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Palmeiras - Fortaleza EC

Copa do Brasil August 02, 2026 21:00
Palmeiras
vs
Fortaleza EC
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.5%
Win
Palmeiras
25.68%
Draw
21.82%
Win
Fortaleza EC
1.96
Expected xG
0.98

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.65%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 26%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 48%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 52% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fortaleza EC. Expected goals are 2.0 for Palmeiras and 1.0 for Fortaleza EC (total 2.9), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.65% probability.

Season Stats

Palmeiras
4W 0D 2L
Fortaleza EC
4W 3D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.4
0.7
Conceded
0.9
5.3
Shots OT
4.0
5.3
Corners
7.3
52%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
57%
50%
O 2.5
29%
17%
BTTS
57%
50%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
13%
BTTS
Palmeiras
2W 0D 1L · at home
Fortaleza EC
2W 2D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.8
0.7
Conceded
0.2
67%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
25%
67%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
25%
67%
Clean Sht
75%
33%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Palmeiras Fortaleza EC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 10.4% 10.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 10.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% —
4 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Palmeiras Palmeiras
W Jacuipense 1–4
W Jacuipense 3–0
L Corinthians 0–2
L Corinthians 1–0
W Ceara 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
D CRB 0–0
W CRB 2–1
W Nova Iguaçu 0–1
W Manauara 0–1
W Maguary PE 4–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 41%

Playing profile

Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
49
Defence
71
Form
71
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Attack
38
Defence
66
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
The model gives Palmeiras a 52% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 21% for an Fortaleza EC win.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
Expected goals: Palmeiras 2.0, Fortaleza EC 1.0 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.65%.