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Serie B · Regular Season - 5 September 19, 2026 15:00 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Palermo
#1 · 13 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Padova
#6 · 7 pts
Dominic Vavassori (ast. Dennis Johnsen) 44'
Dominic Vavassori (ast. Dennis Johnsen) 83'
7' (ast. Matteo Cocchi) Christian Pastina
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Padova 27%). The final result was Palermo 2–1 Padova. In 2 previous meetings, Palermo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
20
7
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
11
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. Matteo Cocchi · Christian Pastina⚽
9'
Niccolo Pierozzi
42'
⚽Dominic Vavassori · ast. Dennis Johnsen
44'
↕ Niccolo Pierozzi / Tommaso Cassandro
45'
↕ Mattia Bani / Giangiacomo Magnani
45'
53'
Francesco Di Mariano / Alexander Seghetti ↕
61'
Matteo Cocchi
Filippo·Ranocchia
66'
↕ Filippo·Ranocchia / Nahuel Estévez
67'
69'
Lorenzo Carissoni / Matteo Cocchi ↕
69'
Kevin Lasagna / Luca Moro ↕
↕ Jacopo Segre / Claudio Gomes
76'
↕ Joel Pohjanpalo / Alessandro Gabrielloni
82'
⚽Dominic Vavassori · ast. Dennis Johnsen
83'
84'
Nicolas Galazzi / Giovanni·Giunti ↕
84'
Mattia Bortolussi / Emanuele Zuelli ↕
90'+1
Lorenzo Carissoni
Pre-match prediction
43.05%
Palermo ←
29.28%
X
27.67%
Padova
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 43.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
1.70
—
—
Padova
0.99
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 5 13
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 5 11
3 Mantova Mantova 5 11
4 Modena Modena 5 10
5 Ascoli Ascoli 5 10
6 Padova Padova 5 7
7 Benevento Benevento 5 7
8 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 5 7
9 Avellino Avellino 5 7
10 Cesena Cesena 5 7
11 Pisa Pisa 5 7
12 Arezzo Arezzo 5 6
13 Empoli Empoli 5 6
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 5 5
15 Cremonese Cremonese 5 5
16 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 5 5
17 Sampdoria Sampdoria 5 4
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 5 3
19 Catanzaro Catanzaro 5 3
20 Carrarese Carrarese 5 1
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 4-2-3-1
14 M. Fortin M. Fortin G 6.88
3 T. Augello T. Augello D 6.71
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni D 6.72
13 M. Bani M. Bani 46' D 6.87
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 46' D 6.00
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia 67' M 7.20
8 J. Segre J. Segre 76' M 6.08
17 D. Johnsen D. Johnsen 2 👟 M 8.51
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo M 6.48
9 D. Vavassori D. Vavassori 2 ⚽ M 8.87
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 82' F 6.47
Bench
33 A. Bozzolan A. Bozzolan D 0.00
99 A. Gabrielloni A. Gabrielloni 8' F 6.44
6 C. Gomes C. Gomes 14' M 6.22
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi D 0.00
93 F. Barba F. Barba D 0.00
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani 44' D 7.13
36 L. Mazzitelli L. Mazzitelli M 0.00
12 M. Nespola M. Nespola G 0.00
63 N. Balagušs N. Balagušs G 0.00
24 N. Estévez N. Estévez 23' M 6.30
29 P. Peda P. Peda D 0.00
84 T. Cassandro T. Cassandro 44' D 6.33
Padova Padova 3-5-2
22 A. Sorrentino A. Sorrentino G 7.11
58 C. Pastina C. Pastina 1 ⚽ D 7.44
5 M. Lovato M. Lovato D 6.22
27 Alessandro Dellavalle Alessandro Dellavalle D 6.49
34 M. Cocchi M. Cocchi 1 👟 69' M 6.17
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi M 6.88
21 E. Zuelli E. Zuelli 84' M 6.95
6 G. Giunti G. Giunti 84' M 6.36
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli M 5.75
9 L. Moro L. Moro 69' F 5.93
11 A. Seghetti A. Seghetti 53' F 6.12
Bench
72 C. Faedo C. Faedo D 0.00
18 E. Silletti E. Silletti D 0.00
23 F. Di Mariano F. Di Mariano 37' M 6.05
32 F. Sgarbi F. Sgarbi D 0.00
10 G. Caprari G. Caprari F 0.00
15 K. Lasagna K. Lasagna 21' F 6.60
7 K. Varas K. Varas M 0.00
24 L. Carissoni L. Carissoni 22' D 5.13
1 L. Mouquet L. Mouquet G 0.00
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi 6' F 6.27
14 M. Pompetti M. Pompetti M 0.00
25 N. Galazzi N. Galazzi 6' M 6.03
Best on the pitch
D. Vavassori
D. Vavassori
M · Palermo
8.87
2 ⚽
7 shots · 12 pass
D. Johnsen
D. Johnsen
M · Palermo
8.51
2 👟
4 shots · 25 pass
C. Pastina
C. Pastina
D · Padova
7.44
1 ⚽
1 shots · 50 pass
F. Ranocchia
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
7.20
1 shots · 38 pass
G. Magnani
G. Magnani
D · Palermo
7.13
1 shots · 20 pass
A. Sorrentino
A. Sorrentino
G · Padova
7.11
· 23 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Fortin G 90 6.88 — — 0 36 21% 0 — —
T. Augello D 90 6.71 — — 0 53 46% 1 — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.72 — — 0 56 54% 0 — —
M. Bani D 46 6.87 — — 0 40 37% 4 — —
N. Pierozzi D 46 6.00 — — 0 23 19% 0 1 —
F. Ranocchia M 67 7.20 — — 1 38 29% 1 1 —
J. Segre M 76 6.08 — — 3 16 12% 0 — —
D. Johnsen M 90 8.51 — 2 4 25 15% 0 — —
A. Palumbo M 90 6.48 — — 5 28 18% 6 — —
D. Vavassori M 90 8.87 2 — 7 12 8% 0 — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 82 6.47 — — 1 18 10% 0 — —
A. Gabrielloni F 8 6.44 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
C. Gomes M 14 6.22 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
G. Magnani D 44 7.13 — — 1 20 17% 3 — —
N. Estévez M 23 6.30 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
T. Cassandro D 44 6.33 — — 0 14 9% 0 — —
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Sorrentino G 90 7.11 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
C. Pastina D 90 7.44 1 — 1 50 38% 2 — —
M. Lovato D 90 6.22 — — 0 33 27% 2 — —
Alessandro Dellavalle D 90 6.49 — — 3 27 22% 2 — —
M. Cocchi M 69 6.17 — 1 3 25 16% 1 1 —
P. Fusi M 90 6.88 — — 2 36 33% 3 — —
E. Zuelli M 84 6.95 — — 3 44 39% 0 — —
G. Giunti M 84 6.36 — — 3 25 19% 1 — —
A. Capelli M 90 5.75 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
L. Moro F 69 5.93 — — 1 20 13% 0 — —
A. Seghetti F 53 6.12 — — 1 11 6% 0 — —
F. Di Mariano M 37 6.05 — — 2 12 11% 0 — —
K. Lasagna F 21 6.60 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
L. Carissoni D 22 5.13 — — 0 12 10% 0 — 1
M. Bortolussi F 6 6.27 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
N. Galazzi M 6 6.03 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Padova?
The final score was Palermo 2–1 Padova.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Padova?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Palermo win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Padova win.