Copa Libertadores
· Quarter-finals
September 10, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
Agustin Giay
26'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 57% win probability (draw 25%, LDU de Quito 17%). The final result was Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for LDU de Quito.
Match statistics
28
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
10
Corners
1
17
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
Michael Estrada
22'
Fernando Cornejo
⚽Agustin Giay
26'
32'
Yerlin Quinonez
Gustavo Gómez
44'
45'
Jose Carabali
/
Yerlin Quinonez
51'
Juan rodriguez
/
Fernando Cornejo
61'
Alexander Alvarado
/
Lucas Rodriguez
61'
Sebastián González
/
Jesús Pretell
73'
Gian Franco Allala
Vitor Roque
/ Heittor Vinicius da Silva Nunes
79'
85'
Deyverson
/
Michael Estrada
Lucas Evangelista
90'+3
Bruno Fuchs
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.4%
Palmeiras ←
25.52%
X
17.08%
LDU
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
57.4%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
—
—
0.65
—
—
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
22
J. Piquerez
M
J. Piquerez
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
M
Lucas Evangelista
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
4
A. Giay
1 ⚽
M
A. Giay
1 ⚽
M
42
J. López
M
J. López
M
11
J. Arias
M
J. Arias
M
9
Vitor Roque
79'
F
Vitor Roque
79'
F
Bench
56
Arthur
D
Arthur
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
7
Felipe Anderson
M
Felipe Anderson
M
39
Heittor
11'
F
Heittor
11'
F
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
18
Maurício
M
Maurício
M
1
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
44
L. Segovia
D
L. Segovia
D
4
Ricardo Ade
D
Ricardo Ade
D
30
G. Allala
D
G. Allala
D
23
Yerlin Quinonez
45'
M
Yerlin Quinonez
45'
M
8
J. Pretell
61'
M
J. Pretell
61'
M
20
F. Cornejo
51'
M
F. Cornejo
51'
M
57
M. Weigandt
M
M. Weigandt
M
7
L. Rodríguez
61'
M
L. Rodríguez
61'
M
11
M. Estrada
85'
F
M. Estrada
85'
F
13
J. Corozo
F
J. Corozo
F
Bench
10
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
29'
M
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
29'
M
22
Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
G
Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
G
16
Deyverson
5'
F
Deyverson
5'
F
15
G. Villamíl
M
G. Villamíl
M
26
I. Zambrano
M
I. Zambrano
M
67
J. Carabalí
45'
M
J. Carabalí
45'
M
28
J. Cuero
D
J. Cuero
D
31
J. RodrÃguez
39'
M
J. RodrÃguez
39'
M
77
K. Velasco
F
K. Velasco
F
33
Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
D
Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla
D
3
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
D
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
D
5
Sebastían González Baquero
29'
M
Sebastían González Baquero
29'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Giay
M · Palmeiras
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 42 pass
A. Barboza
D · Palmeiras
7.52
1 shots
· 55 pass
J. Arias
M · Palmeiras
7.40
4 shots
· 45 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.29
2 shots
· 60 pass
G. Gómez
D · Palmeiras
7.26
2 shots
· 36 pass
J. Piquerez
M · Palmeiras
7.20
1 shots
· 36 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 7.52 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 74 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Giay | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 42 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| J. López | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 79 | 6.55 | — | — | 5 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 11 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
LDU de Quito — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Valle | G | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Segovia | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Ade | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Allala | D | 90 | 5.58 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Yerlin Quinonez | M | 45 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Pretell | M | 61 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Cornejo | M | 51 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Weigandt | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 61 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Estrada | F | 85 | 6.04 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Corozo | F | 90 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel | M | 29 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Deyverson | F | 5 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carabalí | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. RodrÃguez | M | 39 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastían González Baquero | M | 29 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
The final score was Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Palmeiras win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an LDU de Quito win.