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Palmeiras - Santos

Copa do Brasil August 26, 2026 22:00
Palmeiras
vs
Santos
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.25%
Win
Palmeiras
24.79%
Draw
27.96%
Win
Santos
2.07
Expected xG
1.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.28%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 25%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 53%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 76%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Santos. Expected goals are 2.1 for Palmeiras and 1.5 for Santos (total 3.6), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.28% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santos.

Season Stats

Palmeiras
5W 0D 3L
Santos
2W 4D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.7
0.9
Conceded
0.2
5.8
Shots OT
5.3
5.4
Corners
10.3
55%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
33%
63%
O 2.5
0%
25%
BTTS
17%
50%
Clean Sht
83%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Palmeiras
3W 0D 1L · at home
Santos
2W 1D 0L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
0.0
75%
Win %
67%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
33%
75%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
75%
Clean Sht
100%
25%
Failed to Score
33%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Palmeiras Santos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.7% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Palmeiras Palmeiras
L Fortaleza EC 3–2
W Fortaleza EC 3–0
W Jacuipense 1–4
W Jacuipense 3–0
L Corinthians 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Santos Santos
W Remo 0–1
D Remo 0–0
W Coritiba 0–2
D Coritiba 0–0
D CRB 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Palmeiras Palmeiras
Attack
48
Defence
76
Form
64
Santos Santos
Attack
54
Defence
68
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Palmeiras
1
Draw
0
Santos
2 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Palmeiras vs Santos?
The model gives Palmeiras a 47% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 27% for an Santos win.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs Santos?
Expected goals: Palmeiras 2.1, Santos 1.5 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Palmeiras vs Santos?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.28%.