Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 20
July 27, 2026 00:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Palmeiras, result Atletico-MG wins
Felipe Anderson
(ast. J. Arias)
75'
54'
Victor Hugo
77'
(ast. A. Minda)
Igor Gomes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Atletico-MG 19%). The final result was Palmeiras 1–2 Atletico-MG. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
5
69%
Possession
31%
10
Corners
5
13
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
A. Preciado
46'
M. Cisse
/
Maycon
54'
Victor Hugo⚽
E. Martinez
/ Vitor Roque
59'
A. Giay
/ Felipe Anderson
59'
Paulinho
/ Heittor Vinicius
65'
71'
A. Minda
/
Bernard
71'
Igor Gomes
/
Victor Hugo
⚽Felipe Anderson
· ast. J. Arias
75'
76'
Ruan Tressoldi
77'
ast. A. Minda ·
Igor Gomes⚽
J. Piquerez
/ Arthur Gabriel
78'
Mauricio
/ Lucas Evangelista
78'
85'
Vitor Hugo
/
A. Preciado
90'+3
R. Lodi
90'
Alexsander
/
T. Perez
Pre-match prediction
58.69%
Palmeiras
22.25%
X
19.07%
Atletico-MG ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG)
19.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
—
—
0.94
—
—
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
22
Joaquín Piquerez
78'
D
Joaquín Piquerez
78'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
Gustavo Gómez
D
Gustavo Gómez
D
4
Agustín Giay
59'
D
Agustín Giay
59'
D
8
Andreas Pereira
M
Andreas Pereira
M
32
Emiliano Martínez
59'
M
Emiliano Martínez
59'
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
11
Jhon Arias
1 👟
M
Jhon Arias
1 👟
M
18
Mauricio
78'
M
Mauricio
78'
M
10
Paulinho
65'
F
Paulinho
65'
F
Bench
56
Arthur Gabriel
12'
D
Arthur Gabriel
12'
D
45
Erick Belé
M
7
Felipe Anderson
1 ⚽
31'
M
Felipe Anderson
1 ⚽
31'
M
39
Heittor
F
21
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
48
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
12'
M
Lucas Evangelista
12'
M
43
Luis Benedetti
D
Luis Benedetti
D
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
9
Vitor Roque
31'
F
Vitor Roque
31'
F
22
Everson
G
Everson
G
16
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
13
Lyanco
D
Lyanco
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
Ruan Tressoldi
D
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
8
Maycon
45'
M
Maycon
45'
M
25
Tomás Pérez
89'
M
Tomás Pérez
89'
M
11
Bernard
71'
M
Bernard
71'
M
30
Victor Hugo
1 ⚽
71'
M
Victor Hugo
1 ⚽
71'
M
23
Ángelo Preciado
85'
M
Ángelo Preciado
85'
M
9
M. Cassierra
F
M. Cassierra
F
Bench
27
Alan Minda
1 👟
19'
F
Alan Minda
1 👟
19'
F
5
Alexsander
1'
M
Alexsander
1'
M
29
Cauã Campos Soares
F
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
17
Igor Gomes
1 ⚽
19'
M
Igor Gomes
1 ⚽
19'
M
3
Iván Román
D
48
João Pedro Porto Lucrécio "Gutte"
M
36
Kauã Pascini
D
Kauã Pascini
D
39
Mamady Cissé
45'
M
Mamady Cissé
45'
M
19
Reinier
M
Reinier
M
14
Vitor Hugo
5'
D
Vitor Hugo
5'
D
Best on the pitch
Igor Gomes
M · Atletico-MG
7.95
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Felipe Anderson
M · Palmeiras
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Victor Hugo
M · Atletico-MG
7.59
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.20
1 shots
· 67 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.18
4 shots
· 105 pass
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
6.95
· 44 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquín Piquerez | D | 78 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 4 | 105 | 93% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 59 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 63% | 0 | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | 59 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 130 | 121% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 6 | 45 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Mauricio | M | 78 | 6.08 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 65 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | D | 12 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 31 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 12 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 31 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everson | G | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lyanco | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Ruan Tressoldi | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Natanael | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 45 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | M | 89 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 71 | 7.59 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | M | 85 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Cassierra | F | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Alan Minda | F | 19 | 6.67 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Alexsander | M | 1 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Gomes | M | 19 | 7.95 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | 45 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 5 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Palmeiras 1–2 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Palmeiras win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Atletico-MG win.