Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis — pre-match prediction — Super League — October 18, 2026

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Super League · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 16:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens

Panathinaikos

#1 · 21 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Asteras Tripolis

#11 · 6 pts

Stefan de Vrij (ast. Kings Kangwa) 27'

Imrân Louza 31'

Cyriel Dessers (ast. Imrân Louza) 62'

Davide Calabria (ast. Pedro Chirivella) 72'

Andrews Tetteh (ast. Imrân Louza) 83'

60' (ast. Konstantinos Chrysopoulos) Antonis Papakanellos

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panathinaikos a 41% win probability (draw 33%, Asteras Tripolis 24%). The final result was Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis. In 2 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Asteras Tripolis.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

5.80

Actual xG

0.91

Saves

72%

Possession

28%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

↕ Azzedine Ounahi / Andrews Tetteh

19'

⚽Stefan de Vrij · ast. Kings Kangwa

27'

⚽Imrân Louza

31'

↕ Levi García / Vicente Taborda

45'

Antonis Papakanellos / Kalvin Ketu ↕

60'

ast. Konstantinos Chrysopoulos · Antonis Papakanellos⚽

61'

Dimitrios Kourbelis / Eder González ↕

61'

Giannis Bouzoukis / Julián Chicco ↕

⚽Cyriel Dessers · ast. Imrân Louza

62'

↕ Kings Kangwa / Elmin Rastoder

68'

↕ Cyriel Dessers / Pedro Chirivella

68'

71'

Franco Orozco / Dimitrios Laskaris ↕

⚽Davide Calabria · ast. Pedro Chirivella

72'

↕ Santino Andino / Adriano Jagusic

77'

79'

Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka / Federico Macheda ↕

⚽Andrews Tetteh · ast. Imrân Louza

83'

Pre-match prediction

41.76%

Panathinaikos ←

33.78%

24.46%

Asteras

we assigned to the actual result (Panathinaikos) 41.76% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Panathinaikos

1.02

5.80

+4.78

Asteras

0.48

0.91

+0.44

Panathinaikos dominated by xG (5.80 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	21
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	19
3	AEK Athens FC	7	17
4	Aris Thessalonikis	8	16
5	PAOK	8	15
6	OFI	8	13
7	Kifisia	8	11
8	Kalamata	8	10
9	Iraklis 1908	8	9
10	Panetolikos	8	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	6
12	Levadiakos	8	3
13	Atromitos	7	2
14	Volos NFC	8	0

Lineups

Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1

Iñaki Peña G 6.72

A. Salah-Eddine D 7.20

R. van Drongelen D 6.67

S. de Vrij 1 ⚽ D 7.49

D. Calabria 1 ⚽ D 7.65

I. Louza 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.47

K. Kangwa 1 👟 68' M 7.70

Santino Andino 77' M 6.55

A. Ounahi 19' M 6.41

L. García 45' M 6.60

C. Dessers 1 ⚽ 68' F 8.20

Bench

Adriano Jagušić 13' M 6.23

A. Tetteh 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.59

E. Palmer-Brown D 0.00

E. Rastoder 22' F 6.84

F. Pellistri M 0.00

G. Kiriakopoulos D 0.00

K. Kotsaris G 0.00

L. Chaves G 0.00

Pedro Chirivella 1 👟 22' M 7.01

S. Kontouris M 0.00

T. Tsapras M 0.00

V. Taborda 45' F 6.55

Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3

N. Papadopoulos G 5.90

K. Chrisopoulos 1 👟 D 5.34

F. Brorsson D 5.43

D. Laskaris 71' D 5.35

Alex Méndez M 5.68

J. Chicco 61' M 5.73

Eder González 61' M 6.06

G. Kotsiras M 5.52

K. Ketu 45' F 6.28

F. Macheda 79' F 6.48

J. Bartolo F 6.27

Bench

A. Papakanellos 1 ⚽ 45' M 6.76

A. Tereziou F 0.00

B. Mbunga Kimpioka 11' F 6.12

D. Kourbelis 29' M 5.94

F. Orozco 19' M 6.16

I. Bouzoukis 29' M 6.03

N. Kaltsas F 0.00

P. Deligiannidis D 0.00

Ricardinho F 0.00

V. Chatziemmanouil G 0.00

Best on the pitch

I. Louza

M · Panathinaikos

9.47

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 105 pass

C. Dessers

F · Panathinaikos

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 9 pass

K. Kangwa

M · Panathinaikos

7.70

1 👟

3 shots · 60 pass

D. Calabria

D · Panathinaikos

7.65

1 ⚽

2 shots · 76 pass

A. Tetteh

F · Panathinaikos

7.59

1 ⚽

6 shots · 17 pass

S. de Vrij

D · Panathinaikos

7.49

1 ⚽

3 shots · 55 pass

Panathinaikos — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Iñaki Peña	G	90	6.72	—	—	0	35	33%	0	—	—
A. Salah-Eddine	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	62	57%	4	—	—
R. van Drongelen	D	90	6.67	—	—	0	71	61%	0	—	—
S. de Vrij	D	90	7.49	1	—	3	55	49%	2	—	—
D. Calabria	D	90	7.65	1	—	2	76	71%	1	—	—
I. Louza	M	90	9.47	1	2	1	105	97%	2	—	—
K. Kangwa	M	68	7.70	—	1	3	60	57%	5	—	—
Santino Andino	M	77	6.55	—	—	3	36	31%	1	—	—
A. Ounahi	M	19	6.41	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
L. García	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	20	16%	0	—	—
C. Dessers	F	68	8.20	1	—	3	9	8%	0	—	—
Adriano Jagušić	M	13	6.23	—	—	1	7	7%	0	—	—
A. Tetteh	F	71	7.59	1	—	6	17	11%	0	—	—
E. Rastoder	F	22	6.84	—	—	0	3	3%	0	—	—
Pedro Chirivella	M	22	7.01	—	1	0	34	31%	1	—	—
V. Taborda	F	45	6.55	—	—	2	32	29%	1	—	—

Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Papadopoulos	G	90	5.90	—	—	0	20	9%	1	—	—
K. Chrisopoulos	D	90	5.34	—	1	0	26	13%	3	—	—
F. Brorsson	D	90	5.43	—	—	0	25	19%	0	—	—
D. Laskaris	D	71	5.35	—	—	0	17	12%	0	—	—
Alex Méndez	M	90	5.68	—	—	1	18	13%	1	—	—
J. Chicco	M	61	5.73	—	—	0	19	16%	0	—	—
Eder González	M	61	6.06	—	—	0	17	15%	3	—	—
G. Kotsiras	M	90	5.52	—	—	0	29	18%	5	—	—
K. Ketu	F	45	6.28	—	—	0	13	10%	2	—	—
F. Macheda	F	79	6.48	—	—	1	13	10%	1	—	—
J. Bartolo	F	90	6.27	—	—	1	18	11%	2	—	—
A. Papakanellos	M	45	6.76	1	—	1	5	3%	0	—	—
B. Mbunga Kimpioka	F	11	6.12	—	—	1	1	0%	0	—	—
D. Kourbelis	M	29	5.94	—	—	0	10	8%	2	—	—
F. Orozco	M	19	6.16	—	—	0	9	7%	1	—	—
I. Bouzoukis	M	29	6.03	—	—	0	8	8%	3	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The final score was Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis.

What did the model predict before Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Panathinaikos win, 33% to a draw, and 24% to an Asteras Tripolis win.