Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
Jhon Arias
(ast. José López)
6'
Allan
(ast. José López)
40'
Jhon Arias
(ast. José López)
45'
Andreas Pereira
(ast. Murilo)
51'
36'
(ast. Jermein Peña)
Luis Muriel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 64% win probability (draw 21%, Junior 13%). The final result was Palmeiras 4–1 Junior. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
1
2.12
Actual xG
1.21
0
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
0
Corners
7
27
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Jhon Arias
· ast. José López
6'
16'
Yimmi Chará
29'
Jean Carlos Pestaña
36'
ast. Jermein Peña ·
Luis Muriel⚽
⚽Allan
· ast. José López
40'
⚽Jhon Arias
· ast. José López
45'
46'
Joel Canchimbo
/
Jean Carlos Pestaña
48'
⚽Andreas Pereira
· ast. Murilo
51'
54'
Jannenson Sarmiento
/
Guillermo Paiva
54'
Bryan Castrillón
/
Jesús Rivas
54'
Juan David Ríos
/
Yimmi Chará
Marlon Freitas
/ Luis Pacheco
70'
Allan
/ Mauricio
70'
70'
Daniel Rivera
/
Lucas Monzón
75'
José López
/ Paulinho
77'
Andreas Pereira
/ Lucas Evangelista
77'
79'
Juan David Ríos
Jhon Arias
/ Felipe Anderson
80'
Pre-match prediction
64.67%
Palmeiras ←
21.36%
X
13.97%
Junior
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
64.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
2.12
+0.39
0.72
1.21
+0.49
Palmeiras dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur Gabriel
D
Arthur Gabriel
D
26
Murilo
1 👟
D
Murilo
1 👟
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
4
Agustín Giay
D
Agustín Giay
D
17
Marlon Freitas
70'
M
Marlon Freitas
70'
M
32
Emiliano Martínez
M
Emiliano Martínez
M
11
Jhon Arias
2 ⚽
80'
M
Jhon Arias
2 ⚽
80'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
1 ⚽
77'
M
Andreas Pereira
1 ⚽
77'
M
40
Allan
1 ⚽
70'
M
Allan
1 ⚽
70'
M
42
J. López
3 👟
77'
F
J. López
3 👟
77'
F
Bench
45
Erick Belé
M
Erick Belé
M
7
Felipe Anderson
10'
M
Felipe Anderson
10'
M
6
Jefté
D
Jefté
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
13'
M
Lucas Evangelista
13'
M
31
Luighi Hanri
F
Luighi Hanri
F
50
Luis Pacheco
20'
M
Luis Pacheco
20'
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
20'
M
Maurício
20'
M
10
Paulinho
13'
F
Paulinho
13'
F
19
R. Sosa
F
R. Sosa
F
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
3
Edwin Herrera
D
Edwin Herrera
D
33
Lucas Monzón
70'
D
Lucas Monzón
70'
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
45'
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
45'
D
98
Jermein Peña
1 👟
D
Jermein Peña
1 👟
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
8
Yimmi Chará
54'
M
Yimmi Chará
54'
M
80
Fabián Ángel
M
Fabián Ángel
M
22
Jesús Rivas
54'
M
Jesús Rivas
54'
M
9
G. Paiva
54'
F
G. Paiva
54'
F
10
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
F
L. Muriel
1 ⚽
F
Bench
88
Bryan Castrillón
36'
F
Bryan Castrillón
36'
F
70
Carlos Bacca
F
Carlos Bacca
F
77
Cristian Barrios
F
Cristian Barrios
F
5
Daniel Rivera
20'
M
Daniel Rivera
20'
M
7
Harold Rivera
M
Harold Rivera
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
36'
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
36'
M
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
45'
F
Joel Canchimbo
45'
F
14
Juan David Ríos
36'
M
Juan David Ríos
36'
M
18
Kevin Pérez
F
Kevin Pérez
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
F
T. Gutiérrez
F
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
Best on the pitch
J. López
F · Palmeiras
8.90
3 👟
3 shots
· 26 pass
Jhon Arias
M · Palmeiras
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 25 pass
Allan
M · Palmeiras
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
8.00
1 👟
· 48 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Agustín Giay
D · Palmeiras
7.50
· 46 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 80 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 77 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 77 | 8.90 | — | 3 | 3 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Pacheco | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Herrera | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Monzón | D | 70 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Jermein Peña | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 59 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rivera | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jannenson Sarmiento | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Junior?
The final score was Palmeiras 4–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Junior?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Palmeiras win, 21% to a draw, and 13% to an Junior win.