World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 27, 2026 23:00
62'
(ast. B. Saka)
J. Bellingham
67'
(ast. J. Bellingham)
H. Kane
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 51% win probability (draw 28%, Panama 20%). The final result was Panama 0–2 England.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
6
0.59
Actual xG
1.34
4
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Rodriguez
/ J. Fajardo
46'
J. Fajardo
53'
60'
J. Quansah
62'
ast. B. Saka ·
J. Bellingham⚽
63'
D. Spence
/
J. Quansah
63'
N. Madueke
/
B. Saka
67'
ast. J. Bellingham ·
H. Kane⚽
Y. Barcenas
/ I. Diaz
71'
J. Rodriguez
/ A. Londono
71'
71'
E. Eze
/
J. Bellingham
A. Andrade
84'
84'
J. Henderson
/
E. Anderson
84'
O. Watkins
/
H. Kane
C. Harvey
/ A. Quintero
88'
J. Gutierrez
/ E. Davis
88'
Pre-match prediction
20.09%
Panama
28.07%
X
51.84%
England ←
we assigned to the actual result (England)
51.84%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.59
-0.34
1.51
1.34
-0.17
England dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
O. Mosquera
G
O. Mosquera
G
26
J. Gutiérrez
88'
D
J. Gutiérrez
88'
D
16
A. Andrade
D
A. Andrade
D
3
J. Córdoba
D
J. Córdoba
D
4
Fidel Escobar
D
Fidel Escobar
D
23
A. Murillo
D
A. Murillo
D
7
J. Rodríguez
71'
M
J. Rodríguez
71'
M
14
C. Harvey
88'
M
C. Harvey
88'
M
11
Y. Bárcenas
71'
M
Y. Bárcenas
71'
M
6
Cristian Jesús Martínez
M
Cristian Jesús Martínez
M
9
T. Rodríguez
45'
F
T. Rodríguez
45'
F
Bench
8
A. Carrasquilla
M
A. Carrasquilla
M
20
A. Godoy
M
A. Godoy
M
19
Alberto Quintero
5'
F
Alberto Quintero
5'
F
24
A. Londoño
22'
F
A. Londoño
22'
F
2
C. Blackman
D
C. Blackman
D
12
César Samudio
G
César Samudio
G
18
C. Waterman
F
C. Waterman
F
21
C. Yanis
F
C. Yanis
F
5
E. Fariña
D
E. Fariña
D
15
Éric Davis
5'
D
Éric Davis
5'
D
10
I. Díaz
22'
F
I. Díaz
22'
F
17
J. Fajardo
48'
F
J. Fajardo
48'
F
13
J. Ramos
D
1
Luis Mejía
G
25
Roderick Miller
D
Roderick Miller
D
1
J. Pickford
G
J. Pickford
G
3
N. O'Reilly
D
N. O'Reilly
D
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
2
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
26
J. Quansah
63'
D
J. Quansah
63'
D
10
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
8
E. Anderson
84'
M
E. Anderson
84'
M
11
M. Rashford
M
M. Rashford
M
17
M. Rogers
M
M. Rogers
M
7
B. Saka
1 👟
63'
M
B. Saka
1 👟
63'
M
9
H. Kane
1 ⚽
84'
F
H. Kane
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
18
A. Gordon
F
A. Gordon
F
15
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
13
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
25
Djed Spence
30'
D
Djed Spence
30'
D
4
D. Rice
M
D. Rice
M
21
E. Eze
22'
M
E. Eze
22'
M
22
I. Toney
F
I. Toney
F
14
Jordan Henderson
9'
M
Jordan Henderson
9'
M
5
J. Stones
D
J. Stones
D
23
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
16
K. Mainoo
M
K. Mainoo
M
20
N. Madueke
30'
F
N. Madueke
30'
F
19
O. Watkins
9'
F
O. Watkins
9'
F
12
T. Chalobah
D
T. Chalobah
D
Best on the pitch
J. Bellingham
M · England
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
E. Anderson
M · England
7.50
1 shots
· 70 pass
H. Kane
F · England
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
M. Guéhi
D · England
7.30
· 79 pass
J. Quansah
D · England
7.20
· 49 pass
E. Konsa
D · England
7.20
· 70 pass
Panama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Mosquera | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Andrade | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Córdoba | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Fidel Escobar | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Murillo | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Harvey | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Bárcenas | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Jesús Martínez | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Rodríguez | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Quintero | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Londoño | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Éric Davis | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Díaz | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fajardo | F | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 79 | 77% | — | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quansah | D | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 71 | 9.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Saka | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Henderson | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panama vs England?
The final score was Panama 0–2 England.
What did the model predict before Panama vs England?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Panama win, 28% to a draw, and 51% to an England win.