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Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Palermo
#4 · 72 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Catanzaro
#5 · 59 pts
D. Johnsen (ast. F. Ranocchia) 15'
P. Nuamah 54' (og)
J. Pohjanpalo 86' (pen.)
3' F. Pittarello
32' (ast. F. Di Francesco) F. Pittarello
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Catanzaro 20%). The final result was Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro. In 3 previous meetings, Palermo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Catanzaro.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
2.24
Actual xG
1.52
6
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
3'
F. Pittarello⚽
⚽D. Johnsen · ast. F. Ranocchia
15'
32'
ast. F. Di Francesco · F. Pittarello⚽
E. Gyasi
45'+2
↕ N. Pierozzi / T. Augello
46'
⚽P. Nuamah (og)
54'
61'
G. Alesi / P. Nuamah ↕
↕ M. Bani / B. Bereszynski
63'
↕ E. Gyasi / A. Vasic
63'
↕ G. Magnani / P. Peda
69'
71'
N. Koffi / F. Di Francesco ↕
71'
F. Rispoli / R. Oudin ↕
D. Johnsen
77'
⚽J. Pohjanpalo (pen.)
86'
87'
T. Cassandro / R. Frosinini ↕
88'
E. Bashi / Matias Antonini ↕
↕ S. Giovane / C. Gomes
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.52%
Palermo ←
24.84%
X
20.64%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 54.52% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
1.89
2.24
+0.35
Catanzaro
1.11
1.52
+0.41
Palermo dominated by xG (2.24 vs 1.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
1 Sudtirol Sudtirol 1 1
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
2 Bari Bari 1 1
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G 7.20
72
D 6.50
13 M. Bani M. Bani 63' D 6.50
96 Giangiacomo Magnani Giangiacomo Magnani 69' D 5.90
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto M 6.70
10 Filippo Ranocchia Filippo Ranocchia 1 👟 M 7.20
17 Samuel Giovane Samuel Giovane 88' M 6.90
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 45' M 6.00
7 Dennis Johnsen Dennis Johnsen 1 ⚽ F 7.20
11 Emmanuel Gyasi Emmanuel Gyasi 63' F 6.50
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
14 Aljoša Vasić Aljoša Vasić 27' M 6.90
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo M
19 Bartosz Bereszyński Bartosz Bereszyński 27' D 6.30
8 Jacopo Segre Jacopo Segre M
21 Jérémy Le Douaron Jérémy Le Douaron F
29 Patryk Peda Patryk Peda 21' D 6.60
32 Pietro Ceccaroni Pietro Ceccaroni D
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
22
G 7.90
6 Fellipe Jack Fellipe Jack D 6.50
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini 88' D 5.90
62 R. Frosinini R. Frosinini 87' D 5.60
94 Federico Di Francesco Federico Di Francesco 1 👟 71' M 7.70
20 S. Pontisso S. Pontisso M 6.90
21 Marco Pompetti Marco Pompetti M 6.90
27 Costantino Favasuli Costantino Favasuli M 7.20
19 P. Nuamah P. Nuamah 1 ⚽ 61' F 5.70
28 Rémi Oudin Rémi Oudin 71' F 7.00
8 F. Pittarello F. Pittarello 2 ⚽ F 9.20
Bench
26 Bruno Verrengia Bruno Verrengia D
98 Davide Buglio Davide Buglio M
32 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli 19' M 6.30
30 Gabriele Alesi Gabriele Alesi 29' F 6.70
2
G. Esteves D
10 J. Petriccione J. Petriccione M
77 Marco D'Alessandro Marco D'Alessandro F
14 Mattia Liberali Mattia Liberali F
39 N'Dri Koffi N'Dri Koffi 19' F 6.00
84 Tommaso Cassandro Tommaso Cassandro 10' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
F. Pittarello
F. Pittarello
F · Catanzaro
9.20
2 ⚽
7 shots · 16 pass
G · Catanzaro
7.90
· 38 pass
Federico Di Francesco
Federico Di Francesco
M · Catanzaro
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Pohjanpalo
J. Pohjanpalo
F · Palermo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Jesse Joronen
Jesse Joronen
G · Palermo
7.20
· 37 pass
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia
M · Palermo
7.20
1 👟
· 48 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jesse Joronen G 90 7.20 — — — 37 28% — — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 37 29% 2 — —
M. Bani D 63 6.50 — — — 42 36% 1 — —
Giangiacomo Magnani D 69 5.90 — — 1 26 17% 1 — —
Rui Modesto M 90 6.70 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
Filippo Ranocchia M 90 7.20 — 1 — 48 38% 3 — —
Samuel Giovane M 88 6.90 — — 1 15 12% 2 — —
N. Pierozzi M 45 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
Dennis Johnsen F 90 7.20 1 — 3 27 22% 1 1 —
Emmanuel Gyasi F 63 6.50 — — 2 10 8% — 1 —
J. Pohjanpalo F 90 7.50 1 — 1 14 11% — — —
Aljoša Vasić M 27 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
Bartosz Bereszyński D 27 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
Patryk Peda D 21 6.60 — — — 8 5% — — —
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 38 25% — — —
Fellipe Jack D 90 6.50 — — — 67 62% 1 — —
Matias Antonini D 88 5.90 — — — 49 46% 2 — —
R. Frosinini D 87 5.60 — — — 19 17% — — —
Federico Di Francesco M 71 7.70 — 1 — 24 18% 1 — —
S. Pontisso M 90 6.90 — — 3 90 81% — — —
Marco Pompetti M 90 6.90 — — — 65 57% 2 — —
Costantino Favasuli M 90 7.20 — — 2 17 16% 5 — —
P. Nuamah F 61 5.70 1 — — 11 10% — — —
Rémi Oudin F 71 7.00 — — 2 34 28% 2 — —
F. Pittarello F 90 9.20 2 — 7 16 12% — — —
Fabio Rispoli M 19 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Gabriele Alesi F 29 6.70 — — — 9 8% — — —
N'Dri Koffi F 19 6.00 — — — 2 — — — —
Tommaso Cassandro D 10 6.70 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Palermo 3–2 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Palermo win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Catanzaro win.