Pamplona - Eibar
Copa del Rey
October 28, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.15%
Win
Pamplona
31.89%
Draw
36.96%
Win
Eibar
1.24
1.96
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.65%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
32%
2
37%
Double Chance
1X
63%
X2
69%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Eibar a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Pamplona. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pamplona and 2.0 for Eibar (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.65% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Pamplona
Eibar →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Pamplona
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Eibar
Attack
50
Defence
67
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pamplona vs Eibar?
The model gives Pamplona a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Eibar win.
How many goals are expected in Pamplona vs Eibar?
Expected goals: Pamplona 1.2, Eibar 2.0 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Pamplona vs Eibar?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.65%.