← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00
Palermo
#4 · 72 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Catanzaro
#5 · 59 pts
D. Johnsen (ast. F. Ranocchia) 15'
P. Nuamah 54' (og)
J. Pohjanpalo 86' (pen.)
3' F. Pittarello
32' (ast. F. Di Francesco) F. Pittarello

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Catanzaro 20%). The final result was Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro. In 1 previous meetings, Palermo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Catanzaro.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
2.24
Actual xG
1.52
6
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
3'
F. Pittarello⚽
⚽D. Johnsen · ast. F. Ranocchia
15'
32'
ast. F. Di Francesco · F. Pittarello⚽
E. Gyasi
45'+2
↕ N. Pierozzi / T. Augello
46'
⚽P. Nuamah (og)
54'
61'
G. Alesi / P. Nuamah ↕
↕ M. Bani / B. Bereszynski
63'
↕ E. Gyasi / A. Vasic
63'
↕ G. Magnani / P. Peda
69'
71'
N. Koffi / F. Di Francesco ↕
71'
F. Rispoli / R. Oudin ↕
D. Johnsen
77'
⚽J. Pohjanpalo (pen.)
86'
87'
T. Cassandro / R. Frosinini ↕
88'
E. Bashi / Matias Antonini ↕
↕ S. Giovane / C. Gomes
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.52%
Palermo ←
24.84%
X
20.64%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 54.52% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
1.89
2.24
+0.35
Catanzaro
1.11
1.52
+0.41
Palermo dominated by xG (2.24 vs 1.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66
J. Joronen G 7.20
72
D 6.50
13 M. Bani M. Bani 63' D 6.50
96
G. Magnani 69' D 5.90
18
R. Modesto M 6.70
10
F. Ranocchia 1 👟 M 7.20
17
S. Giovane 88' M 6.90
27
Niccolò Pierozzi 45' M 6.00
7
D. Johnsen 1 ⚽ F 7.20
11
E. Gyasi 63' F 6.50
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo M
14
A. Vasic 27' M 6.90
19
B. Bereszynski 27' D 6.30
21
J. Le Douaron F
8
J. Segre M
32
P. Ceccaroni D
29
P. Peda 21' D 6.60
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
22
G 7.90
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D 6.50
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini 88' D 5.90
62 Ruggero Frosinini Ruggero Frosinini 87' D 5.60
94 Federico Di Francesco Federico Di Francesco 1 👟 71' M 7.70
20 Simone Pontisso Simone Pontisso M 6.90
21 Marco Pompetti Marco Pompetti M 6.90
27 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli M 7.20
19 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 1 ⚽ 61' F 5.70
28 Rémi Oudin Rémi Oudin 71' F 7.00
8 Filippo Pittarello Filippo Pittarello 2 ⚽ F 9.20
Bench
26 Bruno Verrengia Bruno Verrengia D
98
D. Buglio M
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 19' M 6.30
30 Gabriele Alesi Gabriele Alesi 29' F 6.70
2
G. Esteves D
10 Jacopo Petriccione Jacopo Petriccione M
77 Marco D'Alessandro Marco D'Alessandro F
14 Mattia Liberali Mattia Liberali F
39 N'Dri Koffi N'Dri Koffi 19' F 6.00
84 Tommaso Cassandro Tommaso Cassandro 10' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
Filippo Pittarello
Filippo Pittarello
F · Catanzaro
9.20
2 ⚽
7 shots · 16 pass
G · Catanzaro
7.90
· 38 pass
Federico Di Francesco
Federico Di Francesco
M · Catanzaro
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Pohjanpalo
J. Pohjanpalo
F · Palermo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
J. Joronen
G · Palermo
7.20
· 37 pass
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
7.20
1 👟
· 48 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Joronen G 90 7.20 — — — 37 28% — — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 37 29% 2 — —
M. Bani D 63 6.50 — — — 42 36% 1 — —
G. Magnani D 69 5.90 — — 1 26 17% 1 — —
R. Modesto M 90 6.70 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
F. Ranocchia M 90 7.20 — 1 — 48 38% 3 — —
S. Giovane M 88 6.90 — — 1 15 12% 2 — —
Niccolò Pierozzi M 45 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
D. Johnsen F 90 7.20 1 — 3 27 22% 1 1 —
E. Gyasi F 63 6.50 — — 2 10 8% — 1 —
J. Pohjanpalo F 90 7.50 1 — 1 14 11% — — —
A. Vasic M 27 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
B. Bereszynski D 27 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
P. Peda D 21 6.60 — — — 8 5% — — —
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 38 25% — — —
Fellipe Jack D 90 6.50 — — — 67 62% 1 — —
Matias Antonini D 88 5.90 — — — 49 46% 2 — —
Ruggero Frosinini D 87 5.60 — — — 19 17% — — —
Federico Di Francesco M 71 7.70 — 1 — 24 18% 1 — —
Simone Pontisso M 90 6.90 — — 3 90 81% — — —
Marco Pompetti M 90 6.90 — — — 65 57% 2 — —
Costantino Favasuli M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 16% 5 — —
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F 61 5.70 1 — — 11 10% — — —
Rémi Oudin F 71 7.00 — — 2 34 28% 2 — —
Filippo Pittarello F 90 9.20 2 — 7 16 12% — — —
Fabio Rispoli M 19 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Gabriele Alesi F 29 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
N'Dri Koffi F 19 6.00 — — — 2 — — — —
Tommaso Cassandro D 10 6.70 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Palermo win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Catanzaro win.