Panama - Curaçao
CONCACAF Nations League
November 17, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.88%
Win
Panama
30.74%
Draw
38.39%
Win
Curaçao
0.83
1.02
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(16.64%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
31%
X
31%
2
38%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
62%
X2
69%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
28%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Curaçao a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Panama. Expected goals are 0.8 for Panama and 1.0 for Curaçao (total 1.9), with a 61% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.64% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Panama
Curaçao →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.6% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Panama
Attack
32
Defence
66
Form
45
Curaçao
Attack
57
Defence
65
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Panama vs Curaçao?
The model gives Panama a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an Curaçao win.
How many goals are expected in Panama vs Curaçao?
Expected goals: Panama 0.8, Curaçao 1.0 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 61%.
What is the most likely score in Panama vs Curaçao?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.64%.