Super League
· Championship Group - 5
May 13, 2026 18:30
A. Mythou
(ast. A. Zivkovic)
88'
73'
(ast. D. Kutesa)
L. Jovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 46% win probability (draw 28%, PAOK 24%). The final result was PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. In 3 previous meetings, PAOK have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for AEK Athens FC.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
1.69
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
8
Corners
5
12
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
10'
A. Koita
J. Kenny
/ J. Sanchez
46'
46'
R. Ljubicic
/
B. Varga
A. R. Baba
48'
63'
L. Jovic
/
A. Koita
72'
D. Kutesa
/
Joao Mario
73'
ast. D. Kutesa ·
L. Jovic⚽
A. Jeremejeff
/ A. Mythou
74'
S. Meite
/ A. Bianco
74'
A. Bianco
77'
Taison
/ D. Pelkas
83'
83'
P. Mantalos
/
Zini
A. Zivkovic
84'
G. Konstantelias
/ G. Giakoumakis
85'
⚽A. Mythou
· ast. A. Zivkovic
88'
Pre-match prediction
24.35%
PAOK
28.86%
X ←
46.79%
AEK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.69
+0.69
1.75
0.92
-0.83
PAOK dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jiří Pavlenka
G
21
Rahman Baba
D
5
Giannis Michailidis
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
D
3
Jonjoe Kenny
45'
D
8
S. Meïté
74'
M
S. Meïté
74'
M
27
M. Ozdoev
M
M. Ozdoev
M
11
Taison
83'
M
65
Giannis Konstantelias
85'
M
14
Andrija Živković
1 👟
M
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
74'
F
Bench
22
Alessandro Bianco
16'
M
Alessandro Bianco
16'
M
4
Alessandro Vogliacco
D
Alessandro Vogliacco
D
56
Anestis Mythou
1 ⚽
16'
F
99
Antonis Tsiftsis
G
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
F
41
Dimitrios Monastirlis
G
33
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou
M
Dimitrios Tsopouroglou
M
10
D. Pelkas
12'
M
D. Pelkas
12'
M
7
G. Giakoumakis
10'
F
G. Giakoumakis
10'
F
32
Greg Taylor
D
Greg Taylor
D
35
Jorge Sánchez
45'
D
Jorge Sánchez
45'
D
18
Luka Ivanušec
F
Luka Ivanušec
F
91
Alberto Brignoli
G
Alberto Brignoli
G
29
James Penrice
D
James Penrice
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
10
João Mário
72'
M
João Mário
72'
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
13
Orbelín Pineda
M
Orbelín Pineda
M
11
A. Koita
63'
M
A. Koita
63'
M
90
Zini
83'
F
Zini
83'
F
25
B. Varga
45'
F
B. Varga
45'
F
Bench
81
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
Angelos Angelopoulos
G
7
D. Kutesa
1 👟
18'
M
D. Kutesa
1 👟
18'
M
80
Hakim Sahabo
M
Hakim Sahabo
M
2
H. Moukoudi
D
H. Moukoudi
D
9
L. Jović
1 ⚽
27'
F
L. Jović
1 ⚽
27'
F
4
Marko Grujić
M
Marko Grujić
M
15
Martin Georgiev
D
19
N. Eliasson
M
N. Eliasson
M
20
P. Mantalos
12'
M
P. Mantalos
12'
M
23
R. Ljubičić
45'
M
R. Ljubičić
45'
M
37
Roberto Pereyra
M
Roberto Pereyra
M
3
Stavros Pilios
D
Best on the pitch
Andrija Živković
M · PAOK
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 53 pass
Anestis Mythou
F · PAOK
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Giannis Konstantelias
M · PAOK
7.30
· 34 pass
Alberto Brignoli
G · AEK
7.30
· 32 pass
Jonjoe Kenny
D · PAOK
7.20
· 29 pass
L. Jović
F · AEK
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiří Pavlenka | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rahman Baba | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Giannis Michailidis | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Jonjoe Kenny | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Meïté | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Ozdoev | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Taison | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Giannis Konstantelias | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Andrija Živković | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Bianco | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Anestis Mythou | F | 16 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Pelkas | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Giakoumakis | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Sánchez | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Brignoli | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — |
| James Penrice | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vida | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 31% | — | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zini | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Kutesa | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 27 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| P. Mantalos | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ljubičić | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
The final score was PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC.
What did the model predict before PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
The model assigned 24% probability to a PAOK win, 28% to a draw, and 46% to an AEK Athens FC win.