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Palmeiras - Cerro Porteno

Copa Libertadores August 11, 2026 22:00
Palmeiras
#2 · 11 pts
vs
Cerro Porteno
#1 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.63%
Win
Palmeiras
24.4%
Draw
24.97%
Win
Cerro Porteno
2.97
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.81%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 51%
X 24%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 49%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 50% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Cerro Porteno. Expected goals are 3.0 for Palmeiras and 1.2 for Cerro Porteno (total 4.2), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.81% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cerro Porteno.

Season Stats

Palmeiras
3W 2D 1L
Cerro Porteno
4W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
0.3
5.8
Shots OT
2.8
6.2
Corners
3.2
62%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
33%
33%
O 2.5
0%
67%
BTTS
17%
17%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Palmeiras
2W 0D 1L · at home
Cerro Porteno
2W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.7
1.0
Conceded
0.3
67%
Win %
67%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
67%
O 1.5
0%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Palmeiras Cerro Porteno →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 4.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.5% 8.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.5% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Palmeiras Palmeiras
W Junior 4–1
L Cerro Porteno 0–1
W Sporting Cristal 0–2
D Cerro Porteno 1–1
W Sporting Cristal 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
W Sporting Cristal 2–0
W Palmeiras 0–1
W Junior 0–1
D Palmeiras 1–1
W Junior 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
49
Defence
71
Form
71
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Attack
29
Defence
72
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Palmeiras
1
Draw
1
Cerro Porteno
21 May 2026 Copa Libertadores 0–1
30 Apr 2026 Copa Libertadores 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
The model gives Palmeiras a 50% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 24% for an Cerro Porteno win.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Expected goals: Palmeiras 3.0, Cerro Porteno 1.2 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.81%.