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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 24 August 23, 2026 21:00
Palmeiras
#2 · 57 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Vasco DA Gama
#16 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
J. Lopez (ast. Allan Elias) 47'
Vitor Roque 51' (pen.)
Mauricio (ast. Andreas Pereira) 56'
J. Lopez (ast. J. Arias) 89'
90'+4 F. Colidio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 62% win probability (draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 14%). The final result was Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama. In 1 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1.60
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
3
18
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Marlon Freitas
9'
44'
A. Gomez
↕ A. Barboza / Murilo
46'
⚽J. Lopez · ast. Allan Elias
47'
50'
Thiago Mendes
⚽Vitor Roque (pen.)
51'
⚽Mauricio · ast. Andreas Pereira
56'
58'
Riquelme Avellar / Cuiabano ↕
58'
Ramon Rique / Thiago Mendes ↕
65'
N. Moreira / Adson ↕
65'
F. Colidio / David ↕
↕ Allan Elias / Felipe Anderson
71'
↕ Vitor Roque / J. Arias
71'
↕ Marlon Freitas / E. Martinez
71'
72'
M. Hinestroza / A. Gomez ↕
83'
Robert Renan
↕ A. Giay / Khellven
83'
⚽J. Lopez · ast. J. Arias
89'
90'+4
F. Colidio⚽
Pre-match prediction
62.75%
Palmeiras ←
23.1%
X
14.14%
Vasco
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras) 62.75% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palmeiras
1.66
1.60
-0.06
Vasco
0.59
0.77
+0.18
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.60 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-4-1-2
1 Carlos Miguel Carlos Miguel 82' G 7.70
2 A. Barboza A. Barboza 45' D 6.60
15 G. Gómez G. Gómez 82' D 7.00
4 A. Giay A. Giay 82' D 7.20
56 Arthur Arthur 82' M 6.60
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas 71' M 6.60
8 Andreas Pereira Andreas Pereira 1 👟 82' M 7.30
40 Allan Allan 1 👟 71' M 6.60
18 Maurício Maurício 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.70
42 J. López J. López 2 ⚽ 82' F 8.20
9 Vitor Roque Vitor Roque 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.30
Bench
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D
32 Emiliano Martínez Emiliano Martínez 11' M 6.70
45 Erick Machado Erick Machado M
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 11' M 6.90
39 Heittor Heittor F
11 J. Arias J. Arias 1 👟 11' M 6.50
12 Khellven Khellven D
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista M
50 Luis Felipe Luis Felipe M
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G
26 Murilo Murilo 37' D 7.20
37 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi F
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
1 Léo Jardim Léo Jardim 82' G 5.90
66 Cuiabano Cuiabano 58' D 5.90
30 Robert Renan Robert Renan 82' D 6.20
46 C. Cuesta C. Cuesta 82' D 6.00
96 Paulo Henrique Paulo Henrique 82' D 6.20
5 S. Sosa S. Sosa 82' M 6.60
11 A. Gómez A. Gómez 72' M 6.20
23 Thiago Mendes Thiago Mendes 58' M 6.70
3 Tchê Tchê Tchê Tchê 82' M 6.30
28 Adson Adson 65' M 6.70
7 David David 65' F 6.60
Bench
82 Avellar Avellar 24' D 6.50
80 Bruno Andre Bruno Andre D
88 Cauan Barros Cauan Barros M
77 C. Spinelli C. Spinelli F
13 Daniel Fuzato Daniel Fuzato G
9 F. Colidio F. Colidio 1 ⚽ 17' F 6.50
2 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez D
43 Lucas Freitas Lucas Freitas D
6 Lucas Piton Lucas Piton D
18 M. Hinestroza M. Hinestroza 10' F 6.70
17 Nuno Moreira Nuno Moreira 17' M 6.60
83 Ramon Rique Ramon Rique 24' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
J. López
J. López
F · Palmeiras
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
Maurício
Maurício
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.70
· 22 pass
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 👟
· 59 pass
Vitor Roque
Vitor Roque
F · Palmeiras
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
A. Giay
A. Giay
D · Palmeiras
7.20
1 shots · 56 pass
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Carlos Miguel G 82 7.70 — — — 22 16% — — —
A. Barboza D 45 6.60 — — — 27 22% 2 — —
G. Gómez D 82 7.00 — — — 54 48% — — —
A. Giay D 82 7.20 — — 1 56 51% 1 — —
Arthur M 82 6.60 — — — 32 24% 2 — —
Marlon Freitas M 71 6.60 — — — 44 43% — 1 —
Andreas Pereira M 82 7.30 — 1 — 59 46% 3 — —
Allan M 71 6.60 — 1 — 27 25% 1 — —
Maurício F 82 7.70 1 — 1 31 26% — — —
J. López F 82 8.20 2 — 2 20 16% 3 — —
Vitor Roque F 71 7.30 1 — 3 10 8% 2 — —
Emiliano Martínez M 11 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Felipe Anderson M 11 6.90 — — 1 17 16% 1 — —
J. Arias M 11 6.50 — 1 — 6 6% — — —
Murilo D 37 7.20 — — — 25 24% 3 — —
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Jardim G 82 5.90 — — — 24 18% — — —
Cuiabano D 58 5.90 — — — 18 10% 1 — —
Robert Renan D 82 6.20 — — 1 30 29% 3 — —
C. Cuesta D 82 6.00 — — — 39 39% 1 — —
Paulo Henrique D 82 6.20 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
S. Sosa M 82 6.60 — — 1 41 31% 2 — —
A. Gómez M 72 6.20 — — — 13 11% 3 1 —
Thiago Mendes M 58 6.70 — — 1 20 17% 1 1 —
Tchê Tchê M 82 6.30 — — 2 23 21% — — —
Adson M 65 6.70 — — — 39 36% 2 — —
David F 65 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
Avellar D 24 6.50 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
F. Colidio F 17 6.50 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
M. Hinestroza F 10 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
Nuno Moreira M 17 6.60 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Ramon Rique M 24 6.60 — — — 10 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Palmeiras win, 23% to a draw, and 14% to an Vasco DA Gama win.