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Serie B · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 15:00 Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Palermo
#1 · 22 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Carrarese
#18 · 7 pts
Dennis Johnsen (ast. Hernani) 26'
Dominic Vavassori 80'
74' (ast. G. Marconi) Tommaso Rubino
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Carrarese 23%). The final result was Palermo 2–1 Carrarese. In 2 previous meetings, Palermo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Carrarese.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
4
1.93
Actual xG
1.32
3
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
7
14
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
Luka Topalovic
⚽Dennis Johnsen · ast. Hernani
26'
45'
G. Marconi / Luka Topalovic ↕
↕ Filippo·Ranocchia / Luca Mazzitelli
61'
↕ Jacopo Segre / Nahuel Estévez
61'
↕ Giangiacomo Magnani / Patryk Peda
65'
67'
Tommaso Rubino / Jacopo Martini ↕
68'
T. Guercio / Gabriele parlanti ↕
74'
ast. G. Marconi · Tommaso Rubino⚽
⚽Dominic Vavassori
80'
↕ Dominic Vavassori / Alessandro Gabrielloni
82'
↕ Joel Pohjanpalo / Mattia Bani
82'
89'
Mattia Finotto / Fabio Andrea ↕
89'
Moustapha Cisse / Matthias Braunöder ↕
90'+3
Filippo Oliana
Pre-match prediction
50.34%
Palermo ←
25.84%
X
23.82%
Carrarese
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 50.34% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
2.04
1.93
-0.11
Carrarese
1.02
1.32
+0.3
Palermo dominated by xG (1.93 vs 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 4-2-3-1
1 M. Perin M. Perin G 7.09
3 T. Augello T. Augello D 6.89
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni D 6.51
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani 65' D 6.74
84 T. Cassandro T. Cassandro D 6.08
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia 61' M 6.75
8 J. Segre J. Segre 61' M 6.27
17 D. Johnsen D. Johnsen 1 ⚽ M 7.98
23 Hernani Hernani 1 👟 M 7.70
9 D. Vavassori D. Vavassori 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.03
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 82' F 6.25
Bench
33 A. Bozzolan A. Bozzolan D 0.00
99 A. Gabrielloni A. Gabrielloni 8' F 6.71
6 C. Gomes C. Gomes M 0.00
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi D 0.00
36 L. Mazzitelli L. Mazzitelli 29' M 6.41
13 M. Bani M. Bani 8' D 6.34
14 M. Fortin M. Fortin G 0.00
12 M. Nespola M. Nespola G 0.00
24 N. Estévez N. Estévez 29' M 6.49
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi D 0.00
29 P. Peda P. Peda 25' D 6.40
Carrarese Carrarese 3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco S. Pizzignacco G 7.02
33 F. Reale F. Reale D 6.83
6 F. Oliana F. Oliana D 6.17
13 F. Ruggeri F. Ruggeri 89' D 6.04
73 J. Rouhi J. Rouhi M 6.46
28 J. Martini J. Martini 67' M 6.36
23 M. Braunöder M. Braunöder 89' M 6.73
18 Nicolás Schiavi Nicolás Schiavi M 6.62
77 G. Parlanti G. Parlanti 68' M 6.51
17 L. Topalović L. Topalović 45' F 6.11
9 F. Abiuso F. Abiuso F 5.92
Bench
12 G. Garofani G. Garofani G 0.00
91 G. Marconi G. Marconi 1 👟 45' F 6.51
20 Gonçalo Esteves Gonçalo Esteves D 0.00
41 L. Romani L. Romani D 0.00
11 M. Cissé M. Cissé 1' F 6.26
32 M. Finotto M. Finotto 1' F 6.32
70 N. Cudrig N. Cudrig F 0.00
30 N. Ravaglia N. Ravaglia G 0.00
5 T. Macchioni T. Macchioni D 0.00
78 Tommaso Guercio Tommaso Guercio 22' D 6.42
10 T. Rubino T. Rubino 1 ⚽ 23' F 8.01
8 Y. Khafi Y. Khafi M 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Vavassori
D. Vavassori
M · Palermo
8.03
1 ⚽
6 shots · 19 pass
T. Rubino
T. Rubino
F · Carrarese
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
D. Johnsen
D. Johnsen
M · Palermo
7.98
1 ⚽
5 shots · 29 pass
Hernani
Hernani
M · Palermo
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
M. Perin
M. Perin
G · Palermo
7.09
· 32 pass
S. Pizzignacco
S. Pizzignacco
G · Carrarese
7.02
· 27 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Perin G 90 7.09 — — 0 32 25% 0 — —
T. Augello D 90 6.89 — — 0 54 50% 2 — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.51 — — 0 27 21% 1 — —
G. Magnani D 65 6.74 — — 0 29 27% 0 — —
T. Cassandro D 90 6.08 — — 0 39 32% 3 — —
F. Ranocchia M 61 6.75 — — 2 33 26% 3 — —
J. Segre M 61 6.27 — — 1 14 14% 0 — —
D. Johnsen M 90 7.98 1 — 5 29 24% 1 — —
Hernani M 90 7.70 — 1 1 40 37% 1 — —
D. Vavassori M 82 8.03 1 — 6 19 15% 0 — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 82 6.25 — — 3 19 10% 0 — —
A. Gabrielloni F 8 6.71 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
L. Mazzitelli M 29 6.41 — — 1 11 10% 1 — —
M. Bani D 8 6.34 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
N. Estévez M 29 6.49 — — 0 11 9% 2 — —
P. Peda D 25 6.40 — — 0 13 6% 0 — —
Carrarese Carrarese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Pizzignacco G 90 7.02 — — 0 27 19% 0 — —
F. Reale D 90 6.83 — — 0 73 69% 4 — —
F. Oliana D 90 6.17 — — 0 47 41% 0 1 —
F. Ruggeri D 89 6.04 — — 1 52 42% 2 — —
J. Rouhi M 90 6.46 — — 1 60 47% 0 — —
J. Martini M 67 6.36 — — 2 38 37% 1 — —
M. Braunöder M 89 6.73 — — 1 65 58% 2 — —
Nicolás Schiavi M 90 6.62 — — 1 88 74% 3 — —
G. Parlanti M 68 6.51 — — 3 26 24% 2 — —
L. Topalović F 45 6.11 — — 1 15 13% 0 1 —
F. Abiuso F 90 5.92 — — 1 29 24% 0 — —
G. Marconi F 45 6.51 — 1 3 8 6% 1 — —
M. Cissé F 1 6.26 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
M. Finotto F 1 6.32 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Tommaso Guercio D 22 6.42 — — 0 8 7% 3 — —
T. Rubino F 23 8.01 1 — 1 10 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Carrarese?
The final score was Palermo 2–1 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Palermo win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Carrarese win.