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Super League · Championship Group - 6 May 17, 2026 18:30
Panathinaikos
#1 · 24 pts
2 – 2
Final score
PAOK
#3 · 18 pts
A. Gnezda Cerin (ast. K. Swiderski) 68'
V. Taborda 81'
30' (ast. D. Pelkas) M. Ozdoev
35' (ast. A. Zivkovic) A. Mythou
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panathinaikos a 34% win probability (draw 37%, PAOK 27%). The final result was Panathinaikos 2–2 PAOK. In 6 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for PAOK.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
7
Shots on target
5
1.61
Actual xG
2.63
3
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
6
10
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Kontouris
28'
30'
ast. D. Pelkas · M. Ozdoev⚽
35'
ast. A. Zivkovic · A. Mythou⚽
A. Touba
45'
↕ S. Kontouris / M. Siopis
46'
↕ E. Palmer-Brown / J. Hernandez
50'
59'
A. Jeremejeff / A. Mythou ↕
60'
L. Ivanusec / D. Pelkas ↕
⚽A. Gnezda Cerin · ast. K. Swiderski
68'
69'
J. Kenny / J. Sanchez ↕
72'
78'
A. Zivkovic
⚽V. Taborda
81'
↕ S. Andino / M. Pantovic
81'
88'
G. Giakoumakis / G. Konstantelias ↕
90'+2
L. Ivanusec
Pre-match prediction
34.46%
Panathinaikos
37.61%
X ←
27.93%
PAOK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 37.61% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Panathinaikos
1.00
1.61
+0.61
PAOK
0.79
2.63
+1.84
PAOK dominated by xG (2.63 vs 1.61). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 9 24
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 9 22
3 PAOK PAOK 9 18
4 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 8 17
5 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 9 16
6 OFI OFI 9 16
7 Kifisia Kifisia 9 11
8 Kalamata Kalamata 9 11
9 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 9 10
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos 9 9
11 Levadiakos Levadiakos 9 6
12 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 9 6
13 Atromitos Atromitos 8 5
14 Volos NFC Volos NFC 9 0
Lineups
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1
40 Alban Lafont Alban Lafont G 7.30
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 6.30
5 A. Touba A. Touba D 6.30
14 Erik Palmer Brown Erik Palmer Brown 50' D 7.00
2 Davide Calabria Davide Calabria D 7.00
16 Adam Gnezda Čerin Adam Gnezda Čerin 1 ⚽ M 6.60
18 Sotiris Kontouris Sotiris Kontouris 45' M 6.20
9 A. Zaroury A. Zaroury M 7.00
20 Vicente Taborda Vicente Taborda 1 ⚽ M 7.90
10 Santino Andino Santino Andino 81' M 5.60
19 K. Świderski K. Świderski 1 👟 F 7.60
Bench
88 Adriano Jagušić Adriano Jagušić M
31
F. Đuričić M
27 G. Kotsiras G. Kotsiras D
26 Javi Hernández Javi Hernández 40' D 7.20
70 Konstantinos Kotsaris Konstantinos Kotsaris G
12 L. Chaves L. Chaves G
72 M. Pantović M. Pantović 9' M 6.70
6 M. Siopis M. Siopis M
23 Pavlos Pantelidis Pavlos Pantelidis F
4 Pedro Chirivella Pedro Chirivella M
8 Renato Sanches Renato Sanches 45' M 7.20
52 T. Vilhena T. Vilhena M
PAOK PAOK 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka J. Pavlenka G 6.90
21 A. Baba A. Baba D 6.70
5 G. Michailidis G. Michailidis D 6.70
16 T. Kędziora T. Kędziora D 6.50
35 J. Sánchez J. Sánchez 69' D 6.30
20 C. Zafeiris C. Zafeiris M 6.30
27 M. Ozdoev M. Ozdoev 1 ⚽ M 7.30
65 G. Konstantelias G. Konstantelias 88' M 6.30
10 D. Pelkas D. Pelkas 1 👟 60' M 7.20
14 A. Živković A. Živković 1 👟 M 7.70
56 A. Mythou A. Mythou 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.20
Bench
22 A. Bianco A. Bianco M
19 A. Jeremejeff A. Jeremejeff 31' F 6.30
99 A. Tsiftsis A. Tsiftsis G
4 A. Vogliacco A. Vogliacco D
6 Dejan Lovren Dejan Lovren D
7 G. Giakoumakis G. Giakoumakis 8' F 6.70
32 G. Taylor G. Taylor D
3 J. Kenny J. Kenny 21' D 6.60
23
Joan Sastre D
18 L. Ivanušec L. Ivanušec 30' F 6.30
8 S. Meïté S. Meïté M
11 Taison Taison F
Best on the pitch
Vicente Taborda
Vicente Taborda
M · Panathinaikos
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 40 pass
A. Živković
A. Živković
M · PAOK
7.70
1 👟
· 39 pass
K. Świderski
K. Świderski
F · Panathinaikos
7.60
1 👟
3 shots · 25 pass
Alban Lafont
Alban Lafont
G · Panathinaikos
7.30
· 45 pass
M. Ozdoev
M. Ozdoev
M · PAOK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
D. Pelkas
D. Pelkas
M · PAOK
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alban Lafont G 90 7.30 — — — 45 30% — — —
Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 90 6.30 — — — 37 32% — — —
A. Touba D 90 6.30 — — — 52 44% 1 1 —
Erik Palmer Brown D 50 7.00 — — — 38 32% 1 — —
Davide Calabria D 90 7.00 — — — 49 40% — — —
Adam Gnezda Čerin M 90 6.60 1 — 2 45 40% 1 — —
Sotiris Kontouris M 45 6.20 — — — 26 22% 1 1 —
A. Zaroury M 90 7.00 — — 5 35 26% 1 — —
Vicente Taborda M 90 7.90 1 — 3 40 30% 2 — —
Santino Andino M 81 5.60 — — 1 21 16% 1 — —
K. Świderski F 90 7.60 — 1 3 25 19% 1 — —
Javi Hernández D 40 7.20 — — — 17 17% 1 — —
M. Pantović M 9 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Renato Sanches M 45 7.20 — — — 22 16% — — —
PAOK PAOK — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pavlenka G 90 6.90 — — — 24 19% — — —
A. Baba D 90 6.70 — — — 29 21% 1 — —
G. Michailidis D 90 6.70 — — 1 45 36% 1 — —
T. Kędziora D 90 6.50 — — — 54 42% 2 — —
J. Sánchez D 69 6.30 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
C. Zafeiris M 90 6.30 — — 1 52 44% — — —
M. Ozdoev M 90 7.30 1 — 1 41 32% 1 — —
G. Konstantelias M 88 6.30 — — 3 37 31% 2 — —
D. Pelkas M 60 7.20 — 1 2 12 10% 1 — —
A. Živković M 90 7.70 — 1 — 39 31% 1 1 —
A. Mythou F 59 7.20 1 — 2 14 8% — — —
A. Jeremejeff F 31 6.30 — — 3 10 7% — — —
G. Giakoumakis F 8 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Kenny D 21 6.60 — — — 14 12% — — —
L. Ivanušec F 30 6.30 — — 2 13 11% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
The final score was Panathinaikos 2–2 PAOK.
What did the model predict before Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Panathinaikos win, 37% to a draw, and 27% to an PAOK win.