Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 19:00 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo

Palermo

#1 · 9 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Juve Stabia

#18 · 2 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Palermo, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 56% win probability (draw 31%, Juve Stabia 11%). The final result was Palermo 2–2 Juve Stabia. In 2 previous meetings, Palermo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Juve Stabia.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

6

2.99

Actual xG

1.03

57%

Possession

43%

7

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

56.33%

Palermo

31.89%

X ←

11.78%

Juve

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.89% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Palermo

1.28

2.99

+1.71

Juve

0.37

1.03

+0.66

Palermo dominated by xG (2.99 vs 1.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1