Palermo 5–2 Mantova — pre-match prediction — Coppa Italia — September 03, 2026

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Coppa Italia · Round of 32 September 03, 2026 18:00 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova

Palermo

5 – 2

Final score

Mantova

Gabriel Strefezza (ast. Claudio Gomes) 9'

Antonio Palumbo 45'+6 (pen.)

Joel Pohjanpalo (ast. Dennis Johnsen) 70'

Dennis Johnsen (ast. Jacopo Segre) 89'

Joel Pohjanpalo (ast. Dominic Vavassori) 90'+5

52' Francesco Ruocco

55' (ast. Rares Ilie) Rachid Kouda

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Mantova 30%). The final result was Palermo 5–2 Mantova. In 2 previous meetings, Palermo have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Gabriel Strefezza · ast. Claudio Gomes

14'

Rachid Kouda / Simone Trimboli ↕

43'

Rares Ilie

45'+2

⚽Antonio Palumbo (pen.)

45'+6

45'

Francesco Ruocco / Ismael Cajazzo ↕

45'

Jonathan Silva Pertinhes / Federico Chinetti ↕

↕ Gabriel Strefezza / Dennis Johnsen

45'

52'

Francesco Ruocco⚽

55'

ast. Rares Ilie · Rachid Kouda⚽

Alessandro Gabrielloni

59'

60'

Vanja Vlahovic / Ettore Gliozzi ↕

↕ Alessandro Gabrielloni / Joel Pohjanpalo

61'

↕ Antonio Palumbo / Hernani

61'

↕ Giangiacomo Magnani / Patryk Peda

61'

62'

Francesco Ruocco

⚽Joel Pohjanpalo · ast. Dennis Johnsen

70'

↕ Claudio Gomes / Jacopo Segre

73'

77'

Bodin Tomašević / Tommaso Del Lungo ↕

⚽Dennis Johnsen · ast. Jacopo Segre

89'

⚽Joel Pohjanpalo · ast. Dominic Vavassori

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

40.49%

Palermo ←

28.59%

30.92%

Mantova

we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 40.49% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Palermo

1.76

—

Mantova

1.68

—

Lineups

Palermo 4-2-3-1

M. Fortin G 6.79

A. Bozzolan D 6.69

F. Barba D 6.88

G. Magnani 61' D 6.36

T. Cassandro D 6.80

N. Estévez M 6.05

C. Gomes 1 👟 73' M 7.23

D. Vavassori 1 👟 M 7.36

A. Palumbo 1 ⚽ 61' M 6.59

Gabriel Strefezza 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.52

A. Gabrielloni 61' F 6.20

Bench

D. Johnsen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' F 7.69

F. Ranocchia M 0.00

Hernani 29' M 6.28

J. Pohjanpalo 2 ⚽ 29' F 8.65

J. Segre 1 👟 17' M 6.52

M. Bani D 0.00

M. Nespola G 0.00

M. Perin G 0.00

N. Pierozzi D 0.00

P. Ceccaroni D 0.00

P. Peda 29' D 6.45

T. Augello D 0.00

Mantova 3-4-2-1

F. Bardi G 6.18

A. Castellini D 6.32

S. Cella D 5.88

77' D 5.61

F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.27

L. Ignacchiti M 6.11

S. Trimboli 14' M 5.75

I. Cajazzo 45' M 5.55

R. Ilie 1 👟 M 5.75

Federico Chinetti 45' M 5.98

E. Gliozzi 60' F 6.65

Bench

B. Tomašević 13' D 5.68

Cristian Marai D 0.00

D. Wieser M 0.00

E. Košpo D 0.00

F. Paoletti M 0.00

F. Ruocco 1 ⚽ 45' M 6.69

J. Mboyo M 0.00

Jonathan Silva 45' M 6.62

L. Gemello G 0.00

M. Gasparini G 0.00

R. Kouda 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.74

S. Keita M 0.00

V. Vlahović 30' F 6.25

Best on the pitch

J. Pohjanpalo

F · Palermo

8.65

2 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

R. Kouda

M · Mantova

7.74

1 ⚽

1 shots · 50 pass

D. Johnsen

F · Palermo

7.69

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 15 pass

Gabriel Strefezza

M · Palermo

7.52

1 ⚽

2 shots · 5 pass

D. Vavassori

M · Palermo

7.36

1 👟

2 shots · 13 pass

C. Gomes

M · Palermo

7.23

1 👟

1 shots · 15 pass

Palermo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Fortin	G	90	6.79	—	—	0	53	29%	0	—	—
A. Bozzolan	D	90	6.69	—	—	0	27	25%	4	—	—
F. Barba	D	90	6.88	—	—	0	40	36%	2	—	—
G. Magnani	D	61	6.36	—	—	0	26	19%	2	—	—
T. Cassandro	D	90	6.80	—	—	0	21	19%	6	—	—
N. Estévez	M	90	6.05	—	—	1	47	40%	3	—	—
C. Gomes	M	73	7.23	—	1	1	15	14%	0	—	—
D. Vavassori	M	90	7.36	—	1	2	13	10%	1	—	—
A. Palumbo	M	61	6.59	1	—	2	31	25%	2	—	—
Gabriel Strefezza	M	45	7.52	1	—	2	5	4%	1	—	—
A. Gabrielloni	F	61	6.20	—	—	0	14	7%	0	1	—
D. Johnsen	F	45	7.69	1	1	1	15	9%	2	—	—
Hernani	M	29	6.28	—	—	2	9	5%	1	—	—
J. Pohjanpalo	F	29	8.65	2	—	2	10	6%	0	—	—
J. Segre	M	17	6.52	—	1	0	4	4%	1	—	—
P. Peda	D	29	6.45	—	—	0	6	2%	1	—	—

Mantova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Bardi	G	90	6.18	—	—	0	24	16%	0	—	—
A. Castellini	D	90	6.32	—	—	1	56	47%	1	—	—
S. Cella	D	90	5.88	—	—	1	51	48%	3	—	—
	D	77	5.61	—	—	2	34	26%	0	—	—
F. Benaissa-Yahia	M	90	6.27	—	—	0	50	45%	3	—	—
L. Ignacchiti	M	90	6.11	—	—	1	49	40%	2	—	—
S. Trimboli	M	14	5.75	—	—	0	7	5%	0	—	—
I. Cajazzo	M	45	5.55	—	—	0	22	16%	0	—	—
R. Ilie	M	90	5.75	—	1	1	21	14%	2	1	—
Federico Chinetti	M	45	5.98	—	—	1	8	7%	0	—	—
E. Gliozzi	F	60	6.65	—	—	3	11	7%	0	—	—
B. Tomašević	D	13	5.68	—	—	1	11	10%	0	—	—
F. Ruocco	M	45	6.69	1	—	1	20	17%	0	1	—
Jonathan Silva	M	45	6.62	—	—	0	23	20%	5	—	—
R. Kouda	M	76	7.74	1	—	1	50	44%	1	—	—
V. Vlahović	F	30	6.25	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Palermo vs Mantova?

The final score was Palermo 5–2 Mantova.

What did the model predict before Palermo vs Mantova?

The model assigned 40% probability to a Palermo win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Mantova win.