Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
Jhon Arias
(ast. José López)
6'
Allan
(ast. José López)
40'
Jhon Arias
(ast. José López)
45'
Andreas Pereira
(ast. Murilo)
51'
36'
(ast. Jermein Peña)
Luis Muriel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 64% win probability (draw 21%, Junior 13%). The final result was Palmeiras 4–1 Junior. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
1
2.12
Actual xG
1.21
0
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
0
Corners
7
27
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Jhon Arias
· ast. José López
6'
16'
Yimmi Chará
29'
Jean Carlos Pestaña
36'
ast. Jermein Peña ·
Luis Muriel⚽
⚽Allan
· ast. José López
40'
⚽Jhon Arias
· ast. José López
45'
46'
Joel Canchimbo
/
Jean Carlos Pestaña
48'
⚽Andreas Pereira
· ast. Murilo
51'
54'
Jannenson Sarmiento
/
Guillermo Paiva
54'
Bryan Castrillón
/
Jesús Rivas
54'
Juan David Ríos
/
Yimmi Chará
Marlon Freitas
/ Luis Pacheco
70'
Allan
/ Mauricio
70'
70'
Daniel Rivera
/
Lucas Monzón
75'
José López
/ Paulinho
77'
Andreas Pereira
/ Lucas Evangelista
77'
79'
Juan David Ríos
Jhon Arias
/ Felipe Anderson
80'
Pre-match prediction
64.67%
Palmeiras ←
21.36%
X
13.97%
Junior
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
64.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
2.12
+0.39
0.72
1.21
+0.49
Palmeiras dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur
D
Arthur
D
26
Murilo
1 👟
D
Murilo
1 👟
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
4
A. Giay
D
A. Giay
D
17
Marlon Freitas
70'
M
Marlon Freitas
70'
M
32
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
11
J. Arias
2 ⚽
80'
M
J. Arias
2 ⚽
80'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
1 ⚽
77'
M
Andreas Pereira
1 ⚽
77'
M
40
Allan
1 ⚽
70'
M
Allan
1 ⚽
70'
M
42
J. López
3 👟
77'
F
J. López
3 👟
77'
F
Bench
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
7
Felipe Anderson
10'
M
Felipe Anderson
10'
M
6
Jefté
D
Jefté
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
13'
M
Lucas Evangelista
13'
M
31
Luighi Hanri
F
Luighi Hanri
F
50
Luis Felipe
20'
M
Luis Felipe
20'
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
20'
M
Maurício
20'
M
10
Paulinho
13'
F
Paulinho
13'
F
19
R. Sosa
F
R. Sosa
F
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
3
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
33
L. Monzón
70'
D
L. Monzón
70'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
45'
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
45'
D
98
Jermein Peña
1 👟
D
Jermein Peña
1 👟
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
8
Yimmi Chará
54'
M
Yimmi Chará
54'
M
80
F. Ángel
M
F. Ángel
M
22
Jesús Rivas
54'
M
Jesús Rivas
54'
M
9
G. Paiva
54'
F
G. Paiva
54'
F
10
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
F
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
F
Bench
88
B. Castrillón
36'
F
B. Castrillón
36'
F
70
C. Bacca
F
C. Bacca
F
77
C. Barrios
F
C. Barrios
F
5
D. Rivera
20'
M
D. Rivera
20'
M
7
H. Rivera
M
H. Rivera
M
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
45'
F
Joel Canchimbo
45'
F
14
J. Ríos
36'
M
J. Ríos
36'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
36'
M
J. Sarmiento
36'
M
18
K. Pérez
F
K. Pérez
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
F
T. Gutiérrez
F
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
Best on the pitch
J. López
F · Palmeiras
8.90
3 👟
3 shots
· 26 pass
J. Arias
M · Palmeiras
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
Allan
M · Palmeiras
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
8.00
1 👟
· 48 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
A. Giay
D · Palmeiras
7.50
· 46 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Giay | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 80 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 77 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 77 | 8.90 | — | 3 | 3 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Felipe | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 70 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 59 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Ángel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Castrillón | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rivera | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Junior?
The final score was Palmeiras 4–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Junior?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Palmeiras win, 21% to a draw, and 13% to an Junior win.