✗Model wrong — prediction Palermo, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 56% win probability (draw 31%, Juve Stabia 11%). The final result was Palermo 2–2 Juve Stabia. In 2 previous meetings, Palermo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Juve Stabia.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
6
2.99
Actual xG
1.03
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
56.33%
Palermo
31.89%
X ←
11.78%
Juve
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
2.99
+1.71
0.37
1.03
+0.66
Palermo dominated by xG (2.99 vs 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
The final score was Palermo 2–2 Juve Stabia.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Palermo win, 31% to a draw, and 11% to an Juve Stabia win.