✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
José Manuel López
(ast. Alexander Barboza)
7'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 67% win probability (draw 16%, Bahia 16%). The final result was Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bahia.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
10
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
3
21
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽José Manuel López
· ast. Alexander Barboza
7'
61'
Nicolas Acevedo
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
64'
65'
Ademir
/
erick pulga
65'
Caio Alexandre
/
Nicolas Acevedo
65'
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
/
Rodrigo Nestor
Vitor Roque
/ Ramon Sosa
69'
José Manuel López
/ Jhon Arias
69'
82'
Mateo Naín Sanabria
/
Cristian Olivera
82'
Willian José
/
Alejo Veliz
87'
Jean Lucas
Andreas Pereira
/ Felipe Anderson
87'
Pre-match prediction
67.8%
Palmeiras ←
16.09%
X
16.11%
Bahia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
67.8%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.21
—
—
1.50
—
—
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
1 👟
D
A. Barboza
1 👟
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
56
Arthur
M
Arthur
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
8
Andreas Pereira
87'
M
Andreas Pereira
87'
M
12
Khellven
M
Khellven
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
M
Lucas Evangelista
M
42
J. López
1 ⚽
69'
M
J. López
1 ⚽
69'
M
9
Vitor Roque
69'
F
Vitor Roque
69'
F
Bench
4
A. Giay
D
A. Giay
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
37
Fabiano
M
Fabiano
M
7
Felipe Anderson
3'
M
Felipe Anderson
3'
M
11
J. Arias
21'
M
J. Arias
21'
M
22
J. Piquerez
D
J. Piquerez
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
M
Maurício
M
19
R. Sosa
21'
F
R. Sosa
21'
F
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
46
Luciano Juba
D
Luciano Juba
D
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
31
Roman Gomez
D
Roman Gomez
D
6
Jean Lucas
M
Jean Lucas
M
5
N. Acevedo
65'
M
N. Acevedo
65'
M
11
Rodrigo Nestor
65'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
65'
M
16
Erick Pulga
65'
F
Erick Pulga
65'
F
9
A. Véliz
82'
F
A. Véliz
82'
F
99
C. Olivera
82'
F
C. Olivera
82'
F
Bench
7
Ademir
25'
F
Ademir
25'
F
8
Caio Alexandre
25'
M
Caio Alexandre
25'
M
14
Erick
25'
M
Erick
25'
M
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
10
Éverton Ribeiro
M
Éverton Ribeiro
M
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
15
M. Araújo
M
M. Araújo
M
3
Marco Moreno
D
Marco Moreno
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
M. Sanabria
8'
F
M. Sanabria
8'
F
12
Willian José
8'
F
Willian José
8'
F
66
Zé Guilherme
D
Zé Guilherme
D
Best on the pitch
Ronaldo
G · Bahia
8.80
· 37 pass
J. López
M · Palmeiras
8.10
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
G. Gómez
D · Palmeiras
7.45
2 shots
· 28 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.20
3 shots
· 32 pass
A. Barboza
D · Palmeiras
7.18
1 👟
· 38 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.07
5 shots
· 47 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | 1 | 0 | 38 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 5 | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Khellven | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | M | 69 | 8.10 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 69 | 6.35 | — | — | 5 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 3 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 21 | 6.88 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 90 | 8.80 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Kanu | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 92 | 88% | 2 | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 65 | 5.97 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 54% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 65 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 65 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 82 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Olivera | F | 82 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 25 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 25 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 25 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sanabria | F | 8 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 8 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Bahia?
The final score was Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Bahia?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Palmeiras win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an Bahia win.