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Copa Libertadores · Quarter-finals September 17, 2026 00:00
LDU de Quito
#1 · 12 pts
3 – 2
Final score
pens 3–4
Palmeiras
#2 · 11 pts
Luis Segovia (ast. Lucas Rodriguez) 15'
Michael Estrada (ast. Alexander Alvarado) 90'+3
Michael Estrada 90'
Deyverson 92' (pen.)
Michael Estrada 95' (pen.)
Fernando Cornejo 97' (pen.)
10' Marlon Freitas
(pen.) 73' Vitor Roque
(pen.) 91' Vitor Roque
(pen.) 93' Maurício Magalhães Prado
(pen.) 94' Joaquín Piquerez
(pen.) 98' Felipe Anderson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 39% win probability (draw 32%, LDU de Quito 27%). The final result was LDU de Quito 3–2 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, LDU de Quito have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
2
69%
Possession
31%
10
Corners
4
13
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
10'
Marlon Freitas⚽
⚽Luis Segovia · ast. Lucas Rodriguez
15'
↕ Sebastián González / Fernando Cornejo
56'
↕ Janner Corozo / Alexander Alvarado
56'
61'
José Manuel López
66'
Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira
67'
Vitor Roque / José Manuel López ↕
Juan rodriguez
68'
73'
(pen.) Vitor Roque⚽
↕ Marcelo Weigandt / Jose Carabali
80'
↕ Richard Mina / Deyverson
84'
85'
Felipe Anderson / Jhon Arias ↕
89'
Maurício Magalhães Prado / Andreas Pereira ↕
⚽Michael Estrada · ast. Alexander Alvarado
90'+3
Michael Estrada
90'+5
⚽Michael Estrada
90'
91'
(pen.) Vitor Roque⚽
⚽Deyverson (pen.)
92'
93'
(pen.) Maurício Magalhães Prado⚽
⚽Lucas Rodriguez (missed pen.)
94'
94'
(pen.) Joaquín Piquerez⚽
⚽Michael Estrada (pen.)
95'
96'
(missed pen.) Lucas Evangelista⚽
⚽Fernando Cornejo (pen.)
97'
98'
(pen.) Felipe Anderson⚽
⚽Luis Segovia (missed pen.)
99'
Pre-match prediction
27.57%
LDU ←
32.7%
X
39.72%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (LDU de Quito) 27.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
LDU
0.67
—
—
Palmeiras
0.96
—
—
Lineups
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 3-4-1-2
1 G. Valle G. Valle G 6.22
44 L. Segovia L. Segovia 1 ⚽ D 7.33
4 Ricardo Ade Ricardo Ade D 6.81
3 Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo 84' D 6.63
23 Yerlin Quinonez Yerlin Quinonez M 6.35
5 Sebastían González Baquero Sebastían González Baquero 56' M 6.25
31 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez M 7.02
57 M. Weigandt M. Weigandt 80' M 6.67
7 L. Rodríguez L. Rodríguez 1 👟 M 7.70
11 M. Estrada M. Estrada 3 ⚽ F 8.41
13 J. Corozo J. Corozo 56' F 6.96
Bench
10 Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel 1 👟 34' M 6.38
22 Alexander Domínguez Carabalí Alexander Domínguez Carabalí G 0.00
99 C. Tobar C. Tobar M 0.00
16 Deyverson Deyverson 1 ⚽ 6' F 6.50
20 F. Cornejo F. Cornejo 1 ⚽ 34' M 6.48
15 G. Villamíl G. Villamíl M 0.00
26 I. Zambrano I. Zambrano M 0.00
67 J. Carabalí J. Carabalí 10' M 5.96
28 J. Cuero J. Cuero D 0.00
8 J. Pretell J. Pretell M 0.00
77 K. Velasco K. Velasco F 0.00
33 Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla D 0.00
Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-4-2-1
1 Carlos Miguel Carlos Miguel G 5.83
2 A. Barboza A. Barboza D 5.65
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D 6.32
26 Murilo Murilo D 5.60
22 J. Piquerez J. Piquerez 1 ⚽ M 6.01
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista M 6.23
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas 1 ⚽ M 7.30
4 A. Giay A. Giay M 6.41
8 Andreas Pereira Andreas Pereira 89' M 5.60
11 J. Arias J. Arias 85' M 6.35
42 J. López J. López 67' F 6.09
Bench
56 Arthur Arthur D 0.00
43 Benedetti Benedetti D 0.00
32 E. Martínez E. Martínez M 0.00
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 1 ⚽ 5' M 5.81
39 Heittor Heittor F 0.00
12 Khellven Khellven D 0.00
48 Larson Larson M 0.00
50 Luis Felipe Luis Felipe M 0.00
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G 0.00
18 Maurício Maurício 1 ⚽ 1' M 5.86
19 R. Sosa R. Sosa F 0.00
9 Vitor Roque Vitor Roque 2 ⚽ 23' F 7.65
Best on the pitch
M. Estrada
M. Estrada
F · LDU
8.41
3 ⚽
5 shots · 8 pass
L. Rodríguez
L. Rodríguez
M · LDU
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 36 pass
Vitor Roque
Vitor Roque
F · Palmeiras
7.65
2 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
D · LDU
7.33
1 ⚽
2 shots · 64 pass
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
J. Rodríguez
J. Rodríguez
M · LDU
7.02
2 shots · 89 pass
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Valle G 90 6.22 — — 0 17 16% 0 — —
L. Segovia D 90 7.33 1 — 2 64 57% 1 — —
Ricardo Ade D 90 6.81 — — 0 56 52% 4 — —
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo D 84 6.63 — — 0 65 58% 1 — —
Yerlin Quinonez M 90 6.35 — — 0 35 24% 3 — —
Sebastían González Baquero M 56 6.25 — — 0 47 42% 0 — —
J. Rodríguez M 90 7.02 — — 2 89 84% 0 1 —
M. Weigandt M 80 6.67 — — 1 65 56% 1 — —
L. Rodríguez M 90 7.70 — 1 2 36 33% 2 — —
M. Estrada F 90 8.41 3 — 5 8 6% 0 1 —
J. Corozo F 56 6.96 — — 3 13 11% 0 — —
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel M 34 6.38 — 1 1 19 14% 1 — —
Deyverson F 6 6.50 1 — 0 6 5% 0 — —
F. Cornejo M 34 6.48 1 — 0 23 23% 0 — —
J. Carabalí M 10 5.96 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Carlos Miguel G 90 5.83 — — 0 24 2% 0 — —
A. Barboza D 90 5.65 — — 0 13 11% 1 — —
Bruno Fuchs D 90 6.32 — — 0 13 10% 2 — —
Murilo D 90 5.60 — — 1 21 14% 1 — —
J. Piquerez M 90 6.01 1 — 1 17 12% 3 — —
Lucas Evangelista M 90 6.23 — — 0 28 26% 4 — —
Marlon Freitas M 90 7.30 1 — 2 35 28% 1 — —
A. Giay M 90 6.41 — — 0 29 22% 10 — —
Andreas Pereira M 89 5.60 — — 3 20 9% 0 — —
J. Arias M 85 6.35 — — 2 28 26% 0 — —
J. López F 67 6.09 — — 1 16 10% 0 1 —
Felipe Anderson M 5 5.81 1 — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Maurício M 1 5.86 1 — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Vitor Roque F 23 7.65 2 — 1 6 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
The final score was LDU de Quito 3–2 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 27% probability to a LDU de Quito win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Palmeiras win.