Super League
· Championship Group - 5
May 13, 2026 18:30
A. Mythou
(ast. A. Zivkovic)
88'
73'
(ast. D. Kutesa)
L. Jovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 46% win probability (draw 28%, PAOK 24%). The final result was PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. In 3 previous meetings, PAOK have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for AEK Athens FC.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
1.69
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
8
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
10'
A. Koita
J. Kenny
/ J. Sanchez
46'
46'
R. Ljubicic
/
B. Varga
A. R. Baba
48'
63'
L. Jovic
/
A. Koita
72'
D. Kutesa
/
Joao Mario
73'
ast. D. Kutesa ·
L. Jovic⚽
A. Jeremejeff
/ A. Mythou
74'
S. Meite
/ A. Bianco
74'
A. Bianco
77'
Taison
/ D. Pelkas
83'
83'
P. Mantalos
/
Zini
A. Zivkovic
84'
G. Konstantelias
/ G. Giakoumakis
85'
⚽A. Mythou
· ast. A. Zivkovic
88'
Pre-match prediction
24.35%
PAOK
28.86%
X ←
46.79%
AEK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.69
+0.69
1.75
0.92
-0.83
PAOK dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Pavlenka
G
J. Pavlenka
G
21
A. Baba
D
A. Baba
D
5
G. Michailidis
D
G. Michailidis
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
D
3
J. Kenny
45'
D
J. Kenny
45'
D
8
S. Meïté
74'
M
S. Meïté
74'
M
27
M. Ozdoev
M
M. Ozdoev
M
11
Taison
83'
M
Taison
83'
M
65
G. Konstantelias
85'
M
G. Konstantelias
85'
M
14
A. Živković
1 👟
M
A. Živković
1 👟
M
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
74'
F
Bench
22
A. Bianco
16'
M
A. Bianco
16'
M
56
A. Mythou
1 ⚽
16'
F
A. Mythou
1 ⚽
16'
F
99
A. Tsiftsis
G
A. Tsiftsis
G
4
A. Vogliacco
D
A. Vogliacco
D
52
D. Chatsidis
F
D. Chatsidis
F
33
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou
M
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou
M
41
D. Monastirlis
G
D. Monastirlis
G
10
D. Pelkas
12'
M
D. Pelkas
12'
M
7
G. Giakoumakis
10'
F
G. Giakoumakis
10'
F
32
G. Taylor
D
G. Taylor
D
35
J. Sánchez
45'
D
J. Sánchez
45'
D
18
L. Ivanušec
F
L. Ivanušec
F
91
A. Brignoli
G
A. Brignoli
G
29
J. Penrice
D
J. Penrice
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
10
João Mário
72'
M
João Mário
72'
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
13
O. Pineda
M
O. Pineda
M
11
A. Koita
63'
M
A. Koita
63'
M
90
Zini
83'
F
Zini
83'
F
25
B. Varga
45'
F
B. Varga
45'
F
Bench
81
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
7
Dereck Kutesa
1 👟
18'
M
Dereck Kutesa
1 👟
18'
M
80
Hakim Sahabo
M
Hakim Sahabo
M
2
H. Moukoudi
D
H. Moukoudi
D
9
L. Jović
1 ⚽
27'
F
L. Jović
1 ⚽
27'
F
4
M. Grujić
M
15
M. Todorski
D
M. Todorski
D
19
N. Eliasson
M
N. Eliasson
M
20
P. Mantalos
12'
M
P. Mantalos
12'
M
23
R. Ljubičić
45'
M
R. Ljubičić
45'
M
37
Roberto Pereyra
M
Roberto Pereyra
M
3
S. Pilios
D
S. Pilios
D
Best on the pitch
A. Živković
M · PAOK
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 53 pass
A. Mythou
F · PAOK
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
G. Konstantelias
M · PAOK
7.30
· 34 pass
A. Brignoli
G · AEK
7.30
· 32 pass
J. Kenny
D · PAOK
7.20
· 29 pass
L. Jović
F · AEK
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pavlenka | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Baba | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Michailidis | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | — | — | — |
| J. Kenny | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Meïté | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Ozdoev | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Taison | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Konstantelias | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Živković | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Bianco | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Mythou | F | 16 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Pelkas | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Giakoumakis | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Sánchez | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brignoli | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Penrice | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vida | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | — | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zini | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dereck Kutesa | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 27 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Mantalos | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ljubičić | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
The final score was PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC.
What did the model predict before PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
The model assigned 24% probability to a PAOK win, 28% to a draw, and 46% to an AEK Athens FC win.