Panetolikos 1–2 Asteras Tripolis — pre-match prediction — Super League — May 21, 2026

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Super League · Relegation Group - 10 May 21, 2026 18:00

Panetolikos

#10 · 9 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Asteras Tripolis

#11 · 6 pts

Lenny Lobato 70' (pen.)

28' J. Bartolo

82' (ast. C. Gromitsaris) G. Charalampoglou

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panetolikos a 32% win probability (draw 37%, Asteras Tripolis 29%). The final result was Panetolikos 1–2 Asteras Tripolis. In 4 previous meetings, Panetolikos have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Asteras Tripolis.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.24

Actual xG

1.86

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

↕ Esteban Diego / G. Satsias

11'

12'

D. Grammenos

28'

J. Bartolo⚽

↕ C. Sielis / G. Granath

46'

↕ A. Bregou / J. Aguirre

61'

62'

N. Sipcic

⚽A. Bouchalakis (missed pen.)

64'

66'

B. Perez / J. Bartolo ↕

68'

D. Grammenos

68'

D. Grammenos

⚽Lenny Lobato (pen.)

70'

78'

G. Charalampoglou / F. Macheda ↕

78'

C. Gromitsaris / T. Tzandaris ↕

C. Mavrias

80'

82'

ast. C. Gromitsaris · G. Charalampoglou⚽

↕ A. Bouchalakis / E. Nikolaou

83'

84'

C. Almyras / J. Mendieta ↕

84'

D. Emmanouilidis / N. Alho ↕

↕ C. Mavrias / C. Belevonis

84'

90'+5

V. Chatziemmanouil

90'+6

A. Tereziou

Pre-match prediction

32.62%

Panetolikos

37.81%

29.57%

Asteras ←

we assigned to the actual result (Asteras Tripolis) 29.57% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Panetolikos

0.97

2.24

+1.27

Asteras

0.94

1.86

+0.92

Panetolikos dominated by xG (2.24 vs 1.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	21
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	19
3	AEK Athens FC	7	17
4	Aris Thessalonikis	8	16
5	PAOK	8	15
6	OFI	8	13
7	Kifisia	8	11
8	Kalamata	8	10
9	Iraklis 1908	8	9
10	Panetolikos	8	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	6
12	Levadiakos	8	3
13	Atromitos	7	2
14	Volos NFC	8	0

Lineups

Panetolikos 4-3-3

Y. Kucherenko G 8.20

Christian Manrique D 6.30

C. Sielis 45' D 6.90

L. Kojić D 6.90

C. Mavrias 84' D 6.20

A. Bregou 61' M 6.20

A. Bouchalakis 83' M 6.90

Diego Esteban 11' M 6.50

L. Smyrlis F 6.70

Y. Badji F 7.60

Lenny Lobato 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

A. Apostolopoulos D

Christos Belevonis 11' M 6.70

E. Nikolaou 12' M 6.60

Georgios Agapakis M

G. Granath 50' D 6.20

G. Satsias 84' M 6.60

Jorge Aguirre 34' F 6.20

Konrad Michalak M

Michalis Pardalos G

N. Stajić D

Sebastian Mladen D

Ž. Živković G

Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3

V. Chatziemmanouil G 8.50

Nikola Šipčić D 6.20

E. Yablonskiy D 6.70

D. Laskaris D 6.90

A. Tereziou M 7.20

Júnior Mendieta 84' M 7.30

Theofanis Tzandaris 78' M 6.50

N. Alho 84' M 6.50

Dimitrios Grammenos 68' F 5.30

F. Macheda 78' F 7.00

J. Bartolo 1 ⚽ 66' F 8.50

Bench

Alberto Simoni F

B. Pérez 29' M 6.30

Christos Almyras 11' M 6.70

Christos Gromitsaris 1 👟 17' D 6.90

C. Okoh F

D. Emmanouilidis 11' F 6.70

Eder González M

G. Charalampoglou 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.30

Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos D

N. Kaltsas F

T. Kakadiaris G

Vasilios Archontakakis G

Best on the pitch

J. Bartolo

F · Asteras

8.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

V. Chatziemmanouil

G · Asteras

8.50

· 34 pass

Y. Kucherenko

G · Panetolikos

8.20

· 19 pass

Y. Badji

F · Panetolikos

7.60

· 4 pass

G. Charalampoglou

F · Asteras

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

Júnior Mendieta

M · Asteras

7.30

· 25 pass

Panetolikos — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Kucherenko	G	95	8.20	—	—	—	19	18%	—	—	—
Christian Manrique	D	95	6.30	—	—	1	37	34%	1	—	—
C. Sielis	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	32	29%	—	—	—
L. Kojić	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	55	48%	3	—	—
C. Mavrias	D	84	6.20	—	—	—	30	26%	1	1	—
A. Bregou	M	61	6.20	—	—	—	24	21%	3	—	—
A. Bouchalakis	M	83	6.90	—	—	2	52	45%	1	—	—
Diego Esteban	M	11	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
L. Smyrlis	F	95	6.70	—	—	2	19	12%	1	—	—
Y. Badji	F	95	7.60	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Lenny Lobato	F	95	7.30	1	—	4	18	16%	2	—	—
Christos Belevonis	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
E. Nikolaou	M	12	6.60	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
G. Granath	D	50	6.20	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
G. Satsias	M	84	6.60	—	—	1	32	28%	—	—	—
Jorge Aguirre	F	34	6.20	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—

Asteras Tripolis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
V. Chatziemmanouil	G	95	8.50	—	—	—	34	17%	—	—	—
Nikola Šipčić	D	95	6.20	—	—	—	23	19%	2	1	—
E. Yablonskiy	D	95	6.70	—	—	—	30	28%	1	—	—
D. Laskaris	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	15	14%	—	—	—
A. Tereziou	M	95	7.20	—	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
Júnior Mendieta	M	84	7.30	—	—	—	25	22%	1	—	—
Theofanis Tzandaris	M	78	6.50	—	—	—	18	18%	3	—	—
N. Alho	M	84	6.50	—	—	1	11	9%	—	—	—
Dimitrios Grammenos	F	68	5.30	—	—	—	6	4%	—	2	1
F. Macheda	F	78	7.00	—	—	3	12	10%	2	—	—
J. Bartolo	F	66	8.50	1	—	2	20	15%	1	—	—
B. Pérez	M	29	6.30	—	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
Christos Almyras	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Christos Gromitsaris	D	17	6.90	—	1	—	1	1%	—	—	—
D. Emmanouilidis	F	11	6.70	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
G. Charalampoglou	F	17	7.30	1	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The final score was Panetolikos 1–2 Asteras Tripolis.

What did the model predict before Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Panetolikos win, 37% to a draw, and 29% to an Asteras Tripolis win.