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Panevėžys - FK Trakai

A Lyga July 17, 2026 18:00
Panevėžys
#7 · 32 pts
vs
FK Trakai
#10 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.12%
Win
Panevėžys
30.74%
Draw
10.14%
Win
FK Trakai
1.26
Expected xG
0.3
Most likely outcome
Panevėžys
59.12%
Probability
63.6%
1X2 accuracy · 22 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (25.98%)
1X2 Result
1 59%
X 31%
2 10%
Double Chance
1X 90%
X2 41%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Panevėžys a 59% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 10% for FK Trakai. Expected goals are 1.3 for Panevėžys and 0.3 for FK Trakai (total 1.6), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 25.98% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Panevėžys have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FK Trakai.

Season Stats

Panevėžys
4W 2D 9L
FK Trakai
0W 3D 12L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.3
1.9
Conceded
2.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
20%
7%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
51%
BTTS
Panevėžys
4W 3D 3L · at home
FK Trakai
0W 1D 8L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.3
1.2
Conceded
2.8
40%
Win %
0%
70%
Win or Draw
11%
80%
O 1.5
78%
50%
O 2.5
67%
10%
O 3.5
44%
80%
BTTS
22%
10%
Clean Sht
11%
10%
Failed to Score
78%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Panevėžys FK Trakai →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.0% 6.3% 0.9% 0.1% — —
1 26.5% 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% — —
2 16.7% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% — —
3 7.0% 2.1% 0.3% — — —
4 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% — — —
5 0.6% 0.2% — — — —

Recent form

Panevėžys Panevėžys
L Kauno Žalgiris 0–1
W Hegelmann Litauen 1–3
W Banga 0–3
W FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–0
L Suduva Marijampole 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
FK Trakai FK Trakai
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2
L Suduva Marijampole 0–3
L Šiauliai 2–0
L Džiugas Telšiai 1–0
L Banga 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Panevėžys Panevėžys
Attack
35
Defence
81
Form
55
FK Trakai FK Trakai
Attack
8
Defence
34
Form
15
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Panevėžys
0
Draw
0
FK Trakai
15 Mar 2026 A Lyga 2–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 28 51
2 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 28 50
3 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 28 45
4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 28 44
5 Banga Banga 28 41
6 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 28 38
7 Panevėžys Panevėžys 28 32
8 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 29 26
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 29 17
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Panevėžys vs FK Trakai?
The model gives Panevėžys a 59% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 10% for an FK Trakai win.
How many goals are expected in Panevėžys vs FK Trakai?
Expected goals: Panevėžys 1.3, FK Trakai 0.3 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Panevėžys vs FK Trakai?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.98%.