Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Palestino, result Draw
N. Da Silva
(ast. R. Fernandez)
42'
28'
(ast. F. Mino)
J. Randazzo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Deportivo Riestra 16%). The final result was Palestino 1–1 Deportivo Riestra. In 1 previous meetings, Palestino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Riestra.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
1.83
1
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
3
Corners
7
10
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
15'
F. Mino
19'
N. Sansotre
28'
ast. F. Mino ·
J. Randazzo⚽
⚽N. Da Silva
· ast. R. Fernandez
42'
R. Fernandez
/ G. Tapia Paez
46'
I. Alegria
/ C. Munder
46'
J. Fernandez
51'
D. Salgado
58'
M. Araya
/ S. Gallegos
62'
66'
J. Herrera
/
R. Sayavedra
72'
N. Watson
77'
M. Smarra
/
G. Obredor
N. Da Silva
/ J. Leon
84'
F. T. Montes Romero
/ V. A. Espinoza Hevia
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
62.79%
Palestino
20.84%
X ←
16.37%
Deportivo
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
0.65
-1.36
0.54
1.83
+1.29
Deportivo Riestra dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Sebastián Pérez
G
Sebastián Pérez
G
4
Antonio Ceza
D
Antonio Ceza
D
6
F. Meza
D
F. Meza
D
16
José Bizama
D
José Bizama
D
30
Ian Alegría
45'
M
Ian Alegría
45'
M
15
Francisco Montes
M
Francisco Montes
M
5
J. Fernández
M
J. Fernández
M
24
Dilan Salgado
58'
M
Dilan Salgado
58'
M
21
Martín Araya
62'
F
Martín Araya
62'
F
19
N. Da Silva
1 ⚽
84'
F
N. Da Silva
1 ⚽
84'
F
9
Ronnie Fernández
1 👟
45'
F
Ronnie Fernández
1 👟
45'
F
Bench
13
Albert Gomez
F
Albert Gomez
F
27
C. Munder
52'
F
C. Munder
52'
F
3
Enzo Roco
D
Enzo Roco
D
20
Gonzalo Tapia
52'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
52'
F
23
Jason León
13'
D
Jason León
13'
D
11
J. Benítez
F
J. Benítez
F
34
Mateo Cienfuegos
D
Mateo Cienfuegos
D
8
Nicolás Meza
M
Nicolás Meza
M
1
Sebastián Salas
G
Sebastián Salas
G
18
S. Gallegos
35'
M
S. Gallegos
35'
M
2
Vicente Espinoza
5'
D
Vicente Espinoza
5'
D
1
Ignacio Arce
G
Ignacio Arce
G
19
J. Randazzo
1 ⚽
D
J. Randazzo
1 ⚽
D
15
Nicolás Sansotre
D
Nicolás Sansotre
D
24
Facundo Miño
1 👟
D
Facundo Miño
1 👟
D
28
Rodrigo Sayavedra
66'
M
Rodrigo Sayavedra
66'
M
14
Pablo Monje
M
Pablo Monje
M
16
Nicolas Watson
M
Nicolas Watson
M
36
Mariano Bracamonte
M
Mariano Bracamonte
M
27
J. Goitía
F
J. Goitía
F
40
Gabriel Obredor
77'
F
Gabriel Obredor
77'
F
7
Antony Alonso
F
Antony Alonso
F
Bench
35
Ángel Stringa
F
Ángel Stringa
F
45
Benjamin Perez
M
Benjamin Perez
M
9
Jonathan Herrera
31'
F
Jonathan Herrera
31'
F
26
Jorge Luque
G
Jorge Luque
G
21
José Ingratti
F
José Ingratti
F
34
Lautaro Duarte
F
Lautaro Duarte
F
31
Mauro Smarra
20'
M
Mauro Smarra
20'
M
25
Patricio Madero
M
Patricio Madero
M
5
Pedro Ramírez
D
Pedro Ramírez
D
13
Rodrigo Gallo
D
Rodrigo Gallo
D
47
Thiago Romero
F
Thiago Romero
F
4
Yeison Murillo
D
Yeison Murillo
D
Best on the pitch
J. Randazzo
D · Deportivo
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Ian Alegría
M · Palestino
7.30
· 17 pass
Francisco Montes
M · Palestino
7.30
· 44 pass
C. Munder
F · Palestino
7.30
2 shots
· 12 pass
Sebastián Pérez
G · Palestino
7.20
· 45 pass
F. Meza
D · Palestino
7.20
· 61 pass
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Pérez | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Ceza | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Meza | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | — | — | — |
| José Bizama | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Alegría | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Francisco Montes | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Fernández | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dilan Salgado | M | 58 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 20% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Martín Araya | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 84 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ronnie Fernández | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Munder | F | 52 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jason León | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Vicente Espinoza | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Riestra — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Arce | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Randazzo | D | 97 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Sansotre | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Facundo Miño | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Sayavedra | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Monje | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Watson | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Mariano Bracamonte | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Goitía | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Obredor | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Antony Alonso | F | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Herrera | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mauro Smarra | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palestino vs Deportivo Riestra?
The final score was Palestino 1–1 Deportivo Riestra.
What did the model predict before Palestino vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Palestino win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Deportivo Riestra win.