast. János Szabó) 19'
Kevin Horvath (ast. Barna Tóth) 74'
Milan Pető (ast. Barna Tóth) 90'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paks a 41% win probability (draw 27%, MTK Budapest 31%). The final result was Paks 3–0 MTK Budapest. In 3 previous meetings, Paks have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for MTK Budapest.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
2
2.42
Actual xG
0.51
2
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
Vilius Armalas
Balázs Balogh
19'
⚽Ákos Kinyik · ast. János Szabó
19'
János Szabó
25'
59'
István Bognár / Kristof Hinora ↕
59'
Soma Szuhodovszki / Gyorgy Komaromi ↕
↕ Balázs Balogh / Kevin Horvath
67'
69'
Benedek Varju / Vilius Armalas ↕
↕ Jozsef Szalai / Barna Tóth
71'
↕ Zsolt Haraszti / Milan Pető
71'
⚽Kevin Horvath · ast. Barna Tóth
74'
Barna Tóth
75'
78'
Sámuel Barnabás Bakó / Adrian Zeljkovic ↕
78'
Milán Gábo Klausz / Mark Kerezsi Zalan ↕
87'
Soma Szuhodovszki
↕ József Windecker / Gergo Gyurkits
89'
⚽Milan Pető · ast. Barna Tóth
90'+1
90'+4
Benedek Varju
Pre-match prediction
41.6%
Paks ←
27.18%
X
31.21%
MTK
we assigned to the actual result (Paks) 41.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paks
1.65
2.42
+0.77
MTK
1.29
0.51
-0.78
Paks dominated by xG (2.42 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gyori ETO FC Gyori ETO FC 11 21
2 Puskas Academy Puskas Academy 11 21
3 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 10 17
4 Paks Paks 11 17
5 Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC 11 16
6 Vasas Vasas 11 15
7 Ujpest Ujpest 11 15
8 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 11 12
9 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 11 12
10 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza 11 11
11 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 10 10
12 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 11 10
Lineups
Paks Paks 5-4-1
28 M. Gyetván M. Gyetván G 6.52
14 E. Silye E. Silye D 7.00
30 J. Szabó J. Szabó 1 👟 D 6.83
2 Á. Kinyik Á. Kinyik 1 ⚽ D 7.55
12 G. Vas G. Vas D 6.54
6 M. Győrfi M. Győrfi D 7.34
21 K. Papp K. Papp M 6.65
8 B. Balogh B. Balogh 67' M 6.26
22 J. Windecker J. Windecker 89' M 6.84
10 Z. Haraszti Z. Haraszti 71' M 7.20
7 J. Szalai J. Szalai 71' F 6.19
Bench
1 Á. Kovácsik Á. Kovácsik G 0.00
4 A. Lapu A. Lapu M 0.00
29 B. Tóth B. Tóth 2 👟 19' F 7.01
5 B. Vécsei B. Vécsei M 0.00
15 C. Belényesi C. Belényesi D 0.00
18 G. Gyurkits G. Gyurkits 1' M 7.25
27 J. Galambos J. Galambos F 0.00
9 J. Hahn J. Hahn F 0.00
19 K. Horváth K. Horváth 1 ⚽ 23' M 8.11
17 M. Pető M. Pető 1 ⚽ 19' M 7.72
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
24 T. Fadgyas T. Fadgyas G 5.75
13 M. Timoteus M. Timoteus D 5.68
55 S. Radić S. Radić D 6.62
4 I. Beriashvili I. Beriashvili D 5.67
26 V. Armalas V. Armalas 69' D 5.89
6 M. Kata M. Kata M 6.06
80 Adrian Zeljković Adrian Zeljković 78' M 5.47
77 G. Komáromi G. Komáromi 59' M 5.80
17 K. Hinora K. Hinora 59' M 6.46
11 G. Jurek G. Jurek M 6.19
20 Zalán Márk Kerezsi Zalán Márk Kerezsi 78' F 6.32
Bench
8 A. G. Zubor A. G. Zubor M 0.00
2 B. Varju B. Varju 21' D 5.36
10 I. Bognár I. Bognár 31' M 5.88
9 M. Klausz M. Klausz 12' F 6.25
27 P. Kovács P. Kovács D 0.00
29 S. Szuhodovszki S. Szuhodovszki 28' M 5.05
Best on the pitch
K. Horváth
K. Horváth
M · Paks
8.11
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
M. Pető
M. Pető
M · Paks
7.72
1 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
Á. Kinyik
Á. Kinyik
D · Paks
7.55
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
M. Győrfi
M. Győrfi
D · Paks
7.34
2 shots · 35 pass
G. Gyurkits
G. Gyurkits
M · Paks
7.25
· 1 pass
Z. Haraszti
Z. Haraszti
M · Paks
7.20
4 shots · 22 pass
Paks Paks — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Gyetván G 90 6.52 — — 0 19 9% 0 — —
E. Silye D 90 7.00 — — 2 28 21% 0 — —
J. Szabó D 90 6.83 — 1 3 38 25% 1 1 —
Á. Kinyik D 90 7.55 1 — 1 30 16% 1 — —
G. Vas D 90 6.54 — — 1 27 15% 0 — —
M. Győrfi D 90 7.34 — — 2 35 29% 4 — —
K. Papp M 90 6.65 — — 1 37 29% 4 — —
B. Balogh M 67 6.26 — — 1 27 19% 0 1 —
J. Windecker M 89 6.84 — — 0 40 31% 4 — —
Z. Haraszti M 71 7.20 — — 4 22 20% 0 — —
J. Szalai F 71 6.19 — — 0 16 9% 1 — —
B. Tóth F 19 7.01 — 2 0 12 9% 0 1 —
G. Gyurkits M 1 7.25 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
K. Horváth M 23 8.11 1 — 1 23 19% 1 — —
M. Pető M 19 7.72 1 — 4 9 9% 0 — —
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Fadgyas G 90 5.75 — — 0 36 18% 0 — —
M. Timoteus D 90 5.68 — — 0 45 30% 1 — —
S. Radić D 90 6.62 — — 0 48 42% 3 — —
I. Beriashvili D 90 5.67 — — 0 48 36% 2 — —
V. Armalas D 69 5.89 — — 2 24 17% 1 1 —
M. Kata M 90 6.06 — — 0 56 45% 3 — —
Adrian Zeljković M 78 5.47 — — 1 44 35% 2 — —
G. Komáromi M 59 5.80 — — 1 13 8% 0 — —
K. Hinora M 59 6.46 — — 1 21 18% 0 — —
G. Jurek M 90 6.19 — — 2 42 31% 2 — —
Zalán Márk Kerezsi F 78 6.32 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
B. Varju D 21 5.36 — — 0 10 10% 0 1 —
I. Bognár M 31 5.88 — — 0 24 18% 0 — —
M. Klausz F 12 6.25 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
S. Szuhodovszki M 28 5.05 — — 0 19 18% 1 — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paks vs MTK Budapest?
The final score was Paks 3–0 MTK Budapest.
What did the model predict before Paks vs MTK Budapest?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Paks win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an MTK Budapest win.