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Super League · Relegation Group - 8 May 12, 2026 18:00
Panetolikos
#3 · 35 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Larisa
#6 · 27 pts
J. Garcia (ast. G. Satsias) 90'+4
58' (ast. A. Sagal) L. Tupta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panetolikos a 39% win probability (draw 38%, Larisa 22%). The final result was Panetolikos 1–1 Larisa. In 3 previous meetings, Panetolikos have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Larisa.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.56
Actual xG
0.90
2
Saves
4
69%
Possession
31%
11
Corners
1
7
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
D. Olafsson / F. Perez ↕
Y. Badji
52'
58'
ast. A. Sagal · L. Tupta⚽
63'
L. Garate / G. Pasas ↕
↕ Lenny Lobato / L. Smyrlis
68'
↕ C. Mavrias / G. Satsias
68'
↕ Y. Badji / J. Garcia
68'
↕ Farley Rosa / K. Aleksic
77'
↕ Esteban Diego / J. Aguirre
77'
78'
E. Ferigra / Y. Macon ↕
78'
Z. Chatzistravos / A. Sagal ↕
90'+4
T. Iliadis / L. Tupta ↕
⚽J. Garcia · ast. G. Satsias
90'+4
A. Bouchalakis
90'+6
90'+6
J. Atanasov
Pre-match prediction
39.15%
Panetolikos
38.36%
X ←
22.49%
Larisa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 38.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Panetolikos
0.97
1.56
+0.59
Larisa
0.65
0.90
+0.25
Panetolikos dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.90). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
Panetolikos Panetolikos 4-1-4-1
99 Yevhenii Kucherenko Yevhenii Kucherenko G 6.90
15 Christian Manrique Christian Manrique D 6.30
16 Christos Sielis Christos Sielis D 6.90
28 L. Kojić L. Kojić D 7.20
35 Charis Mavrias Charis Mavrias 68' D 6.90
41 Andreas Bouchalakis Andreas Bouchalakis M 7.20
19 Farley Rosa Farley Rosa 77' M 6.90
10 Alexandru Mățan Alexandru Mățan M 7.20
22 Diego Esteban Diego Esteban 77' M 6.70
70 Lenny Lobato Lenny Lobato 68' M 6.50
25 Y. Badji Y. Badji 68' F 6.70
Bench
30 Adriano Bregou Adriano Bregou M
65 Apostolos Apostolopoulos Apostolos Apostolopoulos D
18 Giannis Satsias Giannis Satsias 1 👟 22' M 7.30
2 Gustav Granath Gustav Granath D
9 Jorge Aguirre Jorge Aguirre 13' F 6.20
31 Juan Manuel García Juan Manuel García 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.20
71 Konrad Michalak Konrad Michalak M
14 Kosta Aleksić Kosta Aleksić 13' F 6.60
7 Lampros Smyrlis Lampros Smyrlis 22' F 6.90
5 Sebastian Mladen Sebastian Mladen D
77 Vangelis Nikolaou Vangelis Nikolaou M
12 Živko Živković Živko Živković G
Larisa Larisa 4-4-1-1
21 Theodoros Venetikidis Theodoros Venetikidis G 6.60
27 Yvann Maçon Yvann Maçon 78' D 7.70
28 Dylan Batubinsika Dylan Batubinsika D 7.00
33 Lazar Rosić Lazar Rosić D 6.70
22 Athanasios Papageorgiou Athanasios Papageorgiou D 6.70
29 Lubomir Tupta Lubomir Tupta 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30
31 J. Atanasov J. Atanasov M 7.00
15 Goni Naor Goni Naor M 7.00
25 Á. Sagal Á. Sagal 1 👟 78' M 6.90
8 F. Pérez F. Pérez 45' F 6.30
19 Giannis Pasas Giannis Pasas 63' F 6.50
Bench
20 Davíð Kristján Ólafsson Davíð Kristján Ólafsson 45' D 7.20
17 Dimitrios Diminikos Dimitrios Diminikos M
6 Epameinondas Pantelakis Epameinondas Pantelakis D
14 Erick Ferigra Erick Ferigra 12' D 6.20
5 Gaël Kakuta Gaël Kakuta M
7 Julien Ngoy Julien Ngoy F
23 Leandro Garate Leandro Garate 27' F 6.30
10 Luca Andrada Luca Andrada M
1 Nikolaos Melissas Nikolaos Melissas G
26 Paschalis Staikos Paschalis Staikos M
4 Theocharis Iliadis Theocharis Iliadis 1' D
18 Zisis Chatzistravos Zisis Chatzistravos 12' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Yvann Maçon
Yvann Maçon
D · Larisa
7.70
· 26 pass
Lubomir Tupta
Lubomir Tupta
M · Larisa
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
Giannis Satsias
Giannis Satsias
M · Panetolikos
7.30
1 👟
· 4 pass
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson
D · Larisa
7.20
· 6 pass
L. Kojić
L. Kojić
D · Panetolikos
7.20
1 shots · 86 pass
Andreas Bouchalakis
Andreas Bouchalakis
M · Panetolikos
7.20
2 shots · 82 pass
Panetolikos Panetolikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yevhenii Kucherenko G 90 6.90 — — — 35 25% — — —
Christian Manrique D 90 6.30 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
Christos Sielis D 90 6.90 — — 2 89 80% — — —
L. Kojić D 90 7.20 — — 1 86 80% 1 — —
Charis Mavrias D 68 6.90 — — 1 34 31% 1 — —
Andreas Bouchalakis M 90 7.20 — — 2 82 73% 1 1 —
Farley Rosa M 77 6.90 — — 1 31 28% 1 — —
Alexandru Mățan M 90 7.20 — — — 54 45% — — —
Diego Esteban M 77 6.70 — — 1 21 19% 1 — —
Lenny Lobato M 68 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — — —
Y. Badji F 68 6.70 — — 1 15 12% — 1 —
Giannis Satsias M 22 7.30 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
Jorge Aguirre F 13 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Juan Manuel García F 22 7.20 1 — 1 3 1% — — —
Kosta Aleksić F 13 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
Lampros Smyrlis F 22 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Larisa Larisa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Theodoros Venetikidis G 90 6.60 — — — 26 15% — — —
Yvann Maçon D 78 7.70 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Dylan Batubinsika D 90 7.00 — — — 17 13% 4 — —
Lazar Rosić D 90 6.70 — — — 31 21% 2 — —
Athanasios Papageorgiou D 90 6.70 — — — 22 12% 5 — —
Lubomir Tupta M 89 7.30 1 — 3 10 10% — — —
J. Atanasov M 90 7.00 — — 1 29 25% — 1 —
Goni Naor M 90 7.00 — — — 25 21% 2 — —
Á. Sagal M 78 6.90 — 1 — 12 8% — — —
F. Pérez F 45 6.30 — — 1 8 5% 3 — —
Giannis Pasas F 63 6.50 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Davíð Kristján Ólafsson D 45 7.20 — — — 6 4% — — —
Erick Ferigra D 12 6.20 — — — 2 — — — —
Leandro Garate F 27 6.30 — — — 9 3% 2 — —
Theocharis Iliadis D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Zisis Chatzistravos M 12 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panetolikos vs Larisa?
The final score was Panetolikos 1–1 Larisa.
What did the model predict before Panetolikos vs Larisa?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Panetolikos win, 38% to a draw, and 22% to an Larisa win.