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LDU de Quito - Palmeiras

Copa Libertadores September 17, 2026 00:00
LDU de Quito
#1 · 12 pts
vs
Palmeiras
#2 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.35%
Win
LDU de Quito
30.88%
Draw
37.77%
Win
Palmeiras
0.86
Expected xG
0.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (16.27%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 31%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 69%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 56%
Over 2.5 28%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for LDU de Quito. Expected goals are 0.9 for LDU de Quito and 1.0 for Palmeiras (total 1.9), with a 55% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.27% probability. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.

Season Stats

LDU de Quito
4W 2D 3L
Palmeiras
5W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.4
0.8
Conceded
0.7
3.0
Shots OT
5.8
3.8
Corners
6.7
49%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
56%
O 1.5
67%
11%
O 2.5
22%
22%
BTTS
56%
44%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
LDU de Quito
3W 1D 0L · at home
Palmeiras
2W 2D 0L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.2
0.5
Conceded
0.5
75%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
75%
25%
O 2.5
0%
25%
O 3.5
0%
25%
BTTS
50%
75%
Clean Sht
50%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ LDU de Quito Palmeiras →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7% 15.6% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
L Palmeiras 1–0
D Mirassol 0–0
D Mirassol 1–1
W Always Ready 3–2
W Lanus 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Palmeiras Palmeiras
W LDU de Quito 1–0
W Cerro Porteno 0–1
D Cerro Porteno 1–1
W Junior 4–1
L Cerro Porteno 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 44%

Playing profile

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Attack
27
Defence
75
Form
56
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
42
Defence
77
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
LDU de Quito
0
Draw
1
Palmeiras
10 Sep 2026 Copa Libertadores 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
The model gives LDU de Quito a 31% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 37% for an Palmeiras win.
How many goals are expected in LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
Expected goals: LDU de Quito 0.9, Palmeiras 1.0 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 55%.
What is the most likely score in LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.27%.