Super League
· Championship Group - 2
April 19, 2026 20:00
33'
G. Martins
45'+1
(ast. Chiquinho)
Rodinei
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panathinaikos a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Olympiakos Piraeus 29%). The final result was Panathinaikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus. In 3 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
0.83
Actual xG
1.96
1
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
1
12
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
F. Ortega
A. Tetteh
13'
33'
G. Martins⚽
45'+1
ast. Chiquinho ·
Rodinei⚽
S. Andino
/ F. Pellistri
46'
A. Tetteh
/ K. Swiderski
46'
R. Sanches
/ A. Bakasetas
66'
P. Chirivella
/ M. Siopis
66'
G. Kyriakopoulos
67'
68'
Costinha
J. Hernandez
69'
77'
G. Biancone
/
Costinha
D. Calabria
/ M. Pantovic
81'
83'
C. Mouzakitis
/
D. Garcia
89'
L. Scipioni
/
Chiquinho
90'+6
S. Hezze
A. Bakasetas
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
43.88%
Panathinaikos
26.43%
X
29.7%
Olympiakos ←
we assigned to the actual result (Olympiakos Piraeus)
29.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
0.83
-0.91
1.28
1.96
+0.68
Olympiakos Piraeus dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
77
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
D
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
D
26
Javi Hernández
D
Javi Hernández
D
15
S. I. Ingason
D
21
D
2
D. Calabria
81'
D
D. Calabria
81'
D
10
Santino Andino
45'
M
Santino Andino
45'
M
8
Renato Sanches
66'
M
Renato Sanches
66'
M
4
Pedro Chirivella
66'
M
Pedro Chirivella
66'
M
20
Vicente Taborda
M
Vicente Taborda
M
7
45'
F
Bench
11
A. Bakasetas
24'
M
A. Bakasetas
24'
M
28
F. Pellistri
45'
M
F. Pellistri
45'
M
19
Karol Świderski
45'
F
Karol Świderski
45'
F
18
Sotiris Kontouris
M
Sotiris Kontouris
M
88
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
3
Francisco Ortega
D
Francisco Ortega
D
5
Lorenzo Pirola
D
Lorenzo Pirola
D
45
Panagiotis Retsos
D
Panagiotis Retsos
D
20
Costinha
77'
D
Costinha
77'
D
14
Dani García
83'
M
Dani García
83'
M
32
S. Hezze
M
S. Hezze
M
10
Gelson Martins
1 ⚽
M
Gelson Martins
1 ⚽
M
22
Chiquinho
1 👟
89'
M
Chiquinho
1 👟
89'
M
23
Rodinei
1 ⚽
M
Rodinei
1 ⚽
M
9
A. El Kaabi
F
A. El Kaabi
F
Bench
96
Christos Mouzakitis
14'
M
Christos Mouzakitis
14'
M
56
Daniel Podence
F
Daniel Podence
F
99
M. Taremi
F
M. Taremi
F
Best on the pitch
Gelson Martins
M · Olympiakos
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G · Olympiakos
8.00
· 29 pass
S. I. Ingason
D · Panathinaikos
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
Lorenzo Pirola
D · Olympiakos
7.30
· 19 pass
A. Bakasetas
M · Panathinaikos
7.20
2 shots
· 20 pass
Rodinei
M · Olympiakos
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Panathinaikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Javi Hernández | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. I. Ingason | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Calabria | D | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Santino Andino | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Renato Sanches | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Chirivella | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Vicente Taborda | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 4% | — | 1 | — | |
| A. Bakasetas | M | 24 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Pellistri | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Karol Świderski | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Ortega | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Pirola | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Retsos | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dani García | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hezze | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodinei | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. El Kaabi | F | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Christos Mouzakitis | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The final score was Panathinaikos 0–2 Olympiakos Piraeus.
What did the model predict before Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Panathinaikos win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Olympiakos Piraeus win.