J. Pohjanpalo
(ast. N. Pierozzi)
3'
R. Modesto
(ast. F. Ranocchia)
89'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 41% win probability (draw 23%, Catanzaro 35%). The final result was Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro. In 3 previous meetings, Palermo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Catanzaro.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
2.42
Actual xG
0.54
4
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
1
17
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽J. Pohjanpalo
· ast. N. Pierozzi
3'
P. Peda
/ G. Magnani
16'
D. Johnsen
20'
J. Segre
45'+4
J. Le Douaron
/ A. Vasic
46'
46'
F. Di Francesco
/
M. Liberali
49'
F. Pittarello
J. Segre
/ R. Modesto
50'
61'
M. Pompetti
/
P. Iemmello
A. Vasic
65'
D. Johnsen
/ E. Gyasi
75'
P. Ceccaroni
/ G. Corona
76'
78'
R. Frosinini
/
G. Alesi
78'
F. Rispoli
/
J. Petriccione
87'
E. Bashi
/
C. Favasuli
⚽R. Modesto
· ast. F. Ranocchia
89'
N. Pierozzi
90'+3
90'+4
S. Pontisso
90'+5
F. Di Francesco
A. Palumbo
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
41.73%
Palermo ←
23.27%
X
35.0%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo)
41.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
2.42
+0.9
1.52
0.54
-0.98
Palermo dominated by xG (2.42 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
66
Jesse Joronen
G
Jesse Joronen
G
3
T. Augello
D
T. Augello
D
32
P. Ceccaroni
76'
D
P. Ceccaroni
76'
D
29
P. Peda
16'
D
P. Peda
16'
D
27
N. Pierozzi
1 👟
D
N. Pierozzi
1 👟
D
10
F. Ranocchia
1 👟
M
F. Ranocchia
1 👟
M
5
A. Palumbo
M
A. Palumbo
M
8
J. Segre
50'
M
J. Segre
50'
M
7
D. Johnsen
75'
F
D. Johnsen
75'
F
20
J. Pohjanpalo
1 ⚽
F
J. Pohjanpalo
1 ⚽
F
21
J. Le Douaron
45'
F
J. Le Douaron
45'
F
Bench
28
Alexis Blin
M
Alexis Blin
M
1
Alfred Gomis
G
Alfred Gomis
G
14
A. Vasic
45'
M
A. Vasic
45'
M
19
B. Bereszyński
D
B. Bereszyński
D
6
C. Gomes
M
C. Gomes
M
72
D. Veroli
D
D. Veroli
D
11
E. Gyasi
15'
D
E. Gyasi
15'
D
31
Giacomo Corona
14'
F
Giacomo Corona
14'
F
96
G. Magnani
74'
D
G. Magnani
74'
D
13
M. Bani
D
M. Bani
D
18
Rui Modesto
1 ⚽
40'
M
Rui Modesto
1 ⚽
40'
M
17
S. Giovane
M
S. Giovane
M
22
M. Pigliacelli
G
M. Pigliacelli
G
23
N. Brighenti
D
N. Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
D
T. Cassandro
D
30
G. Alesi
78'
M
G. Alesi
78'
M
20
S. Pontisso
M
S. Pontisso
M
10
J. Petriccione
78'
M
J. Petriccione
78'
M
27
C. Favasuli
87'
M
C. Favasuli
87'
M
9
P. Iemmello
61'
F
P. Iemmello
61'
F
14
M. Liberali
45'
F
M. Liberali
45'
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
1
C. Marietta
G
C. Marietta
G
98
D. Buglio
M
D. Buglio
M
5
Ervin Bashi
10'
D
Ervin Bashi
10'
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
12'
M
Fabio Rispoli
12'
M
94
F. Di Francesco
45'
F
F. Di Francesco
45'
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
77
M. D'Alessandro
F
M. D'Alessandro
F
21
M. Pompetti
29'
M
M. Pompetti
29'
M
39
N. Koffi
F
N. Koffi
F
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
12'
D
R. Frosinini
12'
D
Best on the pitch
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
8.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 50 pass
Jesse Joronen
G · Palermo
7.90
· 27 pass
M. Pigliacelli
G · Catanzaro
7.90
· 39 pass
Rui Modesto
M · Palermo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
P. Ceccaroni
D · Palermo
7.50
· 34 pass
C. Favasuli
M · Catanzaro
7.50
1 shots
· 16 pass
Palermo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Joronen | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| T. Augello | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ceccaroni | D | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| P. Peda | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pierozzi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | 1 |
| F. Ranocchia | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| A. Palumbo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Segre | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Johnsen | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Le Douaron | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vasic | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Gyasi | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Giacomo Corona | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Magnani | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Rui Modesto | M | 40 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Brighenti | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Alesi | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Favasuli | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 9 | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Ervin Bashi | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Palermo 2–0 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Palermo win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Catanzaro win.