Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 16
May 17, 2026 02:00
Felipe Anderson
20'
11'
(ast. Christian)
K. Arroyo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Cruzeiro 30%). The final result was Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
0.93
Actual xG
0.42
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
K. Arroyo
11'
ast. Christian ·
K. Arroyo⚽
R. Sosa
/ Mauricio
17'
⚽Felipe Anderson
20'
41'
Matheus Pereira
Felipe Anderson
/ Lucas Evangelista
44'
J. Lopez
72'
75'
Kenji
/
K. Arroyo
75'
Otavio Costa
Andreas Pereira
/ Paulinho
77'
Arthur Gabriel
/ Jefte
77'
A. Giay
/ Khellven
77'
Murilo
88'
89'
L. Sinisterra
/
Matheus Pereira
90'+2
Lucas Silva
90'
Lucas Silva
/
Christian
Pre-match prediction
43.12%
Palmeiras
26.25%
X ←
30.63%
Cruzeiro
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.93
-0.31
1.15
0.42
-0.73
Palmeiras dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur
77'
D
Arthur
77'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
4
A. Giay
77'
D
A. Giay
77'
D
7
Felipe Anderson
1 ⚽
44'
M
Felipe Anderson
1 ⚽
44'
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
8
Andreas Pereira
77'
M
Andreas Pereira
77'
M
11
Jhon Arias
M
Jhon Arias
M
42
J. López
F
J. López
F
19
R. Sosa
17'
F
R. Sosa
17'
F
Bench
32
Emiliano Martínez
M
Emiliano Martínez
M
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
6
Jefté
20'
D
Jefté
20'
D
12
Khellven
20'
D
Khellven
20'
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
53'
M
Lucas Evangelista
53'
M
31
Luighi Hanri
F
Luighi Hanri
F
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
80'
M
Maurício
80'
M
10
Paulinho
20'
F
Paulinho
20'
F
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
81
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
G
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
G
6
Kaiki
D
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan
D
Jonathan
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fágner
D
Fágner
D
29
L. Romero
M
L. Romero
M
11
Gerson
M
Gerson
M
88
Christian
1 👟
M
Christian
1 👟
M
10
Matheus Pereira
89'
M
Matheus Pereira
89'
M
99
Keny Arroyo
1 ⚽
75'
M
Keny Arroyo
1 ⚽
75'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
F
Kaio Jorge
F
Bench
91
Francisco da Costa
F
Francisco da Costa
F
77
Japa
M
Japa
M
43
João Marcelo
D
João Marcelo
D
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
70
Kenji
22'
F
Kenji
22'
F
16
Lucas Silva
7'
M
Lucas Silva
7'
M
17
Luis Sinisterra
8'
F
Luis Sinisterra
8'
F
25
L. Villalba
D
L. Villalba
D
7
Marquinhos
F
Marquinhos
F
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
40
Rhuan Gabriel
M
Rhuan Gabriel
M
94
Wanderson
F
Wanderson
F
Best on the pitch
Keny Arroyo
M · Cruzeiro
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Jonathan
D · Cruzeiro
7.60
3 shots
· 44 pass
Felipe Anderson
M · Palmeiras
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.50
· 38 pass
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
G · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 24 pass
Paulinho
F · Palmeiras
7.20
1 shots
· 12 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Giay | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 44 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jefté | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Kaiki | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 41% | 7 | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Fágner | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Romero | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 75 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Kenji | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Sinisterra | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Palmeiras win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Cruzeiro win.