✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
Maurício Magalhães Prado
45'+11
(pen.)
Agustin Giay
(ast. José Manuel López)
77'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 71% win probability (draw 13%, RB Bragantino 14%). The final result was Palmeiras 2–0 RB Bragantino. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Bragantino.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
2
3.39
Actual xG
0.44
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
9
21
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
31'
Tiago Volpi
⚽Ramon Sosa
(missed pen.)
32'
44'
Jose Herrera
45'+8
⚽Maurício Magalhães Prado
(pen.)
45'+11
45'
Wallace Yan
/
Jose Herrera
45'
Eduardo Sasha
/
Isidro Pitta
Gustavo Gómez
62'
Ramon Sosa
/ José Manuel López
64'
70'
Vinicius
/
Fernando dos Santos Pedro
Maurício Magalhães Prado
/ Felipe Anderson
76'
Alexander Barboza
/ Murilo Cerqueira Paim
76'
⚽Agustin Giay
· ast. José Manuel López
77'
78'
Gabriel Girotto
/
Matheus Fernandes
78'
Ignacio Sosa Ospital
/
Fábio Silva de Freitas
Agustin Giay
79'
81'
Alix Vinicius
81'
Gabriel Girotto
Lucas Evangelista
/ Emiliano Martínez
87'
Jhon Arias
/ Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
88'
Pre-match prediction
71.93%
Palmeiras ←
13.99%
X
14.08%
RB
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
71.93%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.36
3.39
+0.03
1.47
0.44
-1.03
Palmeiras dominated by xG (3.39 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
76'
D
A. Barboza
76'
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
56
Arthur
M
Arthur
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
87'
M
Lucas Evangelista
87'
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
4
A. Giay
1 ⚽
M
A. Giay
1 ⚽
M
18
Maurício
1 ⚽
76'
M
Maurício
1 ⚽
76'
M
11
J. Arias
88'
M
J. Arias
88'
M
19
R. Sosa
64'
F
R. Sosa
64'
F
Bench
43
Benedetti
D
Benedetti
D
21
Bruno
G
Bruno
G
32
E. Martínez
3'
M
E. Martínez
3'
M
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
37
Fabiano
M
Fabiano
M
7
Felipe Anderson
14'
M
Felipe Anderson
14'
M
42
J. López
1 👟
26'
F
J. López
1 👟
26'
F
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
2'
M
Larson
2'
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
26
Murilo
14'
D
Murilo
14'
D
18
Tiago Volpi
G
Tiago Volpi
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
4
Alix
D
Alix
D
52
Ryan Tavares
D
Ryan Tavares
D
5
Fabinho
78'
M
Fabinho
78'
M
35
Matheus Fernandes
78'
M
Matheus Fernandes
78'
M
11
Fernando
70'
M
Fernando
70'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
M
Lucas Barbosa
M
32
J. Herrera
45'
M
J. Herrera
45'
M
9
I. Pitta
45'
F
I. Pitta
45'
F
Bench
23
A. Sant'Anna
D
A. Sant'Anna
D
19
Bruninho
F
Bruninho
F
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
3
Eduardo Santos
D
Eduardo Santos
D
8
Eduardo Sasha
45'
F
Eduardo Sasha
45'
F
6
Gabriel
12'
M
Gabriel
12'
M
56
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
15
I. Sosa
12'
M
I. Sosa
12'
M
57
Marcelinho Braz
M
Marcelinho Braz
M
12
Vanderlan
D
Vanderlan
D
17
Vinicius
20'
F
Vinicius
20'
F
47
Wallace
45'
F
Wallace
45'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Giay
M · Palmeiras
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 39 pass
Bruno Fuchs
D · Palmeiras
7.81
· 71 pass
Maurício
M · Palmeiras
7.51
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 29 pass
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.47
· 18 pass
A. Barboza
D · Palmeiras
7.41
2 shots
· 28 pass
G. Gómez
D · Palmeiras
7.29
1 shots
· 38 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.47 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 76 | 7.41 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | 90 | 7.81 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 80% | 3 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Giay | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 39 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maurício | M | 76 | 7.51 | 1 | — | 5 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 64 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 3 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 14 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 26 | 6.89 | — | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Larson | M | 2 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 14 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 34% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Alix | D | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Tavares | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 78 | 5.66 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando | M | 70 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 45 | 5.92 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 45 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 45 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 12 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Sosa | M | 12 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Vinicius | F | 20 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Wallace | F | 45 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?
The final score was Palmeiras 2–0 RB Bragantino.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Palmeiras win, 13% to a draw, and 14% to an RB Bragantino win.