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Panama - New Zealand

Friendlies Internazionali October 01, 2026 01:10
Panama
vs
New Zealand
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.3%
Win
Panama
28.02%
Draw
33.68%
Win
New Zealand
1.65
Expected xG
1.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.75%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 28%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 62%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Panama a 38% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 33% for New Zealand. Expected goals are 1.6 for Panama and 1.4 for New Zealand (total 3.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.75% probability.

Season Stats

Panama
2W 4D 2L
New Zealand
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
1.8
Conceded
1.8
4.7
Shots OT
3.3
0.7
Corners
4.7
42%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
75%
38%
O 2.5
75%
88%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
46%
BTTS
Panama
1W 1D 1L · at home
New Zealand
1W 1D 2L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.2
1.3
Conceded
1.8
33%
Win %
25%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
75%
33%
O 2.5
75%
33%
O 3.5
50%
67%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Panama New Zealand →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.8% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Panama Panama
D India 1–1
D Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1
W Dominican Republic 4–2
L Brazil 6–2
W South Africa 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
New Zealand New Zealand
W China 0–3
D Palestine 2–2
L England 1–0
L Haiti 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Panama Panama
Attack
41
Defence
61
Form
52
New Zealand New Zealand
Attack
43
Defence
61
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Panama vs New Zealand?
The model gives Panama a 38% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 33% for an New Zealand win.
How many goals are expected in Panama vs New Zealand?
Expected goals: Panama 1.6, New Zealand 1.4 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Panama vs New Zealand?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.75%.