Skip to main content
← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Palermo
#1 · 27 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Catanzaro
#20 · 6 pts
D. Johnsen (ast. F. Ranocchia) 15'
P. Nuamah 54' (og)
J. Pohjanpalo 86' (pen.)
3' F. Pittarello
32' (ast. F. Di Francesco) F. Pittarello
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Catanzaro 20%). The final result was Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro. In 3 previous meetings, Palermo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Catanzaro.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
2.24
Actual xG
1.52
6
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
3'
F. Pittarello⚽
⚽D. Johnsen · ast. F. Ranocchia
15'
32'
ast. F. Di Francesco · F. Pittarello⚽
E. Gyasi
45'+2
↕ N. Pierozzi / T. Augello
46'
⚽P. Nuamah (og)
54'
61'
G. Alesi / P. Nuamah ↕
↕ M. Bani / B. Bereszynski
63'
↕ E. Gyasi / A. Vasic
63'
↕ G. Magnani / P. Peda
69'
71'
N. Koffi / F. Di Francesco ↕
71'
F. Rispoli / R. Oudin ↕
D. Johnsen
77'
⚽J. Pohjanpalo (pen.)
86'
87'
T. Cassandro / R. Frosinini ↕
88'
E. Bashi / Matias Antonini ↕
↕ S. Giovane / C. Gomes
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.52%
Palermo ←
24.84%
X
20.64%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 54.52% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
1.89
2.24
+0.35
Catanzaro
1.11
1.52
+0.41
Palermo dominated by xG (2.24 vs 1.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 11 27
2 Modena Modena 11 23
3 Ascoli Ascoli 11 20
4 Mantova Mantova 11 19
5 Avellino Avellino 11 16
6 Benevento Benevento 11 16
7 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 11 16
8 Pisa Pisa 11 16
9 Cremonese Cremonese 11 15
10 Padova Padova 11 15
11 Cesena Cesena 11 15
12 Sudtirol Sudtirol 11 15
13 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 11 12
14 Arezzo Arezzo 11 11
15 Sampdoria Sampdoria 11 11
16 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 11 10
17 Carrarese Carrarese 11 10
18 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 11 9
19 Empoli Empoli 11 9
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 11 6
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G 7.20
72
D 6.50
13 M. Bani M. Bani 63' D 6.50
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani 69' D 5.90
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto M 6.70
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia 1 👟 M 7.20
17 S. Giovane S. Giovane 88' M 6.90
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 45' M 6.00
7 D. Johnsen D. Johnsen 1 ⚽ F 7.20
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi 63' F 6.50
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo M
14 A. Vasic A. Vasic 27' M 6.90
19 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński 27' D 6.30
21 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron F
8 J. Segre J. Segre M
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni D
29 P. Peda P. Peda 21' D 6.60
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
22
G 7.90
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D 6.50
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini 88' D 5.90
62 R. Frosinini R. Frosinini 87' D 5.60
94 F. Di Francesco F. Di Francesco 1 👟 71' M 7.70
20 S. Pontisso S. Pontisso M 6.90
21 M. Pompetti M. Pompetti M 6.90
27 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli M 7.20
19 Patrick Amiamo Nuamah Patrick Amiamo Nuamah 1 ⚽ 61' F 5.70
28
Rémi Oudin 71' F 7.00
8 F. Pittarello F. Pittarello 2 ⚽ F 9.20
Bench
26 B. Verrengia B. Verrengia D
98 D. Buglio D. Buglio M
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 19' M 6.30
30 G. Alesi G. Alesi 29' F 6.70
2 Gonçalo Esteves Gonçalo Esteves D
10 J. Petriccione J. Petriccione M
77 M. D'Alessandro M. D'Alessandro F
14 M. Liberali M. Liberali F
39 N. Koffi N. Koffi 19' F 6.00
84 T. Cassandro T. Cassandro 10' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
F. Pittarello
F. Pittarello
F · Catanzaro
9.20
2 ⚽
7 shots · 16 pass
G · Catanzaro
7.90
· 38 pass
F. Di Francesco
F. Di Francesco
M · Catanzaro
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Pohjanpalo
J. Pohjanpalo
F · Palermo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Jesse Joronen
Jesse Joronen
G · Palermo
7.20
· 37 pass
F. Ranocchia
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
7.20
1 👟
· 48 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jesse Joronen G 90 7.20 — — — 37 28% — — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 37 29% 2 — —
M. Bani D 63 6.50 — — — 42 36% 1 — —
G. Magnani D 69 5.90 — — 1 26 17% 1 — —
Rui Modesto M 90 6.70 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
F. Ranocchia M 90 7.20 — 1 — 48 38% 3 — —
S. Giovane M 88 6.90 — — 1 15 12% 2 — —
N. Pierozzi M 45 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
D. Johnsen F 90 7.20 1 — 3 27 22% 1 1 —
E. Gyasi F 63 6.50 — — 2 10 8% — 1 —
J. Pohjanpalo F 90 7.50 1 — 1 14 11% — — —
A. Vasic M 27 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
B. Bereszyński D 27 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
P. Peda D 21 6.60 — — — 8 5% — — —
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 38 25% — — —
Fellipe Jack D 90 6.50 — — — 67 62% 1 — —
Matias Antonini D 88 5.90 — — — 49 46% 2 — —
R. Frosinini D 87 5.60 — — — 19 17% — — —
F. Di Francesco M 71 7.70 — 1 — 24 18% 1 — —
S. Pontisso M 90 6.90 — — 3 90 81% — — —
M. Pompetti M 90 6.90 — — — 65 57% 2 — —
Costantino Favasuli M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 16% 5 — —
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah F 61 5.70 1 — — 11 10% — — —
Rémi Oudin F 71 7.00 — — 2 34 28% 2 — —
F. Pittarello F 90 9.20 2 — 7 16 12% — — —
Fabio Rispoli M 19 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
G. Alesi F 29 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Koffi F 19 6.00 — — — 2 — — — —
T. Cassandro D 10 6.70 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Palermo win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Catanzaro win.