54'
(ast. J. Stanisic)
A. Budimir
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panama a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Croatia 27%). The final result was Panama 0–1 Croatia.
Match statistics
0
Total shots
2
0
Shots on target
1
0.06
Actual xG
0.05
1
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
0
Corners
1
6
Tackles
8
Match Events
46'
A. Budimir
/
P. Musa
46'
A. Kramaric
/
J. Gvardiol
54'
ast. J. Stanisic ·
A. Budimir⚽
Y. Barcenas
61'
72'
L. Sucic
/
M. Pasalic
72'
P. Sucic
/
M. Kovacic
J. Ramos
/ C. Waterman
77'
81'
M. Pasalic
/
L. Modric
J. Fajardo
/ A. Londono
83'
90'+2
P. Sucic
C. Blackman
/ E. Davis
90'
Y. Barcenas
/ T. Rodriguez
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.15%
Panama
30.37%
X
27.48%
Croatia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Croatia)
27.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.06
-1.42
0.79
0.05
-0.74
xG dominance was balanced (0.06 – 0.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Orlando Mosquera
49'
G
Orlando Mosquera
49'
G
2
César Blackman
49'
D
16
Andrés Andrade
49'
D
Andrés Andrade
49'
D
3
José Córdoba
49'
D
José Córdoba
49'
D
13
Jiovany Ramos
49'
D
Jiovany Ramos
49'
D
23
A. Murillo
49'
D
A. Murillo
49'
D
7
José Luis Rodríguez
49'
M
José Luis Rodríguez
49'
M
11
Yoel Bárcenas
49'
M
Yoel Bárcenas
49'
M
14
Carlos Harvey
49'
M
Carlos Harvey
49'
M
6
Cristian Martínez
49'
M
17
José Fajardo
49'
F
José Fajardo
49'
F
Bench
8
Adalberto Carrasquilla
M
Adalberto Carrasquilla
M
19
Alberto Quintero
F
Alberto Quintero
F
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
Aníbal Godoy
M
24
Azarias Londoño
F
Azarias Londoño
F
12
César Samudio
G
César Samudio
G
21
César Yanis
F
César Yanis
F
18
C. Waterman
F
C. Waterman
F
5
E. Fariña
D
E. Fariña
D
15
Éric Davis
D
Éric Davis
D
4
Fidel Escobar
D
Fidel Escobar
D
10
I. Díaz
F
I. Díaz
F
26
Jorge Gutiérrez
D
Jorge Gutiérrez
D
1
Luis Mejía
G
25
Roderick Miller
D
Roderick Miller
D
9
T. Rodríguez
F
T. Rodríguez
F
1
Dominik Livaković
49'
G
Dominik Livaković
49'
G
4
Joško Gvardiol
49'
D
Joško Gvardiol
49'
D
3
M. Pongračić
49'
D
M. Pongračić
49'
D
6
Josip Šutalo
49'
D
Josip Šutalo
49'
D
2
Josip Stanišić
1 👟
49'
D
Josip Stanišić
1 👟
49'
D
8
Mateo Kovačić
49'
M
Mateo Kovačić
49'
M
10
Luka Modrić
49'
M
Luka Modrić
49'
M
14
I. Perišić
49'
M
I. Perišić
49'
M
16
M. Baturina
49'
M
M. Baturina
49'
M
24
Marco Pašalić
49'
M
Marco Pašalić
49'
M
26
Petar Musa
49'
F
Petar Musa
49'
F
Bench
9
A. Kramarić
F
A. Kramarić
F
11
Ante Budimir
1 ⚽
F
Ante Budimir
1 ⚽
F
5
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
23
Dominik Kotarski
G
Dominik Kotarski
G
20
Igor Matanović
F
Igor Matanović
F
12
Ivor Pandur
G
Ivor Pandur
G
18
Kristijan Jakić
M
Kristijan Jakić
M
21
L. Sučić
M
L. Sučić
M
22
Luka Vušković
D
Luka Vušković
D
25
Martin Erlić
D
Martin Erlić
D
15
M. Pašalić
M
M. Pašalić
M
7
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
13
N. Vlašić
M
N. Vlašić
M
17
P. Sučić
M
P. Sučić
M
19
Toni Fruk
M
Best on the pitch
Josip Šutalo
D · Croatia
7.20
· 51 pass
Yoel Bárcenas
M · Panama
7.00
· 21 pass
César Blackman
D · Panama
6.90
· 20 pass
Andrés Andrade
D · Panama
6.90
· 19 pass
Jiovany Ramos
D · Panama
6.90
· 25 pass
A. Murillo
D · Panama
6.90
· 13 pass
Panama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| César Blackman | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Andrade | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| José Córdoba | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jiovany Ramos | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| José Luis Rodríguez | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Yoel Bárcenas | M | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Martínez | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| José Fajardo | F | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Croatia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Livaković | G | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Joško Gvardiol | D | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Josip Šutalo | D | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Josip Stanišić | D | 49 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Modrić | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Perišić | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Marco Pašalić | M | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panama vs Croatia?
The final score was Panama 0–1 Croatia.
What did the model predict before Panama vs Croatia?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Panama win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Croatia win.