Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 02:30
48'
(ast. F. Dominguez)
P. Vegetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 51% win probability (draw 31%, Cerro Porteno 17%). The final result was Palmeiras 0–1 Cerro Porteno. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerro Porteno.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
0.79
Actual xG
0.76
1
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
6
Corners
3
9
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
45'+3
R. Piris
46'
A. G. Benitez
/
M. Chaparro
46'
J. Torres
/
F. Noguera
48'
ast. F. Dominguez ·
P. Vegetti⚽
A. Giay
/ Mauricio
59'
60'
J. Morel
61'
A. G. Benitez
62'
C. Bobadilla
/
M. Klimowicz
Arthur Gabriel
68'
E. Martinez
/ Paulinho
71'
73'
J. Iturbe
/
C. Dominguez
Andreas Pereira
84'
Allan Elias
/ Luighi
85'
Andreas Pereira
/ Lucas Evangelista
85'
G. Gomez
89'
Pre-match prediction
51.27%
Palmeiras
31.72%
X
17.01%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Porteno)
17.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
0.79
-0.26
0.47
0.76
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (0.79 – 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur Gabriel
D
Arthur Gabriel
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
4
Agustín Giay
59'
D
Agustín Giay
59'
D
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
32
Emiliano Martínez
71'
M
Emiliano Martínez
71'
M
11
Jhon Arias
M
Jhon Arias
M
8
Andreas Pereira
85'
M
Andreas Pereira
85'
M
40
Allan
85'
M
Allan
85'
M
42
J. López
F
J. López
F
Bench
45
Erick Belé
M
Erick Belé
M
6
Jefté
D
Jefté
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
12'
M
Lucas Evangelista
12'
M
31
Luighi Hanri
12'
F
Luighi Hanri
12'
F
50
Luis Pacheco
M
Luis Pacheco
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
31'
M
Maurício
31'
M
10
Paulinho
19'
F
Paulinho
19'
F
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
44
Zie Mohamed Kone
D
Zie Mohamed Kone
D
1
Alexis Martín Arias
G
Alexis Martín Arias
G
35
Marcelo Chaparro
45'
D
Marcelo Chaparro
45'
D
22
M. Pérez
D
M. Pérez
D
23
G. Velázquez
D
G. Velázquez
D
2
Fabricio Domínguez
1 👟
D
Fabricio Domínguez
1 👟
D
26
Piris da Motta
M
Piris da Motta
M
36
Fredy Noguera
45'
M
Fredy Noguera
45'
M
40
Mateo Klimowicz
62'
M
Mateo Klimowicz
62'
M
5
J. Morel
M
J. Morel
M
10
C. Domínguez
73'
M
C. Domínguez
73'
M
19
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
P. Vegetti
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
Abel Luciatti
D
Abel Luciatti
D
32
Cesar Bobadilla
28'
M
Cesar Bobadilla
28'
M
24
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
16
Fabrizio Peralta
M
Fabrizio Peralta
M
13
Guillermo Benitez
45'
D
Guillermo Benitez
45'
D
11
J. Iturbe
17'
F
J. Iturbe
17'
F
27
Jonatan Torres
45'
F
Jonatan Torres
45'
F
14
Lucas Quintana
D
Lucas Quintana
D
25
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
33
Rodrigo Gómez
D
Rodrigo Gómez
D
42
Víctor Sánchez
D
Víctor Sánchez
D
20
Wílder Viera
M
Wílder Viera
M
Best on the pitch
Alexis Martín Arias
G · Cerro
7.90
· 39 pass
G. Velázquez
D · Cerro
7.60
· 27 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.50
· 67 pass
P. Vegetti
F · Cerro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Mateo Klimowicz
M · Cerro
7.30
· 11 pass
Fabricio Domínguez
D · Cerro
7.30
1 👟
· 15 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | — | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 75 | 65% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Allan | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 12 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Chaparro | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pérez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Velázquez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabricio Domínguez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Piris da Motta | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fredy Noguera | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Klimowicz | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Morel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Domínguez | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Cesar Bobadilla | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Benitez | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Iturbe | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonatan Torres | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
The final score was Palmeiras 0–1 Cerro Porteno.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Palmeiras win, 31% to a draw, and 17% to an Cerro Porteno win.