54'
(ast. J. Stanisic)
A. Budimir
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panama a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Croatia 27%). The final result was Panama 0–1 Croatia.
Match statistics
0
Total shots
2
0
Shots on target
1
0.06
Actual xG
0.05
1
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
0
Corners
1
6
Tackles
8
Match Events
46'
A. Budimir
/
P. Musa
46'
A. Kramaric
/
J. Gvardiol
54'
ast. J. Stanisic ·
A. Budimir⚽
Y. Barcenas
61'
72'
L. Sucic
/
M. Pasalic
72'
P. Sucic
/
M. Kovacic
J. Ramos
/ C. Waterman
77'
81'
M. Pasalic
/
L. Modric
J. Fajardo
/ A. Londono
83'
90'+2
P. Sucic
C. Blackman
/ E. Davis
90'
Y. Barcenas
/ T. Rodriguez
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.15%
Panama
30.37%
X
27.48%
Croatia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Croatia)
27.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.06
-1.42
0.79
0.05
-0.74
xG dominance was balanced (0.06 – 0.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
O. Mosquera
49'
G
O. Mosquera
49'
G
2
C. Blackman
49'
D
C. Blackman
49'
D
16
A. Andrade
49'
D
A. Andrade
49'
D
3
J. Córdoba
49'
D
J. Córdoba
49'
D
13
J. Ramos
49'
D
23
A. Murillo
49'
D
A. Murillo
49'
D
7
J. Rodríguez
49'
M
J. Rodríguez
49'
M
11
Y. Bárcenas
49'
M
Y. Bárcenas
49'
M
14
Carlos Harvey
49'
M
Carlos Harvey
49'
M
6
C. Martinez
49'
M
17
J. Fajardo
49'
F
J. Fajardo
49'
F
Bench
8
A. Carrasquilla
M
A. Carrasquilla
M
20
A. Godoy
M
A. Godoy
M
19
Alberto Quintero
F
Alberto Quintero
F
24
A. Londoño
F
A. Londoño
F
12
César Samudio
G
César Samudio
G
18
C. Waterman
F
C. Waterman
F
21
C. Yanis
F
C. Yanis
F
5
E. Fariña
D
E. Fariña
D
15
Éric Davis
D
Éric Davis
D
4
Fidel Escobar
D
Fidel Escobar
D
10
I. Díaz
F
I. Díaz
F
26
J. Gutiérrez
D
J. Gutiérrez
D
1
Luis Mejía
G
25
Roderick Miller
D
Roderick Miller
D
9
T. Rodríguez
F
T. Rodríguez
F
1
D. Livaković
49'
G
D. Livaković
49'
G
4
J. Gvardiol
49'
D
J. Gvardiol
49'
D
3
Marin Pongračić
49'
D
Marin Pongračić
49'
D
6
J. Šutalo
49'
D
J. Šutalo
49'
D
2
J. Stanišić
1 👟
49'
D
J. Stanišić
1 👟
49'
D
8
M. Kovačić
49'
M
M. Kovačić
49'
M
10
L. Modrić
49'
M
L. Modrić
49'
M
14
I. Perišić
49'
M
I. Perišić
49'
M
16
M. Baturina
49'
M
M. Baturina
49'
M
24
Marco Pasalic
49'
M
Marco Pasalic
49'
M
26
P. Musa
49'
F
P. Musa
49'
F
Bench
11
A. Budimir
1 ⚽
F
A. Budimir
1 ⚽
F
9
A. Kramarić
F
A. Kramarić
F
23
D. Kotarski
G
D. Kotarski
G
5
Duje Ćaleta-Car
D
Duje Ćaleta-Car
D
20
I. Matanović
F
I. Matanović
F
12
I. Pandur
G
I. Pandur
G
18
K. Jakić
M
K. Jakić
M
21
L. Sučić
M
L. Sučić
M
22
L. Vušković
D
L. Vušković
D
15
Mario Pasalic
M
Mario Pasalic
M
25
M. Erlić
D
M. Erlić
D
7
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
13
N. Vlašić
M
N. Vlašić
M
17
P. Sučić
M
P. Sučić
M
19
T. Fruk
M
T. Fruk
M
Best on the pitch
J. Šutalo
D · Croatia
7.20
· 51 pass
Y. Bárcenas
M · Panama
7.00
· 21 pass
C. Blackman
D · Panama
6.90
· 20 pass
A. Andrade
D · Panama
6.90
· 19 pass
J. Ramos
D · Panama
6.90
· 25 pass
A. Murillo
D · Panama
6.90
· 13 pass
Panama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Mosquera | G | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Blackman | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Andrade | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Ramos | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bárcenas | M | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Martinez | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Fajardo | F | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Croatia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Livaković | G | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | D | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| J. Šutalo | D | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Perišić | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Musa | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panama vs Croatia?
The final score was Panama 0–1 Croatia.
What did the model predict before Panama vs Croatia?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Panama win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Croatia win.