World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 27, 2026 23:00
62'
(ast. B. Saka)
J. Bellingham
67'
(ast. J. Bellingham)
H. Kane
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 51% win probability (draw 28%, Panama 20%). The final result was Panama 0–2 England.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
6
0.59
Actual xG
1.34
4
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Rodriguez
/ J. Fajardo
46'
J. Fajardo
53'
60'
J. Quansah
62'
ast. B. Saka ·
J. Bellingham⚽
63'
D. Spence
/
J. Quansah
63'
N. Madueke
/
B. Saka
67'
ast. J. Bellingham ·
H. Kane⚽
Y. Barcenas
/ I. Diaz
71'
J. Rodriguez
/ A. Londono
71'
71'
E. Eze
/
J. Bellingham
A. Andrade
84'
84'
J. Henderson
/
E. Anderson
84'
O. Watkins
/
H. Kane
C. Harvey
/ A. Quintero
88'
J. Gutierrez
/ E. Davis
88'
Pre-match prediction
20.09%
Panama
28.07%
X
51.84%
England ←
we assigned to the actual result (England)
51.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.59
-0.34
1.51
1.34
-0.17
England dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Orlando Mosquera
G
Orlando Mosquera
G
26
Jorge Gutiérrez
88'
D
Jorge Gutiérrez
88'
D
16
Andrés Andrade
D
Andrés Andrade
D
3
José Córdoba
D
José Córdoba
D
4
Fidel Escobar
D
Fidel Escobar
D
23
A. Murillo
D
A. Murillo
D
7
J. Rodríguez
71'
M
J. Rodríguez
71'
M
14
Carlos Harvey
88'
M
Carlos Harvey
88'
M
11
Yoel Bárcenas
71'
M
Yoel Bárcenas
71'
M
6
Cristian Martínez
M
Cristian Martínez
M
9
T. Rodríguez
45'
F
T. Rodríguez
45'
F
Bench
8
A. Carrasquilla
M
A. Carrasquilla
M
19
Alberto Quintero
5'
F
Alberto Quintero
5'
F
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
Aníbal Godoy
M
24
Azarias Londoño
22'
F
Azarias Londoño
22'
F
2
César Blackman
D
César Blackman
D
12
César Samudio
G
César Samudio
G
21
César Yanis
F
César Yanis
F
18
C. Waterman
F
C. Waterman
F
5
Edgardo Fariña
D
Edgardo Fariña
D
15
Éric Davis
5'
D
Éric Davis
5'
D
10
I. Díaz
22'
F
I. Díaz
22'
F
17
J. Fajardo
48'
F
J. Fajardo
48'
F
13
Jiovany Ramos
D
Jiovany Ramos
D
1
Luis Mejía
G
Luis Mejía
G
25
Roderick Miller
D
Roderick Miller
D
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
3
N. O'Reilly
D
N. O'Reilly
D
6
Marc Guéhi
D
Marc Guéhi
D
2
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
26
J. Quansah
63'
D
J. Quansah
63'
D
10
Jude Bellingham
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
Jude Bellingham
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
8
Elliot Anderson
84'
M
Elliot Anderson
84'
M
11
M. Rashford
M
M. Rashford
M
17
Morgan Rogers
M
Morgan Rogers
M
7
B. Saka
1 👟
63'
M
B. Saka
1 👟
63'
M
9
H. Kane
1 ⚽
84'
F
H. Kane
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
18
Anthony Gordon
F
Anthony Gordon
F
15
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
13
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
25
Djed Spence
30'
D
Djed Spence
30'
D
4
D. Rice
M
D. Rice
M
21
E. Eze
22'
M
E. Eze
22'
M
22
Ivan Toney
F
Ivan Toney
F
23
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
5
John Stones
D
John Stones
D
14
Jordan Henderson
9'
M
Jordan Henderson
9'
M
16
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
20
N. Madueke
30'
F
N. Madueke
30'
F
19
Ollie Watkins
9'
F
Ollie Watkins
9'
F
12
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Best on the pitch
Jude Bellingham
M · England
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
Elliot Anderson
M · England
7.50
1 shots
· 70 pass
H. Kane
F · England
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Marc Guéhi
D · England
7.30
· 79 pass
J. Quansah
D · England
7.20
· 49 pass
Ezri Konsa
D · England
7.20
· 70 pass
Panama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Gutiérrez | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Andrade | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| José Córdoba | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Fidel Escobar | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Yoel Bárcenas | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Martínez | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Rodríguez | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Quintero | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Azarias Londoño | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Éric Davis | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Díaz | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fajardo | F | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Marc Guéhi | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 79 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quansah | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Jude Bellingham | M | 71 | 9.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Saka | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Henderson | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panama vs England?
The final score was Panama 0–2 England.
What did the model predict before Panama vs England?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Panama win, 28% to a draw, and 51% to an England win.