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Super League · Relegation Group - 8 May 12, 2026 18:00
Panetolikos
#10 · 9 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Larisa
J. Garcia (ast. G. Satsias) 90'+4
58' (ast. A. Sagal) L. Tupta
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panetolikos a 39% win probability (draw 38%, Larisa 22%). The final result was Panetolikos 1–1 Larisa. In 3 previous meetings, Panetolikos have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Larisa.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.56
Actual xG
0.90
2
Saves
4
69%
Possession
31%
11
Corners
1
7
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
D. Olafsson / F. Perez ↕
Y. Badji
52'
58'
ast. A. Sagal · L. Tupta⚽
63'
L. Garate / G. Pasas ↕
↕ Lenny Lobato / L. Smyrlis
68'
↕ C. Mavrias / G. Satsias
68'
↕ Y. Badji / J. Garcia
68'
↕ Farley Rosa / K. Aleksic
77'
↕ Esteban Diego / J. Aguirre
77'
78'
E. Ferigra / Y. Macon ↕
78'
Z. Chatzistravos / A. Sagal ↕
90'+4
T. Iliadis / L. Tupta ↕
⚽J. Garcia · ast. G. Satsias
90'+4
A. Bouchalakis
90'+6
90'+6
J. Atanasov
Pre-match prediction
39.15%
Panetolikos
38.36%
X ←
22.49%
Larisa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 38.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Panetolikos
0.97
1.56
+0.59
Larisa
0.65
0.90
+0.25
Panetolikos dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.90). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 8 21
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 19
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 7 17
4 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 8 16
5 PAOK PAOK 8 15
6 OFI OFI 8 13
7 Kifisia Kifisia 8 11
8 Kalamata Kalamata 8 10
9 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 8 9
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos 8 9
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 8 6
12 Levadiakos Levadiakos 8 3
13 Atromitos Atromitos 7 2
14 Volos NFC Volos NFC 8 0
Lineups
Panetolikos Panetolikos 4-1-4-1
99 Y. Kucherenko Y. Kucherenko G 6.90
15 Christian Manrique Christian Manrique D 6.30
16 C. Sielis C. Sielis D 6.90
28 L. Kojić L. Kojić D 7.20
35 C. Mavrias C. Mavrias 68' D 6.90
41 A. Bouchalakis A. Bouchalakis M 7.20
19 Farley Rosa Farley Rosa 77' M 6.90
10 A. Mățan A. Mățan M 7.20
22 Diego Esteban Diego Esteban 77' M 6.70
70 Lenny Lobato Lenny Lobato 68' M 6.50
25 Y. Badji Y. Badji 68' F 6.70
Bench
65 A. Apostolopoulos A. Apostolopoulos D
30 A. Bregou A. Bregou M
77 E. Nikolaou E. Nikolaou M
2 G. Granath G. Granath D
18 G. Satsias G. Satsias 1 👟 22' M 7.30
31 J. García J. García 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.20
9
Jorge Aguirre 13' F 6.20
14 K. Aleksić K. Aleksić 13' F 6.60
71 Konrad Michalak Konrad Michalak M
7 L. Smyrlis L. Smyrlis 22' F 6.90
5 Sebastian Mladen Sebastian Mladen D
12
Ž. Živković G
Larisa Larisa 4-4-1-1
21 Theodoros Venetikidis Theodoros Venetikidis G 6.60
27 Y. Maçon Y. Maçon 78' D 7.70
28 D. Batubinsika D. Batubinsika D 7.00
33
L. Rosić D 6.70
22 Athanasios Papageorgiou Athanasios Papageorgiou D 6.70
29
Lubomir Tupta 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30
31 J. Atanasov J. Atanasov M 7.00
15 G. Naor G. Naor M 7.00
25 Á. Sagal Á. Sagal 1 👟 78' M 6.90
8
F. Pérez 45' F 6.30
19 G. Pasas G. Pasas 63' F 6.50
Bench
20 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson Davíð Kristján Ólafsson 45' D 7.20
17 Dimitrios Diminikos Dimitrios Diminikos M
6 Epameinondas Pantelakis Epameinondas Pantelakis D
14 Erick Ferigra Erick Ferigra 12' D 6.20
5 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta M
7 J. Ngoy J. Ngoy F
23 Leandro Garate Leandro Garate 27' F 6.30
10 Luca Andrada Luca Andrada M
1 Nikolaos Melissas Nikolaos Melissas G
26 Paschalis Staikos Paschalis Staikos M
4 Theocharis Iliadis Theocharis Iliadis 1' D
18 Zisis Chatzistravos Zisis Chatzistravos 12' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Y. Maçon
Y. Maçon
D · Larisa
7.70
· 26 pass
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
G. Satsias
G. Satsias
M · Panetolikos
7.30
1 👟
· 4 pass
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
D · Larisa
7.20
· 6 pass
L. Kojić
L. Kojić
D · Panetolikos
7.20
1 shots · 86 pass
A. Bouchalakis
A. Bouchalakis
M · Panetolikos
7.20
2 shots · 82 pass
Panetolikos Panetolikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Kucherenko G 90 6.90 — — — 35 25% — — —
Christian Manrique D 90 6.30 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
C. Sielis D 90 6.90 — — 2 89 80% — — —
L. Kojić D 90 7.20 — — 1 86 80% 1 — —
C. Mavrias D 68 6.90 — — 1 34 31% 1 — —
A. Bouchalakis M 90 7.20 — — 2 82 73% 1 1 —
Farley Rosa M 77 6.90 — — 1 31 28% 1 — —
A. Mățan M 90 7.20 — — — 54 45% — — —
Diego Esteban M 77 6.70 — — 1 21 19% 1 — —
Lenny Lobato M 68 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — — —
Y. Badji F 68 6.70 — — 1 15 12% — 1 —
G. Satsias M 22 7.30 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
J. García F 22 7.20 1 — 1 3 1% — — —
Jorge Aguirre F 13 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — — —
K. Aleksić F 13 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
L. Smyrlis F 22 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Larisa Larisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Theodoros Venetikidis G 90 6.60 — — — 26 15% — — —
Y. Maçon D 78 7.70 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
D. Batubinsika D 90 7.00 — — — 17 13% 4 — —
L. Rosić D 90 6.70 — — — 31 21% 2 — —
Athanasios Papageorgiou D 90 6.70 — — — 22 12% 5 — —
Lubomir Tupta M 89 7.30 1 — 3 10 10% — — —
J. Atanasov M 90 7.00 — — 1 29 25% — 1 —
G. Naor M 90 7.00 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
Á. Sagal M 78 6.90 — 1 — 12 8% — — —
F. Pérez F 45 6.30 — — 1 8 5% 3 — —
G. Pasas F 63 6.50 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 45 7.20 — — — 6 4% — — —
Erick Ferigra D 12 6.20 — — — 2 — — — —
Leandro Garate F 27 6.30 — — — 9 3% 2 — —
Theocharis Iliadis D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Zisis Chatzistravos M 12 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panetolikos vs Larisa?
The final score was Panetolikos 1–1 Larisa.
What did the model predict before Panetolikos vs Larisa?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Panetolikos win, 38% to a draw, and 22% to an Larisa win.