Copa do Brasil
· Quarter-finals
August 27, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
J. Lopez
(ast. Andreas Pereira)
34'
Andreas Pereira
45'
J. Lopez
(ast. A. Giay)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Santos 17%). The final result was Palmeiras 3–0 Santos. In 3 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
8
Corners
5
17
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
G. Caballero
⚽J. Lopez
· ast. Andreas Pereira
34'
⚽Andreas Pereira
45'
46'
Rony
/
B. Rollheiser
46'
Gabriel Bontempo
/
Joao Schmidt
46'
Gabriel Barbosa
/
G. Caballero
G. Gomez
/ A. Barboza
46'
⚽J. Lopez
· ast. A. Giay
61'
66'
D. Fernandes
/
Igor Vinicius
69'
C. Oliva
/
Lucas Verissimo
Vitor Roque
/ Heittor Vinicius
75'
Andreas Pereira
77'
79'
Rony
Marlon Freitas
/ Lucas Evangelista
83'
J. Lopez
/ E. Martinez
83'
J. Arias
/ Felipe Anderson
86'
A. Barboza
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
59.12%
Palmeiras ←
23.54%
X
17.35%
Santos
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
59.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
—
—
0.82
—
—
Lineups
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
22
J. Piquerez
D
J. Piquerez
D
15
G. Gómez
45'
D
G. Gómez
45'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
4
A. Giay
1 👟
D
A. Giay
1 👟
D
18
Maurício
M
Maurício
M
17
Marlon Freitas
83'
M
Marlon Freitas
83'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Andreas Pereira
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
11
J. Arias
86'
M
J. Arias
86'
M
9
Vitor Roque
75'
F
Vitor Roque
75'
F
42
J. López
2 ⚽
82'
F
J. López
2 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
2
A. Barboza
47'
D
A. Barboza
47'
D
56
Arthur
D
Arthur
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
10'
M
E. Martínez
10'
M
7
Felipe Anderson
6'
M
Felipe Anderson
6'
M
39
Heittor
17'
F
Heittor
17'
F
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
9'
M
Lucas Evangelista
9'
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
69'
D
Lucas Veríssimo
69'
D
18
Igor Vinicius
66'
D
Igor Vinicius
66'
D
22
Á. Barreal
M
Á. Barreal
M
5
João Schmidt
45'
M
João Schmidt
45'
M
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
M
17
G. Caballero
45'
F
G. Caballero
45'
F
32
B. Rollheiser
45'
F
B. Rollheiser
45'
F
Bench
28
C. Oliva
23'
M
C. Oliva
23'
M
27
D. Fernandes
26'
F
D. Fernandes
26'
F
9
Gabriel Barbosa
47'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
47'
F
8
Gabriel Bontempo
47'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
47'
M
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
11
Rony
47'
F
Rony
47'
F
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
16
Thaciano
M
Thaciano
M
Best on the pitch
J. López
F · Palmeiras
9.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 31 pass
J. Arias
M · Palmeiras
8.00
1 shots
· 36 pass
A. Giay
D · Palmeiras
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Gabriel Brazão
G · Santos
7.50
· 20 pass
J. Piquerez
D · Palmeiras
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Giay | D | 92 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Arias | M | 86 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 82 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Caballero | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Rony | F | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Santos?
The final score was Palmeiras 3–0 Santos.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Santos?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Palmeiras win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Santos win.