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Panevėžys - Suduva Marijampole

A Lyga June 29, 2026 17:45
Panevėžys
#8 · 18 pts
vs
Suduva Marijampole
#4 · 26 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.01%
Win
Panevėžys
24.06%
Draw
50.93%
Win
Suduva Marijampole
0.87
Expected xG
1.64
Most likely result 0–1 (13.4%)
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Suduva Marijampole a 50% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Panevėžys. Expected goals are 0.9 for Panevėžys and 1.6 for Suduva Marijampole (total 2.5), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Panevėžys have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Suduva Marijampole.

Season Stats

Panevėžys
6W 1D 8L
Suduva Marijampole
7W 6D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.7
1.8
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS
67%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
73%
O 1.5
50%
O 2.5
11%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Panevėžys
4W 3D 2L · at home
Suduva Marijampole
2W 4D 3L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.1
44%
Win %
22%
78%
Win or Draw
67%
67%
O 1.5
78%
44%
O 2.5
56%
11%
O 3.5
11%
67%
BTTS
67%
22%
Clean Sht
22%
22%
Failed to Score
22%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Panevėžys Suduva Marijampole →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2% 13.4% 10.9% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.1% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Panevėžys Panevėžys
W Šiauliai 3–2
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–0
L TransINVEST Vilnius 1–2
L Džiugas Telšiai 4–0
W Banga 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
W Džiugas Telšiai 1–2
W Šiauliai 2–1
D Banga 0–0
W FK Trakai 0–3
W Kauno Žalgiris 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Panevėžys Panevėžys
Attack
31
Defence
49
Form
42
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
Attack
41
Defence
79
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Panevėžys
1
Draw
1
Suduva Marijampole
25 Apr 2026 A Lyga 0–1
22 Feb 2026 A Lyga 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 18 29
2 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 17 27
3 Banga Banga 18 27
4 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 17 26
5 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 16 25
6 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 18 25
7 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 18 18
8 Panevėžys Panevėžys 17 18
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 17 13
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?
The model gives Panevėžys a 25% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 50% for an Suduva Marijampole win.
How many goals are expected in Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?
Expected goals: Panevėžys 0.9, Suduva Marijampole 1.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Panevėžys vs Suduva Marijampole?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.