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Panathinaikos - Paks

Conference League July 30, 2026 20:30
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.57%
Win
Panathinaikos
23.08%
Draw
27.35%
Win
Paks
2.88
Expected xG
2.0

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.18%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 23%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 50%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 71%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Panathinaikos a 49% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Paks. Expected goals are 2.9 for Panathinaikos and 2.0 for Paks (total 4.9), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.18% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paks.

Season Stats

Panathinaikos
1W 0D 0L
Paks
2W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.4
5.0
Shots OT
2.7
4.0
Corners
7.7
60%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
Based on the last 5 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Panathinaikos Paks →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
2 3.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 6.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Recent form

W Paks 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
L Panathinaikos 1–2
W Polessya 2–1
L Polessya 3–0
D Maribor 1–1
W Maribor 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
Attack
53
Defence
63
Form
66
Paks Paks
Attack
63
Defence
47
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Panathinaikos
0
Draw
0
Paks
23 Jul 2026 Conference League 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Paks?
The model gives Panathinaikos a 49% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an Paks win.
How many goals are expected in Panathinaikos vs Paks?
Expected goals: Panathinaikos 2.9, Paks 2.0 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Panathinaikos vs Paks?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.18%.