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Panama - New Zealand

Friendlies Internazionali October 01, 2026 01:10
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.32%
Win
Panama
30.49%
Draw
30.18%
Win
New Zealand
1.79
Expected xG
0.95

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.49%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Panama a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for New Zealand. Expected goals are 1.8 for Panama and 0.9 for New Zealand (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.49% probability.

Season Stats

Panama
2W 3D 2L
New Zealand
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
0.0
1.9
Conceded
2.5
4.7
Shots OT
2.0
0.7
Corners
4.5
42%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
50%
43%
O 2.5
50%
86%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Panama
1W 1D 1L · at home
New Zealand
0W 0D 2L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.0
1.3
Conceded
2.5
33%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
67%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
67%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Panama New Zealand →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.6% 11.0% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
4 2.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

D Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1
W Dominican Republic 4–2
L Brazil 6–2
W South Africa 1–2
D South Africa 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
L England 1–0
L Haiti 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Panama Panama
Attack
48
Defence
55
Form
53
New Zealand New Zealand
Attack
11
Defence
42
Form
24
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Panama vs New Zealand?
The model gives Panama a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an New Zealand win.
How many goals are expected in Panama vs New Zealand?
Expected goals: Panama 1.8, New Zealand 0.9 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Panama vs New Zealand?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.49%.