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Palmeiras - LDU de Quito

Copa Libertadores September 10, 2026 00:00
Palmeiras
#2 · 11 pts
vs
LDU de Quito
#1 · 12 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.2%
Win
Palmeiras
26.5%
Draw
19.3%
Win
LDU de Quito
1.42
Expected xG
0.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.44%)
1X2 Result
1 54%
X 27%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 46%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 36%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 54% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 19% for LDU de Quito. Expected goals are 1.4 for Palmeiras and 0.7 for LDU de Quito (total 2.1), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.44% probability.

Season Stats

Palmeiras
4W 3D 1L
LDU de Quito
4W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
0.8
Conceded
0.8
5.6
Shots OT
3.3
6.3
Corners
4.1
59%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
63%
25%
O 2.5
13%
63%
BTTS
25%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Palmeiras
2W 1D 1L · at home
LDU de Quito
1W 1D 2L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
25%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
0%
25%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Palmeiras LDU de Quito →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 17.2% 11.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 12.3% 8.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 5.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Palmeiras Palmeiras
W Cerro Porteno 0–1
D Cerro Porteno 1–1
W Junior 4–1
L Cerro Porteno 0–1
W Sporting Cristal 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
D Mirassol 0–0
D Mirassol 1–1
W Always Ready 3–2
W Lanus 2–0
L Mirassol 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
41
Defence
75
Form
57
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Attack
27
Defence
78
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
The model gives Palmeiras a 54% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 19% for an LDU de Quito win.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Expected goals: Palmeiras 1.4, LDU de Quito 0.7 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.44%.